Craig Bernhard worked his tail off for 43 years. Twenty-six of them were in the Air Force, which included time as a fighter pilot — F-106 Delta Darts and later the F-15 Eagle — and then 17 at Boeing C...
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Here’s what just happened that triggers stock market drops 71% of the time, warns Credit Suisse
Wall Street’s in an unusually bullish mood Tuesday morning. Tim Holland, chief investment officer at Orion Advisor Solutions, argues the market has just notched two peaks. Last week, the Labor Departm...
The S&P 500 is on the brink of a bear market. Here’s the threshold.
The latest bull market for U.S. stocks remains on the brink of expiring, with the benchmark S&P 500 just shy of the threshold that marks bear territory. The S&P 500 SPX, -0.13% finished 0.1% l...
Wall Street’s ‘fear gauge’ still not signaling stock-market bottom is near, analysts say
Stock-market investors have been on a roller-coaster ride, but a closely watched measure of expected volatility has yet to convincingly signal that the selloff is set to bottom out, analysts said Mond...
‘Unhinged’ markets followed ‘unforced error’ by Fed’s Powell, says David Tepper
“‘Taking the optionality of 75 basis points off the table was an unforced error the Fed didn’t have to do. The Bank of England making a similar mistake the next day caused the market to become a bit u...
Fed lifts interest rates and will wind down $9 trillion bond stockpile in double-pronged attack on high U.S. inflation
“Inflation is much too high and we understand the hardship it is causing,” said Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in what he called a direct message to the American public. “We are moving expeditiously to br...
Will Fed rate hike be a ‘clearing event’ for battered U.S. stock market? What investors are watching for on Wednesday
A little clarity from the Federal Reserve on the likely size and scope of future rate increases on Wednesday could be a balm for a bruised U.S. stock market, according to some analysts. The meeting co...
Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson says S&P 500 could tumble toward 3,400 if a ‘true growth scare’ is on the cards
Morgan Stanley’s bearish chief U.S. equity strategist Mike Wilson has some bad news and some good news for investors. On the heels of the worst April for stocks since 1970, Wilson and a team of strate...
Dow makes 612-point turnaround as Nasdaq leads rebound in final hour of trading
U.S. stocks rallied in the final hour of trading on Monday as some investors interpreted the 10-year Treasury yield’s breach of 3% as a sign that the bond-market’s selloff may have exhausted itself fo...
A cruel April just sent the S&P 500 into its second stock-market correction of 2022
An ugly end to a cruel April on Friday saw the S&P 500 post its second correction — a drop of 10% from a recent peak — so far this year. The large-cap benchmark SPX, -3.63% ended a topsy-turvy wee...
Here’s how far the S&P 500 has to fall to enter another stock-market correction
Stocks finished mostly higher Wednesday as an early bounce fizzled, providing a bit of breathing room for the S&P 500 after it came close to entering its second market correction of 2022. The larg...
The bond market has crashed. Why one strategist says embrace the pain and get back in.
Investors are more or less trained to think about assets in stock-market terms. That is, a correction is a 10% drop from its peak, and a bear market is 20% drop, etc. But not all assets are equal. In ...
Market ‘not seeing a low yet,’ says Morgan Stanley’s Wilson after ‘ominous’ signal late last week
“‘Unfortunately, we’re just not seeing the low here yet. We’re students of the market, we respect what the markets are telling us. As we’ve said many times, the best strategist in the world is the int...
The news coming from this giant volcano is even gloomier than the new forecasts from the IMF and World Bank
Investors love looking at esoteric indicators for clues on how the economy is performing, and therefore how stocks, bonds and other assets will trade. How about looking at carbon dioxide emissions? Th...
Biden administration launches student loan review, says 40,000 borrowers will see debt canceled
The Department of Education announced Tuesday a new review of its student debt portfolio, which it says will correct for past mistakes that denied 3.6 million borrowers credit toward student loan forg...
Recession fears and the stock market — Is it too late to play defense?
Recession fears are on the rise as the Federal Reserve gears up to fight inflation. Many stock-market investors are already playing defense and may wonder if those strategies have more room to run. Bu...
Recession is `the most likely’ outcome for U.S. economy, says Larry Summers
Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, whose out-of-consensus views about the risks of persistent inflation have come true, is reiterating his concerns about a potential U.S. downturn: He now says a...
Here’s the playbook if the rest of the world breaks free from the U.S. dollar, says Credit Suisse’s monetary plumbing guru
It’s pretty well accepted that no one knows as much about the plumbing of the world’s financial system as Zoltan Pozsar, global head of short-term interest-rate strategy at Credit Suisse, who was the ...
The stock market is behaving a lot like it did during the Iraq war. Here’s the future if the pattern continues.
History doesn’t repeat, but it does rhyme. The Iraq war of 2003 doesn’t have many parallels to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, other than perhaps global unpopularity. But there seems to be at least one ...
Fed must ‘inflict more losses’ on stock-market investors to tame inflation, says former central banker
So much for the Fed put. “‘It’s hard to know how much the U.S. Federal Reserve will need to do to get inflation under control. But one thing is certain: To be effective, it’ll have to inflict more los...
Opinion: This simple change in words can dramatically increase retirement savings
In today’s increasingly complex financial world, individuals are faced with many competing financial priorities — from student debt to emergency healthcare expenses, just to name a few. As a result, n...
U.S. inflation jumps again and hits 6.4% rate, the Fed’s favorite price gauge shows
The numbers: The Federal Reserve’s favorite inflation calculator rose a sharp 0.6% in February and kept the increase over the past year at a 40-year high, explaining why the central bank plans to move...
S&P 500 set to exit correction: What history says happens next to stock-market benchmark
The S&P 500 index exited market-correction territory Tuesday, a move that has tended to point to near- and medium-term gains for the U.S. large-cap benchmark in the past. The S&P 500 SPX, +1.2...
How would the economy handle $200 oil? Here’s what one simulation found
Oil has been one of the most volatile assets since the Russian invasion of Ukraine as traders balance the impact of sanctions with both the likelihood of increased production elsewhere and the possibi...
Perfect contrarian indicator? Jim Cramer declares the bear market is over
The stock market has climbed a pretty sizeable wall of worry over the last two weeks, with the S&P 500 rising 8% during a period of continued war in Ukraine and Federal Reserve rate hikes. Jim Cra...
Investing legend Bill Miller says there are many good values in the market even after relief rally
It’s a good time to get the perspective of the recent market rally from legendary investor Bill Miller, who beat the S&P 500 SPX, +1.43% for 15 years in a row and has seen a cycle or two. “No one ...
Opinion: Our student-loan system needs fixing — and this change would be smarter than just forgiving debt
Most of the recent discussion of student debt has focused on the prospect of forgiving that debt—telling borrowers that they don’t have to repay the funds the federal government provided to help them ...