The IMF downgraded its projections for the global economy Tuesday, warning in stark terms: “The worst is yet to come, and for many people, 2023 will feel like a recession.” As the old joke goes: “A re...
Tag: Opinion
Opinion: The stock market is in trouble. That’s because the the bond market is ‘very close to a crash.’
Don’t assume the worst is over, says investor Larry McDonald. There’s talk of a policy pivot by the Federal Reserve as interest rates rise quickly and stocks keep falling. Both may continue. McDonald,...
Opinion: Florida’s insurance rates have almost doubled over five years, yet insurance companies are still losing money — and the reason is more insidious than hurricanes
Hurricane risk might seem like the obvious problem, but there is a more insidious driver in this financial train wreck. Finance professor Shahid Hamid, who directs the Laboratory for Insurance at Flor...
Opinion: How you can save $60k for a home down payment without risk or waiting forever
Yes, starting from zero and trying to save a bit each month will take a while. To put together that princely sum, you’d have to save $500 a month for around nine years in a high-interest savings accou...
Opinion: One of the most reliable stock market indicators — short-interest ratio — is near a record high, and that’s a bearish omen
Joe Raedle/Getty Images The bulls are grasping at straws when they celebrate the recent increase in short-selling volume. They mistakenly believe that short interest — the percentage of a company’s sh...
Opinion: Disney’s ESPN is aiming for a potential pact with DraftKings. The better bet for investors is FanDuel, which has a few aces in the hole
It can be maddening when other people don’t see the world the way we do. In the stock market, this kind of misalignment can be a source of great wealth. I was thinking about that kind of contrarian ap...
Opinion: 4 predictable retirement problems — and how to solve them
When modeling out retirement, people often apply rules of thumb for income timing. The classic one is the “4% rule,” which many people now think is a bit optimistic as a “safe” withdrawal rate. Bey...
Weekend reads: How the Fed’s punishing policy can set you up for massive gains in the stock market
During a long bear market, investors’ moods can be so bleak and muddy that they cannot envision better times. But they always come. Warren Buffett has shown repeatedly over the decades how to enhance ...
Opinion: Could there be a stock market rally? Probably. Would it be the end of the bear market? Probably not.
The stock market’s low for the year on the last day in September is likely to be breached in this bear market, according to a contrarian analysis of market timer sentiment. That’s because at no point ...
Here’s how much retirement income you can buy today for $100,000
I come bearing good news for those who are recently retired, who are about to retire soon, and for anyone else who wants a secure income for the rest of their life. It’s not amazing news, so don’t bre...
House Republicans seek central bank digital currency opinion from Department of Justice
Republicans on the House Financial Services Committee requested the Department of Justice share its assessment of a potential central bank digital currency, the lawmakers announced on Wednesday. Senio...
Opinion: Inflation is going to fall just as fast as it rose, and that’s investors’ cue to enter the stock market
When central banks, most notably the Federal Reserve these days, move too aggressively on interest-rate increases, things break. Believe it or not, this is bullish in the twisted thinking of Wall Stre...
The Long-Term Bull Case for Bitcoin (Opinion)
The Bitcoin closed a daily candle above $20,000 on Tuesday, marking the highest daily close in about 24 days. That’s after trading range-bound from the $19K to $20K level for the latter half of Septem...
10 energy stocks that are analysts’ favorites as OPEC makes oil-production cuts
The OPEC+ group of oil-producing countries has agreed on a drastic cut to the global supply. The speculation has helped oil reverse its recent declines. And that means it’s time to take another look a...
Opinion: This week’s big rebound in stocks means the bear market is alive and well
Nhac Nguyen/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images Caution: The stock market’s explosive rise in the past two days doesn’t necessarily mean the bear market is over. If anything, the rally suggests that the...
21 dividend stocks yielding 5% or more of companies that will produce plenty of cash in 2023
When the stock market has jumped two days in a row, as it has now, it is easy to become complacent. But the Federal Reserve isn’t finished raising interest rates, and recession talk abounds. Stock inv...
Opinion: Your off-ramp for I-bonds is coming up soon if you bought the securities for their juicy 9.6% yield
You can hold on to Series I bonds for 30 years, but if you jumped in when the interest rate skyrocketed to 9.62%, you might be looking for an off-ramp well before then. If you were attracted primarily...
Opinion: This 401(k) bill opens the door to risky assets
Senators Pat Toomey, Tim Scott and Peter Meijer have just proposed a bill in Congress that would allow 401(k) plans to stretch beyond traditional investments like stocks and bonds. And when we say “be...
Opinion: Stock markets will drop another 40% as a severe stagflationary debt crisis hits an overleveraged global economy
NEW YORK (Project Syndicate)—For a year now, I have argued that the increase in inflation would be persistent, that its causes include not only bad policies but also negative supply shocks, and that c...
This stock market strategist says the coming recession could be the biggest ever. ‘I recommend prayer.’
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk Management, isn’t one to mince words about financial markets, the Federal Reserve or the economy. Right now he has a few less-than-charitable things t...
Next Steps in Case, In Lawyer’s Opinion, After Ripple’s Major Achievement
Gamza Khanzadaev XRP holder representative on Ripple’s major achievement and next steps in battle with SEC John Deaton, founder of CryptoLaw and a representative of XRP holders, gave a summary o...
Opinion: Micron earnings suggest the chip downturn could be worse than Wall Street expects
Micron Technology Inc. executives warned about a semiconductor downturn in late June, but now say that a “sharp and sudden” drop in demand exceeded even those expectations, suggesting the current chip...
Dividend yields on preferred stocks have soared. This is how to pick the best ones for your portfolio.
This year nearly every type of security has declined — bad news if you look at your portfolio’s value each day and have difficulty sleeping at night. On the other hand, it’s good news if you’re lookin...
Opinion: Market instability replaces inflation as the biggest risk, raising the chances of a pivot by the Federal Reserve
Market instability is the biggest risk to central banks globally, replacing inflation, owing to massive amounts of leverage. So far, the U.S. Federal Reserve is fortunate because there’s low volatilit...
Opinion: Five sentiment indicators are telling us it’s time to buy stocks, especially this one group
If you are positive on the direction of the stock market and feeling lonely about it, that’s actually a good sign. Historically, whenever most investors are extremely negative, the market is a buy. I’...