Netflix Has a Big Problem. Here’s the Math That Might Fix It

Illustration by Elias Stein Text size Netflix shares are off 70% this year, due in large part to the streaming-video company’s disastrous first-quarter earnings. Among other things, Netflix lost 200,0...

Companies Are Rebuilding Their Inventories. What That Means for Profits.

Text size Target’s inventory rose 43.1% and sales grew 4% in the most recent quarter. Joe Raedle/Getty Images After months of being empty, shelves are finally being restocked. That makes shoppers happ...

The Bear Market Is Still on the Prowl

Text size To the Editor:There is definitely further to go (“The Stock Market Has Avoided a Bear. But the Selloff Isn’t Over,” The Trader, May 20). The Federal Reserve goosed the economy from 2009 to n...

Toyota Is Cutting Car Production Again. It’s Bad News for Inflation.

Text size A scene from a Toyoya production line in India. Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg Global car production has been hampered for months because of a plethora of supply-chain and logistics issues. Investor...

Avoiding Recession May Require Moving the Inflation Goal Post

Fed chief Jerome Powell, shown at a May 4 press conference, has said the central bank remains committed to bringing inflation down to 2%. Al Drago/Bloomberg Text size Signs of economic weakness are pi...

Markets Finally Reversed Their Losing Streaks. The Fed Might Avoid Inflicting More Pain, After All.

Text size A ‘help wanted’ sign is displayed in a Manhattan store in New York City. Spencer Platt/Getty Images Nothing lasts forever, not even a stock market decline. But just because a mar...

The Stock Market Finally Had a Winning Week. Why It Might Not Last.

Text size Ed Yardeni, founder of Yardeni Research: “We now are raising the odds of a recession from 30% to 40%.” Christopher Goodney/Bloomberg The stock market ended its multiweek losing streak, and l...

This Rally Could Force the Fed to Raise Rates Higher

The markets make the news, not the other way around, an insight that has been quite humbling to one who has made a living by reporting and analyzing the impact of news on financial markets. Consider t...

These Stocks Could Pop if the Fed Keeps Its Hands off the Market

Text size Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Al Drago/Bloomberg Is the “Fed put” a thing of the past, or has it just been temporarily put on hold? I’m referring to the colloquial name Wall Street...

If There’s a Recession Coming, Not Even the Fed Could Stop It Now

The word recession is on the tip of everyone’s tongue. Influential investor and philanthropist George Soros is talking about it in Davos. The Federal Reserve, on the day minutes are published, is cons...

Fed Minutes to Come Today. Look for Insights on Rates, Mortgage Bonds, and More.

When the Federal Reserve on Wednesday releases the minutes from its most recent policy meeting, investors will get a deeper look at deliberations over monetary-policy tightening and officials’ views o...

Sit Out the Next Few Months, Say These Analysts. A Recession Is Unavoidable.

Text size American flags outside the New York Stock Exchange in New York. Michael Nagle/Bloomberg The S&P 500 came close to finishing Friday’s session in a bear market, adding fuel to a rapidly in...

How Low Could the S&P 500 Sink? According to History, 3000.

Text size The fall in stock and bond prices has cut household wealth by as much as $8 trillion in 2022. Justin Lane/epa-efe/Shutterstock The stock market had a near-bear experience, which might be the...

Nvidia, Macy’s, Zoom, Costco, Snowflake, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week

Text size Uncredited First-quarter earnings season winds down this week, but with more than a dozen S&P 500 companies left to report. Economists will be watching the latest Federal Reserve meeting...

Nvidia, Macy’s, Zoom, Costco, Snowflake, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week

Text size Uncredited First-quarter earnings season winds down this week, but with more than a dozen S&P 500 companies left to report. Economists will be watching the latest Federal Reserve meeting...

3 Off-Price Retailers That Look Like Bargains in the Stock Market’s Wreckage

T.J. Maxx’s parent TJX reported earnings that were above Wall Street expectations. Cindy Ord/Getty Images Text size Two of the three major off-price retailers posted quarterly earnings this week, with...

$6 a Gallon Gasoline? Here’s How It Could Happen.

Illustration by Elias Stein Text size U.S. gasoline prices are at record highs, averaging more than $4.50 per gallon at the pump, and surpassing $4 in all 50 states for the first time. But, says Natas...

Corporate Board Diversity Benefits Companies and Stakeholders

Text size It is in the best interest of shareholders for companies to evaluate their board composition regularly, establish policies and processes to ensure board diversity, and disclose the compositi...

The Stock Market Has Avoided a Bear. But the Selloff Isn’t Over

The S&P 500 indexrefuses to fall into a bear market—but that doesn’t mean it’s found a bottom just yet. Not that it wasn’t a painful week. The S&P 500 dropped 3% and has now fallen 18.7% from ...

The Bear Nears and Might Not Exit Stocks Until the S&P Sinks to 3000

Text size The fall in stock and bond prices has cut household wealth by as much as $8 trillion in 2022. Justin Lane/epa-efe/Shutterstock The stock market had a near-bear experience, which might be the...

Consumers Aren’t OK. Why April Retail Sales Are Misleading.

Walmart sales climbed in the first quarter from a year ago, but flat transaction numbers suggest inflation drove the gain. Here, a Walmart in San Leandro, Calif., last year. David Paul Morris/Bloomber...

How Long Do Bear Markets Last? S&P 500 Is Near One— and It May Fall More.

The worst selloffs began in 1973, 2000 and 2007. Spencer Platt/Getty Images Text size With the latest 4% drop on Wednesday, the S&P 500 index is now 18% below its all-time high and dangerously clo...

Why Is the Stock Market Down Today? Dow Slides and Target Tumbles.

Traders on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average had its worst day since 2020 on Wednesday. Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images Text size Sometimes it ta...

Boeing Could Face Another Test on 787. Investors Need ‘D’ for Deliveries.

Text size An American Airlines Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner. Joe Raedle/Getty Images Boeing investors could use a bit of good news, but they don’t seem to be getting any. The latest is the assertion that t...

Walmart, Moderna, Target, Deere, Home Depot, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week

Text size It’s the tail end of first-quarter earnings season, with mostly retailers left to report this week. Government data on U.S. retail sales will also be released. Home Depot and Walmart report ...

The SEC Just Raised the Fees Investors Pay on Every Transaction

Text size The fees aren’t big enough to change most traders’ plans. Getty Images After this weekend, U.S. government fees on securities sales will quadruple. Don’t panic. The charges are s...

Are We in a Bear Market? Investors Should Stay Calm.

About the author: David Rosenberg is founder and president of Rosenberg Research & Associates. He was formerly chief economist and strategist at Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc, and chief North Ame...

The ‘Fed Put’ Has Finally Expired. What Investors Should Do Now.

Text size Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at a news conference in Washington on May 4. Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images Jerome Powell’s recent news conference lingers like a traumatic Zen koan. ...

Russia Is Likely to Default on Its Debt Soon. What That Means for Markets.

Text size Spires of St Basil’s Cathedral in Moscow’s Red Square. Cameron Spencer/Getty Images About the author: David Beers is a senior fellow at the Center for Financial Stability, a NY-b...

Is Red-Hot Inflation Cooling Off? 3 Signs That Show It Is.

Text size Expectations for inflation are critical to how fast the Fed raises interest rates. Frederic J. Brown/AFP via Getty Images Good news about inflation is bubbling up even as the Federal Reserve...

Stock Market Today: Dow Futures Slide, Tech Sells Off, Bond Yields Surge

Text size Stocks have had a tough 2022, with the S&P 500 firmly in correction territory. Dreamstime Stocks slipped on Monday with last week’s selloff resuming, as investors fretted about the econo...

3 Signs Red-Hot Inflation Is Cooling Off

Text size Expectations for inflation are critical to how fast the Fed raises interest rates. Frederic J. Brown/AFP via Getty Images Good news about inflation is bubbling up even as the Federal Reserve...