The S&P 500 Index SPX, -1.85% hit resistance this week when an oversold rally failed near the 4080 level. This continues to support the idea that the index’s rise above 4100 in early February was ...
Tag: FederalReserve
Opinion: Powell will have to push rates even higher for the Fed to get inflation to 2%
Inflation is proving tougher to curb than Federal Reserve Chairman Powell anticipated, and despite indicators that a recession could be coming, consumers and businesses apparently haven’t gotten the m...
How investors can learn to live with inflation: BlackRock
Growth stocks may have led the early 2023 rally, but stubbornly high inflation means that won’t last. That’s the main message from the BlackRock Investment Institute on Monday, as U.S. stocks attempte...
Invest right now in the stock market? Why bother when cash could be king
The harder question for investors nearly a year into the Federal Reserve’s inflation fight is whether buying the dip in stocks is wise, or earning a cool 5% yield on safe-haven Treasury bills, a cash ...
Jobs report tells markets what Fed chairman Powell tried to tell them
Oh dear. A lot of investors just learned again, the hard way, the old rule: When someone tries to tell you something about themselves, listen. On Wednesday afternoon Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Po...
How to get a 6% return in bonds this year, according to Guggenheim
After an awful year, a straightforward strategy has been shaping up for investors to get an estimated 6% return in the bond market, according to Guggenheim Partners. The Federal Reserve’s rapid pace o...
Home prices to tumble over 25% from peak levels in ‘overheated’ markets, says Goldman
Credit researchers at Goldman Sachs now expect home prices in several “overheated” metro areas to fall over 25% from peak levels. Metro areas included in their forecast were San Jose, Austin, Phoenix ...
Stocks are closing out a dismal 2022 as the Fed fights inflation. Here’s what history says comes next.
Stock-market investors have plenty of reasons to feel gloomy heading into 2023: Inflation is still high, the housing market is sputtering and the Federal Reserve just raised interest rates by another ...
Why stock-market investors shouldn’t count on a ‘Santa Claus’ rally this year
Investors, like kids on Christmas Eve, have come to expect Santa Claus will get down the chimney, march over to Wall Street and deliver the rewarding gift of a stock-market rally. This year, however, ...
Here’s where investors made a ‘risk-free’ 6.6% return in the past four U.S. recessions
Who says bonds can’t be flashy? Investing in the nearly $24 trillion U.S. Treasury market and other forms of government-backed debt could be a good bet next year, particularly if another recession hit...
History says inflation could persist for a decade
If you are a retiree, or even near to retirement, you are probably more vulnerable to inflation than most. Your cost of living is probably rising faster than your income. You’re lucky if any pension o...
Zillow sees peak rent growth as over, but that isn’t what the Fed’s tracking
A look at Zillow Group’s closely followed rent index shows that last year’s roughly 17% yearly surge in rental prices was probably the peak, with the rate of increases dramatically receding in the pas...
Beware of a ‘bear trap’ retreat in stocks after the big summer rally, strategists warn
It looks like a “bear trap” may be lurking in this summer’s big bounce for the stock market, one that could lead to painful losses for investors, Glenmede strategists warned in a Monday report. Invest...
Why the S&P 500’s ‘bounce within a bear market’ could fizzle before it hits 4,200
Add another voice to the growing chorus of naysayers about the staying power of the recent rally in U.S. equities. The stock market’s rally since the Federal Reserve’s last jumbo rate hike in late Jul...
‘The economy is going to collapse,’ says Wall Street veteran Novogratz. ‘We are going to go into a really fast recession.’
Veteran investor and bitcoin bull Michael Novogratz doesn’t have a rosy outlook on the economy, which he described as headed for a substantial downturn, with the likelihood of a “fast recession” on th...
How high can the Fed hike interest rates before a recession hits? This chart suggests a low threshold.
The days when the Federal Reserve could raise its benchmark interest rate significantly above 5% without sparking a recession may be a thing of the past, according to Wells Fargo Investment Institute....
Why the stock-market rally may be nothing more than ‘wishful thinking,’ according to Morgan Stanley CIO
Listen to the bond market. That is the advice from Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, warning that recent resilience in stocks could be “nothing more than a be...
Get ready for a ‘new world order’ that drives stocks and bonds: BlackRock
It’s an end of an era. That’s BlackRocks Inc.’s BLK, +1.62% Tony DeSpirito, chief investment officer in the U.S. fundamental equities division of the world’s largest asset manager, telling investors t...
Opinion: The economy is in much better shape than the headlines would tell you
Inflation is through the roof. There’s an oil crisis. A looming food crisis. You name it. War is raging in Europe. Russia’s president is starting to sound unhinged. And headlines are now linking him w...
Opinion: The only market forecast that should matter to stock investors: When does the Fed decide that higher inflation is OK?
By this time last year, every stock market forecast made for 2022 was wrong. The U.S. stock market peaked on the first trading day of 2022 and went downhill from there. This year, every forecast made ...