U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed for Presidents Day on Monday. Fourth-quarter earning season resumes when Wall Street returns, with results from Agilent Technologies, Home Depot, and Medtron...
Tag: Economy & Policy
Many Americans Will Be Getting Smaller Tax Refunds This Year. Here’s Why.
The flood of federal pandemic-relief money was welcome last year, but it is causing disappointment and confusion as taxpayers prepare their 2021 returns. Many will be getting smaller-than-expected ref...
JPMorgan Now Expects Nine Straight Fed Rate Increases Until March 2023
Text size Wall Street banks are predicting more aggressive rate increases by the Federal Reserve. Stefani Reynolds/AFP/Getty Images Economists at JPMorgan Chase said the Federal Reserve would likely r...
How Stocks Perform Just Before and After a Drastic Fed Interest-Rate Increase
Text size Jerome Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve. Graeme Jennings / POOL/AFP via Getty Images The Federal Reserve could implement two interest-rate increases in one fell swoop next month. The sto...
Scorned Treasury Bonds Could Be Good Bet After Fed Boosts Rates
Rarely has there been such unanimity of opinion among both Federal Reserve officials and the cadre of analysts who track and try to predict their future moves. Monetary policy will be tightened with a...
Europe Looks Beyond Russia for Natural Gas. These Companies May Benefit.
The European Union will look to cuts it dependence on Russian natural gas. Andrey Rudakov/Bloomberg Text size It takes a brave investor to bet on the outcome of Vladimir Putin’s saber rattling around ...
Inflation, Interest-Rate Jitters, and Putin Are Brewing a Fierce Storm for the Stock Market
Text size A Ukrainian soldier in the Kharkiv region near the Russian border. Will Putin pull the trigger on an invasion? Sergey Bobok/AFP/Getty Images We were waist deep in the Big Muddy, and the big ...
4 Stocks That Could Thrive During Inflation
Text size Caterpillar is lucky to have customers flush with cash from rising commodity prices. Justin Sullivan/Getty Images Inflation is hot—and that’s cooling off plenty of companies’ earnings. But n...
Inflation Is Surging. Here Are Some Portfolio Changes to Consider.
Market sentiment changes awfully fast these days. Rising concerns about the impact of interest-rate hikes pushed the S&P 500 down more than 5% in January (with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Inde...
Bitcoin’s Price Isn’t Done Falling. How It Could Drop to $10,000.
Text size Stifel’s top equity strategist thinks Bitcoin prices could sink to $10,000. Dreamstime.com The bull case for Bitcoin is that it powers up to $100,000, from recent prices around $43,000...
Nvidia Calls Off Acquisition of Chip-Designer Arm. It’s Not a Surprise.
Text size Justin Sullivan/Getty Images Shares of Nvidia fell in premarket trading Tuesday after the graphics chipmaker and Japan’s SoftBank agreed to call off Nvidia’s deal to buy microprocessor desig...
Inflation and the Fed: Why Wall Street Is Misdiagnosing Pandemic Economics
About the authors: Larry Hatheway and Alex Friedman are the co-founders of Jackson Hole Economics, and the former chief economist and chief investment officer, respectively, of UBS. The Federal Reserv...
The Jobs Report Reveals a Booming Labor Market. Here’s Where Interest Rates Are Headed.
Text size President Joe Biden speaking about the January jobs report. Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images Good news for Main Street, not so good news for Wall Street. Once again, a booming labor market is like...
Forget About Inflation. Contrarians Expect a Recession and a Drop in Bond Yields.
“Something that everyone knows isn’t worth knowing,” as the famed financier Bernard Baruch once observed. And so I was reminded by a long discourse in the New York Times this past week on why bond yie...
This Is What a Stock-Market Earnings Slowdown Looks Like. Things Could Take a Turn for the Worse.
Text size It’s been a painful time for investors hoping that earnings could drive stocks higher. Even the rallies are stomach-churning. Michael Nagle/Bloomberg Stop me if you’ve heard this one before:...
When Is the Next Recession Coming? Here’s How to Time It
Fake it ‘til you make it might work in Silicon Valley. It’s a less practical strategy for the Federal Reserve, which looks ready to compound one mistake with another. The central bank’s statement on W...
Housing Market Is the Fed’s Frankenstein, and It Won’t Be Easily Tamed
Fed chief Jerome Powell says there is an ‘element of uncertainty around the balance sheet’ and the central bank’s plans to shrink it from the pandemic-inflated $9 trillion at which it now stands. Grae...
Here’s What to Watch as the Fed Gets Set to Raise Rates and Shrink Balance Sheet
Anxiety is high as the Federal Reserve wraps its first meeting of the year. Will the central bank abruptly end its emergency bond-buying program ahead of schedule? Are more rate increases in store, an...
What Will Stocks Do if War—or Peace—Erupts in Ukraine?
Text size A Ukrainian guard at a checkpoint on the border with Russia. There could be a financial toll, as well as a heavy human one, if the Kremlin launches an invasion. Vyacheslav Madiyevskyy/Ukrinf...