One of the bond market’s most reliable gauges of impending U.S. recessions plunged further below zero into triple-digit negative territory on Tuesday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell point...
Tag: U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note
Stock market faces crucial test this week: 3 questions to decide rally’s fate
There will be no rest for investors this week as they await a marquee report on the state of the U.S. labor market, along with biannual Congressional testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Pow...
How investors can learn to live with inflation: BlackRock
Growth stocks may have led the early 2023 rally, but stubbornly high inflation means that won’t last. That’s the main message from the BlackRock Investment Institute on Monday, as U.S. stocks attempte...
Global financial markets have had a rough time since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, but it is not over yet
A year after Russia invaded Ukraine and set off the bloodiest conflict in Europe since World War II, global financial markets seem to no longer carry on the lasting shocks on a daily basis, but the fu...
6-month T-bill rate rises to nearly 16-year high after release of Fed minutes
The yield on the 6-month T-bill rose to an almost 16-year high on Wednesday after minutes from the Federal Reserve’s last meeting indicated that all policy makers wanted to keep hiking interest rates....
Dow falls over 400 points, dragged down by earnings, rising bond yields
U.S. stocks ended sharply lower on Tuesday, with major indexes suffering the worst daily percentage declines in over two months, as downbeat guidance from major retailers, rising Treasury yields and e...
Invest right now in the stock market? Why bother when cash could be king
The harder question for investors nearly a year into the Federal Reserve’s inflation fight is whether buying the dip in stocks is wise, or earning a cool 5% yield on safe-haven Treasury bills, a cash ...
Deeply inverted Treasury curve narrowly misses reaching 41-year milestone
A bond-market gauge of impending U.S. recessions fell just shy of reaching its most negative reading since October 1981, when interest rates were 19% under Paul Volcker’s Federal Reserve. That gauge, ...
U.S. stock futures point to further losses after payrolls shocker
U.S. stock futures pointed to a second day of losses Monday after an unexpectedly strong jobs report renewed worries about how high the Federal Reserve will have to take interest rates. What’s happeni...
Treasury yields jump after surge in U.S. job growth
Treasury yields jumped Friday, erasing what had been weekly declines for 2- and 10-year notes, after a much stronger-than-expected U.S. January jobs report clouded investor expectations for the Federa...
How to get a 6% return in bonds this year, according to Guggenheim
After an awful year, a straightforward strategy has been shaping up for investors to get an estimated 6% return in the bond market, according to Guggenheim Partners. The Federal Reserve’s rapid pace o...
One of Wall Street’s biggest bulls last year says he’s learned his lesson and isn’t chasing stocks right now
The young new year has been all about reversion to the mean. Take the ARK Innovation ETF ARKK, -2.94% — Cathie Wood’s flagship fund of mostly unprofitable tech companies has stormed 19% higher in 2023...
Financial markets ignore elephant in the room: December’s 223,000 job gains
Stocks and bonds rallied in response to Friday’s jobs data showing modest wage growth for December, while investors looked past a stronger than expected 223,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls. Friday’s pric...
Treasury yields plummet after signs of broadening weakness in economy
Friday’s raft of U.S. economic data produced a cascading drop in rates across the Treasury market, pushing the policy-sensitive 2-year and benchmark 10-year yields to their lowest levels of the new ye...
This analyst who forecast a double-digit drop in stocks for 2022 now says Jeff Bezos may return to helm Amazon
If Tuesday was any indication of how the market will behave this year, then buckle up, it looks like it will be a wild one. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.21% had a 537-point trading range,...
Treasury yields post record rise in worst year ‘within any of our lifetimes’ for bond investors
Treasury yields moved mostly higher in a holiday-shortened session Friday, capping a brutal, record-breaking bond-market selloff in 2022. Trading in U.S. fixed-income markets closed an hour early at 2...
U.S. stocks fall on last trading day of 2022, booking monthly losses and worst year since 2008
U.S. stocks ended lower Friday, booking their worst annual losses since 2008, as tax-loss harvesting along with anxieties about the outlook for corporate profits and the U.S. consumer took their toll....
Dow ends over 350 points lower as investors weigh housing data, 2023 recession concerns
U.S. stocks finished sharply lower on Wednesday, as investors assessed economic data on the housing market amid concerns over rising interest rates and economic growth in 2023. How stock indexes trade...
Treasury yields end higher after U.S. inflation reading
Treasury yields ended a holiday-shortened New York trading session higher on Friday, cementing a weekly increase, after the release of the U.S. personal consumption expenditure price index, the Federa...
Why the Bank of Japan’s surprise policy twist is rattling global markets
Anchors aweigh? The Bank of Japan sent shock waves through global financial markets Tuesday, effectively loosening a cap on 10-year government bond yields in a surprise move seen as potentially pointi...
Stocks are closing out a dismal 2022 as the Fed fights inflation. Here’s what history says comes next.
Stock-market investors have plenty of reasons to feel gloomy heading into 2023: Inflation is still high, the housing market is sputtering and the Federal Reserve just raised interest rates by another ...
Here’s what resolves the big mystery on why older Americans have left the workforce
One of the many challenges facing the Federal Reserve is that the labor force participation rate is still lower than it was before the pandemic. The fewer workers in the jobs market, the more wages wi...
Financial markets are flashing a warning that a recession is imminent: here’s what it means for stocks
Across markets, familiar trading patterns for stocks, bonds and commodities that have held for months are starting to unravel as financial markets grapple with expectations that the U.S. economy will ...
Here’s where investors made a ‘risk-free’ 6.6% return in the past four U.S. recessions
Who says bonds can’t be flashy? Investing in the nearly $24 trillion U.S. Treasury market and other forms of government-backed debt could be a good bet next year, particularly if another recession hit...
Why Monday’s selloff in the stock market could be the start of the next leg lower
Monday’s punishing selloff could be the beginning of the next leg lower for stocks as a sense of complacency has taken hold in markets following a stellar October and November, several strategists tol...
Dow ends down nearly 350 points after jobs data, hawkish Fed comments hammer stocks
U.S. stock indexes ended another choppy session in the red on Thursday as investors digested a fresh batch of labor-market data and hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve officials, while looking ahe...