This Inverted Yield Curve Is Not Forecasting A Recession

A depiction of interest rates causing a recession getty Historical charts show inverted yield curves often precede recessions. Therefore, many conclude that today’s inverted yield curve means a ...

C’mon Fed – Stop Calling Negative Real Rates Tightening

Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell speaks at The Economic Club of Washington, D.C. on … [+] February 7, 2023 (Photo by Julia Nikhinson/Getty Images) Getty Images The FOMC (Federal Rese...

CPI Inflation November Report Produces Two Alternate Investment Trends

Two competing alternatives getty This morning’s November CPI report adds another notable inflation improvement. The All Items monthly rates fell from October’s low, 0.4% rates to: A nominal (actual) d...

The Coming CPI Inflation Report Will Be Sketchy

And the answer is… Confusion getty The December 13 CPI report (8:30 AM ET) for November 2022 should show a further inflation decline. That’s the good news. The problem is that the one numb...

Investors: Federal Reserve’s Inflation Fight Moves From ‘Passive’ To ‘Active’ Tightening

Fed Chair Jerome Powell Delivers Semiannual Monetary Report At Senate Hearing on June 22, 2022 in … [+] Washington, DC (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images) Getty Images The Federal Reserve’...

Federal Reserve: Rising Rates Raise Two Key Questions

Fed Chair Jerome Powell at news conference following FOMC meeting, Nov. 2. (AP Photo/Patrick … [+] Semansky) Copyright 2022 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. Fed Chair Powell confirmed ...

Inflation Is Getting Less Scary

Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell laughing (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images) Getty Images The Federal Reserve’s speedy interest rate raising is taking effect – in business and...

The U.S. Dollar Is Back On Top, And That Improves Everything

Currency exchange board getty The Federal Reserve is raising interest rates faster and greater than most other countries. Some Wall Streeters and others who built strategies around 0% interest rates h...

Stock Market Just Passed Recession Test

Stock market uptrend getty Four weeks ago, the stock market was at an important foundation level. Since then, high volatility and widespread recession warnings tested investors’ nerves. The test...

History Insight – Stocks Rise Before Inflation Falls

March 8, 1966 – NYSE during first trading hour following heavy one day dip on March 7 Bettmann Archive Here comes another high CPI inflation report (Thursday, 10/13). Expected: An 8.1% annual ri...

Wall Street’s Friday Night Frights

NYSE trader is shocked! (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images) Getty Images Wall Street’s logic is frightful – or laughable. Here’s the line of reasoning that caused the stock market t...

Why Be Optimistic? Because Inflation-Fighting Isn’t The Fed’s Only Goal

Federal Reserve – Economy and monetary policy word collage. getty Those few articles that say the Federal Reserve wants to cause a stock market selloff are nonsense. Behind the Fed’s inflation-f...