AFP via Getty Images Key takeaways Sean Snaith predicts that the U.S. is on its way to a “Pasta Bowl Recession” This recession, he says, could come in gradually and ease up just as gradually, just lik...
Tag: Federal Reserve
Dow Falls 300 Points After ‘Ugly’ Inflation Report Adds To Recession Fears
Topline The stock market tanked on Wednesday after the Labor Department reported inflation unexpectedly surged to new highs in June, adding to already widespread recession fears as investors believe t...
Money Is Pouring Into Bonds Again. What It Means.
Text size The renewed interest in government bonds comes as the 10-year Treasury yield has surged to around 3%. Dreamstime Investors are pouring money into bond funds—a reversal from a trend seen for ...
Dow Drops Nearly 200 Points As Investors Brace For Shaky Earnings Season, Looming Inflation Report
Topline Stocks fell on Monday as markets brace for the start of earnings season–with several major companies reporting quarterly results this week, as investors also remain nervous about the upc...
Stock Outlook Brightens as Jobs Stay Strong, Commodities Prices Decline
Text size The jobless rate held steady at 3.6% in June. Above, looking for work at a job fair in Florida. Joe Raedle/Getty Images The economy looks resilient, and inflation is coming down. That combin...
Tech Rebound Drives Equity Advance As The Dollar Hits New Highs
(Photo by Andrew Burton/Getty Images) Getty Images Stocks indices in the U.S. posted significant gains last week, led by a recovery in beaten-down technology companies. The Ark Innovation Fund ETF, $A...
Those Predicting a ‘Fed-Induced Recession’ Misunderstand the Meaning of Recession
“You’re joking? How big is your fund?” Those questions were posed by a top Lehman Brothers investment banker in the early 2000s. He was on the phone with a top Australian investment banker; albeit at ...
Car Repos Are Exploding. That’s a Bad Omen.
The jobs report and minutes from the Federal Reserve’s June meeting were the economic highlights of the week, but they are, respectively, a lagging indicator and old news. This column instead digs int...
Stocks Fall After U.S. Economy Adds Back 372,000 Jobs In June
Topline The stock market opened slightly lower on Friday despite solid gains earlier this week, as investors assessed a stronger-than-expected jobs report amid ongoing fears that the Federal Reserve’s...
Dow Jumps 200 Points As Stocks Aim For Rare Winning Week
Topline The stock market moved higher on Thursday, looking to build on recent gains a day after the Federal Reserve reaffirmed its commitment to bringing down inflation with more big rate hikes and ti...
Federal Reserve Prepares More Big Rate Hikes Amid Risk That High Inflation Could ‘Become Entrenched’
Topline Federal Reserve officials reaffirmed their commitment to fighting inflation with big rate hikes and pledged to use “more restrictive policy” as needed, especially amid “significant risk” that ...
Fed Minutes Get Released Today. 4 Things to Watch.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in June 2022. Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images Text size When the Federal Reserve releases minutes from its June 14-15 meeting today, investors will get a deeper look ...
Stock Market Today: U.S. Futures Wobble, Global Stocks Rise on July 4 Holiday
Text size Wall Street is closed for the Fourth of July. Angela Weiss/AFP/Getty Images Global stocks were mostly higher and U.S. futures wavered on the Fourth of July. While it is set to be a quiet day...
Home Prices Could Level Out in 2023, Redfin Says. What Could Make Them Drop.
Text size The median home sale price was 14% higher for the four-week period ending June 26 from a year earlier, Redfin said. Joe Raedle/Getty Images As the housing market cools down from its red-hot ...
Economist Roubini: Why Stocks Poised for 50% Wipeout
The stock market is off to its worst start to a year since 1962, with the S&P 500 dropping 21% in the first half of 2022. Meanwhile, many experts are warning that a recession is likely within the ...
The Latest Inflation Data Is (Mildly) Good News for the Fed
Fed chief Jerome Powell, shown testifying before a House panel last week, may not have to raise rates as aggressively at coming meetings as some inflation data are showing signs of peaking. Win McName...
Stocks Are Crashing But History Shows This Bear Market Could Recover Faster Than Others
Topline Stocks have struggled for direction since falling into a bear market earlier this month amid looming recession fears, but history shows that the market’s rapid pace of decline this year could ...
Consumer Confidence Is Crumbling Despite Economic Expansion
Getty Images Key takeaways The Consumer Confidence Index fell 4.5 points between May and June to its lowest point since February 2021 (98.7) Despite low consumer confidence, the economy continues to e...
Banks Are Healthy. Why They’re Holding Back on Dividends.
Text size JPMorgan Chase held its dividends flat due to increasing capital requirements following the Federal Reserve’s stress test. Justin Sullivan/Getty Images Banks may have gotten a clean bill of...
Dow Plunges Nearly 500 Points, Recession Fears Resume As Consumer Confidence Hits New Low
Topline Stocks fell for a second day in a row on Tuesday as markets failed to build on last week’s strong rebound from 2022 lows, with investors once again selling off shares amid looming recession fe...
Home Prices Finally Cooling Off? Market Slows In April But Demand Remains High Despite Rising Mortgage Rates
Topline Home prices, which have been shooting up since last year, grew at a slower pace in April, showing signs of a potential cool down in the red-hot housing market, according to new data from S&...
Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo Boost Shareholder Payouts
The largest U.S. banks said they would increase payouts to shareholders after the Federal Reserve said the banks are able to keep lending in a severe hypothetical recession. Four of the six biggest ba...
Mr. Big Short: Fed May do a 180 on Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve has raised its federal funds rate target by 150 basis points since March, and speculation now centers on how much further the Fed will go. Interest-rate futures traders see an 89% ...
Pending Home Sales See Surprise Rebound In May, But Experts Warn Housing Market Is ‘Undergoing A Transition’
Topline A leading indicator for housing market activity—pending home sales—unexpectedly jumped in May and reversed six straight months of declines, according to new data from the National Association ...
Gas-Tax Holiday Is a Gimmick. Here Are Some Better Ideas.
President Biden’s proposed gas-tax holiday is both a gimmick and dead on arrival. Yet, it is attracting inordinate attention across Washington and on Wall Street. There are viable ways to improve ener...
Dow Jumps 800 Points, Stocks Snap Three-Week Losing Streak After Inflation Expectations Ease
Topline The stock market rebounded strongly on Friday, posting its first positive week this month as recession fears subsided somewhat thanks to positive economic data suggesting that inflation may ha...
A Double-Dip Recession Is Coming. It Will Be Worse if the Fed Caves on Inflation
A double-dip recession like the one experienced in the early 1980s is likely, writes Robert Heller. Above, a line of people waiting to apply for jobs at a hotel in Tampa Bay, Fla., in 1982. AP/Shutter...