The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite indexes recorded their worst day in almost a month on Monday, after a hotter-than-expected U.S. services-sector reading fueled concerns that the Federal Reserve ma...
Tag: U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note
Most deeply inverted Treasury curve in more than 4 decades has one upbeat takeaway for investors
One of the bond market’s most reliable indicators of impending U.S. recessions is pointed in a pretty pessimistic direction right now, but contains at least one optimistic message: The Federal Reserve...
U.S. stocks have worst day in nearly three weeks as hawkish Fed speak, China worries rattle markets
U.S. stocks had their worst day in nearly three weeks on Monday as protests in China raised global-growth risks and Federal Reserve officials said more interest-rate increases will be needed to subdue...
Year-end rally? Bullish stock-market pattern set to collide with stagflation fears
The period between now and year-end marks a historically bullish final stretch of the year for U.S. stocks, particularly just before and after Christmas. The question for investors is whether favorabl...
Is the market bottom in? 5 reasons U.S. stocks could continue to suffer heading into next year.
With the S&P 500 holding above 4,000 and the CBOE Volatility Gauge, known as the “Vix” or Wall Street’s “fear gauge,” VIX, +0.74% having fallen to one of its lowest levels of the year, many invest...
Is the stock market open on Black Friday? Thanksgiving week trading hours for major assets.
It’s going to be a short week on Wall Street. U.S. stock exchanges will be closed for Thanksgiving Day on Thursday, Nov. 24, and will reopen the next day only for an abbreviated session on Black Frida...
2-year Treasury yield reaches one-week high as traders assess likelihood of more Fed rate hikes
Treasury yields jumped on Friday, sending the 2-year rate to a one-week high, after Boston Fed President Susan Collins put another aggressive 75-basis-point rate hike on the table for December’s polic...
This is the chart that rattled U.S. financial markets on Thursday
One chart is all it took to move financial markets on Thursday. That chart was presented by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard as part of a presentation in Louisville, Ky., and it shows where he se...
More trouble is brewing in the $24 trillion Treasury market: This time, it’s about central clearing
Efforts to reduce risks within the nearly $24 trillion U.S. Treasury market, the world’s deepest and most liquid securities market, are ironically creating angst among market players. The anxiety is c...
Fed warns of ‘low’ market liquidity in $24 trillion Treasury market, in latest financial stability report
The Federal Reserve on Friday confirmed what many investors were saying for some time: the $24 trillion Treasury market has been experiencing low levels of market liquidity in recent months. The centr...
250 years of history is telling investors to bet on Treasury bonds in 2023, Bank of America says
Benchmark U.S. Treasury bonds are facing their worst annual returns since 1788, but a big bounce is likely in the new year, along with a stock rout. That’s according to a team of strategists at Bank o...
Opinion: There’s a rush to buy I-bonds to lock in a high yield, but there may be an even better deal next week
It’s hard to imagine that there could be a better deal for parking up to $10,000 in savings than Series I bonds, at this very moment. The 9.62% yield is top-notch, and you can count the hours before i...
Yellen warns of ‘dangerous and volatile environment’ as she pledges to bolster Treasury market
““We’ve experienced energy shocks, food shocks, supply shocks, persistent inflation in many countries around the world, rising interests rates in many parts of the world and we have seen some financia...
U.S. stock futures surge after Wall Street’s best week since June
U.S. stock futures surged out of the gate late Sunday, after Wall Street notched its best week since June. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures YM00, +0.62% jumped more than 200 points, or 0.7%, on Su...
Why the housing market should brace for double-digit mortgage rates in 2023
Even if Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and his cohorts stopped hiking policy rates soon, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate still would climb to 10%, according to Christopher Whalen, chairman of ...
‘Fragile’ Treasury market is at risk of ‘large scale forced selling’ or surprise that leads to breakdown, BofA says
The world’s deepest and most liquid fixed-income market is in big, big trouble. For months, traders, academics, and other analysts have fretted that the $23.7 trillion Treasurys market might be the so...
Why stock market investors should wait for the 10-year Treasury to ‘blink’
When a key part of the U.S. bond market starts shrugging off new Federal Reserve interest rate hikes or tough talk on inflation, it’s probably time to buy stocks, according to James Paulsen, the Leuth...
Classic 60/40 investing strategy sees worst return in 100 years. How about 40/60?
Rules of thumb in investing appear to no longer apply in the carnage of 2022 in financial markets. Advocates for the 60/40 portfolio split, designed to capture the upside of stocks, but offer investor...
‘Growing wealth gap and rising inflation … hurt the global economy at almost every turn,’ Jamie Dimon says
What a difference 25 years can make. The world today is a markedly different place from the world that existed at MarketWatch’s inception in October 1997. JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPM, +1.66% CEO Jami...
This is how high interest rates might rise, and what could scare the Federal Reserve into a policy pivot
The stock market’s reaction to the latest inflation report Thursday underlined just how confused and fearful investors are. The S&P 500 SPX, +2.60% plunged as much as 3% shortly after the open as ...
Opinion: $22 billion in I-bond sales can’t be wrong. Why you may want to buy them even when their rate resets soon
I-bonds’ sky-high interest rate is poised to fall to 6.48% when they reset next month, according to industry experts. Still, that would be the third-highest level since they were sold in 1998. Though ...
U.S. stock futures advance ahead of inflation data
U.S. stock-index futures advanced Thursday ahead of the week’s big event, the release of September consumer price inflation data. What’s happening Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average YM00, +0....
Opinion: The stock market is in trouble. That’s because the the bond market is ‘very close to a crash.’
Don’t assume the worst is over, says investor Larry McDonald. There’s talk of a policy pivot by the Federal Reserve as interest rates rise quickly and stocks keep falling. Both may continue. McDonald,...
Opinion: How you can save $60k for a home down payment without risk or waiting forever
Yes, starting from zero and trying to save a bit each month will take a while. To put together that princely sum, you’d have to save $500 a month for around nine years in a high-interest savings accou...
Bond markets facing historic losses grow anxious of Fed that ‘isn’t blinking yet’
The Federal Reserve has been showing no signs of letting up on aggressive rate hikes, even as its policies fuel carnage for the ages across the roughly $53 trillion U.S. bond market. As a result, borr...
Fed may need to pivot by early November, when ‘something breaks’: Scott Minerd
With multiple cracks emerging in global financial markets, the Federal Reserve may be forced to end its aggressive rate hikes “when something breaks” and to pivot by the end of the World Series this f...
Opinion: The floodgates are open for grandparents to super-size college savings for grandkids
If you’re a grandparent looking to save the day by helping your grandchildren pay for college, take a second look at a tax-advantaged 529 college savings plan before the end of the year. Rule changes ...