U.S. stock investors are clearly not too happy with what Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has said in the past two days. And there’s reason to think they’ll get even more dissatisfied in the wee...
Tag: Interbank Rate
Bond-market recession gauge plunges to triple digits below zero on way to fresh four-decade milestone
One of the bond market’s most reliable gauges of impending U.S. recessions plunged further below zero into triple-digit negative territory on Tuesday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell point...
The bond market’s worst-case scenario isn’t a Fed rate of 6%. It’s this.
A doomsday scenario for bonds in 2023 wouldn’t be the fed-funds rate reaching 6% by July. A bigger worry would be if U.S. inflation that’s been slow to retreat starts heading higher annually, said Jas...
Strong Economic Data Weaken the Case for Continued Stock Rally
The dash for trash has hit a speed bump. Stocks faltered again this past week as the early-year rally, led by rebounds in 2022’s speculative-grade losers, ran into resistance from higher expected inte...
Opinion: Opinion: The Fed should pause rate hikes since inflation has slowed — it won’t
The Federal Reserve should declare an immediate cease fire in its war against inflation and hold its benchmark interest rate steady instead of raising the federal funds by a half percentage point to a...
A year after the Nasdaq peak, why stocks could rally from here.
This weekend a year ago the Nasdaq Composite hit a record high. And why not. The Fed Funds rate was then effectively zero, while the central bank continued to buy assets, pumping liquidity into the ma...
Did Bullard undershoot? Stifel economists say fed funds rate may need to go to 8% or even 9%.
A day after a Federal Reserve official’s market-moving admission that interest rates may need to go to as high as 7%, analysts came up with an even more surprising conclusion: that 7% still won’t be h...
Opinion: Opinion: What Bullard got wrong about a 7% fed funds (and why he said it anyway)
An influential Federal Reserve official briefly spooked the stock SPX, -0.31% and bond TMUBMUSD10Y, 3.769% markets on Thursday by warning that the central bank may have to raise interest rates much fu...
This is the chart that rattled U.S. financial markets on Thursday
One chart is all it took to move financial markets on Thursday. That chart was presented by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard as part of a presentation in Louisville, Ky., and it shows where he se...
New stock-market lows ahead? What investors need to know as Fed signals rates will be higher for longer.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell sent a clear signal interest rates will move higher and stay there longer than previously anticipated. Investors wonder if that means new lows for the beaten-dow...
The Fed’s Next Rate Hike Is Coming. Why Powell Won’t Say the End Is Near.
The Federal Reserve will fire its next salvo in the war against inflation on Wednesday afternoon. That is likely to include an interest-rate increase of 0.75 percentage points and a hawkish tone from ...
The Fed Makes Its Decision Wednesday. Expect a Big Move in Stocks.
The Federal Reserve’s big announcement on interest rates is Wednesday. The stock market will likely make a large move—in one direction or the other. The Fed is widely expected to lift its target for t...
‘Mounting fear is that something else will break along the way’: Stock-market investors look ahead to PCE inflation data amid Fed overtightening worries
Some investors are on edge that the Federal Reserve may be overtightening monetary policy in its bid to tame hot inflation, as markets look ahead to a reading this coming week from the Fed’s preferred...
Why the housing market should brace for double-digit mortgage rates in 2023
Even if Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and his cohorts stopped hiking policy rates soon, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate still would climb to 10%, according to Christopher Whalen, chairman of ...
Stock market’s wild gyrations put earnings in focus as inflation crushes Fed ‘pivot’ hopes
Unrelenting inflation has dashed hopes for a quick pivot away from aggressive interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, which in turn is undermining the U.S. corporate earnings outlook for 2023 and ...
This is how high interest rates might rise, and what could scare the Federal Reserve into a policy pivot
The stock market’s reaction to the latest inflation report Thursday underlined just how confused and fearful investors are. The S&P 500 SPX, +2.60% plunged as much as 3% shortly after the open as ...
Opinion: The stock market is in trouble. That’s because the the bond market is ‘very close to a crash.’
Don’t assume the worst is over, says investor Larry McDonald. There’s talk of a policy pivot by the Federal Reserve as interest rates rise quickly and stocks keep falling. Both may continue. McDonald,...
A ‘Fed pivot’ still is the best shot for stocks to rebound
Timing the market has been a nagging question for investors ever since the stock market began its decline by roughly 25% in January this year. The right answer likely hinges on whether or not the Fede...
Goldman Sachs Just Lowered Its S&P 500 Price Target. How Low It Could Go.
Text size Traders working at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), today, Thursday, June 16, 2022. NYSE Goldman Sachs finally decided to stop fighting the Fed and lowered its year-end forecast for the S...
The Stock Market Is Getting Crushed Again. But the Pain Is Almost Over.
Text size The Fed is trying to stamp out inflation by reducing economic demand, which is hurting the stock market. Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images The stock market has once again gone into selloff mo...
4 things to watch when the Fed delivers its rate-hike decision
The Federal Reserve is raising rates on Wednesday. That much is certain. Beyond that, there are weighty questions about whether the central bank’s efforts to bring down inflation can succeed without c...
Why investors fear a full-percentage-point Fed rate hike would ‘unnerve’ Wall Street
The Fed has delivered two 75 basis point interest-rate hikes so far this year. A previous version of this story said it had delivered three. With both U.S. stocks and bonds under pressure on Tuesday, ...
The Fed isn’t pivoting. Why were stock investors the last to know?
After Friday’s brutal session for stocks, it appears equities were the last asset class to accept the notion that the Federal Reserve likely won’t be pivoting to a less aggressive monetary policy stan...
Disappointing U.S. data has traders considering possibility of a half-point Fed rate hike in September
In the blink of an eye on Tuesday, the U.S. bond market’s focus shifted back toward fears of an unexpectedly sharp economic slowdown and away from persistently high inflation over the bulk of the trad...
Opinion: Stop misreading the Fed: It’s not getting cold feet about wrestling inflation to the ground
The Federal Reserve isn’t as mysterious as it’s made out to be. It’s not hiding coded messages in its communications. It’s not using obscure metaphors that seem to say one thing but actually mean the ...
Here’s what Bill Ackman says Powell should tell traders about Fed rate-hike plans
“‘Tomorrow, Powell is likely to be asked: “Market pricing implies that the terminal FF rate will peak at 3.4% in 12/22 immediately declining thereafter to 2.7% by YE ‘23. What factors would cause the ...
75 or 100 basis points? Lost in market debate over Fed’s next rate hike is ‘how long inflation stays at these levels’
Debate has been simmering over whether Federal Reserve policy makers will raise the fed-funds rate by three-quarters of a percentage point later this month, as they did in June, or step up their infla...
Why stocks and bonds went into relief-rally mode after Fed’s jumbo rate hike
Financial markets suffered an absolute bloodbath in the days leading up to Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision, with stocks plunging and bond yields soaring in the wake of surprisingly hot inflation ...
Opinion: Powell will have to push rates even higher for the Fed to get inflation to 2%
Inflation is proving tougher to curb than Federal Reserve Chairman Powell anticipated, and despite indicators that a recession could be coming, consumers and businesses apparently haven’t gotten the m...