It was roughly a year ago, after the Russian invasion of Ukraine caused an oil-price shock and the Federal Reserve kicked off its interest-rate-tightening campaign, that forecasters began warning in e...
Tag: economic predictions
Strong Economic Data Weaken the Case for Continued Stock Rally
The dash for trash has hit a speed bump. Stocks faltered again this past week as the early-year rally, led by rebounds in 2022’s speculative-grade losers, ran into resistance from higher expected inte...
Goldman Sachs ups its near-term S&P 500 target due to brighter economic picture. But that could knock 25% off stocks, strategists say.
Provided there are no more economic surprises, stocks are unlikely to face a near-term meltdown and the S&P 500 could work its way back to 4,000. That’s according to a team of Goldman Sachs strate...
Opinion: The Fed expects a ‘soft landing’ and no recession for the economy. We could get stagflation instead.
I am especially wary of economists — that includes Federal Reserve members and well as former Fed members — who are quick to see a soft landing for the U.S. economy. Soft landings are rare. Former Fed...
What will the Fed and Jerome Powell do next week?
Jittery U.S. investors are still in “bad news is good news” mode because they want to see interest rates decline. And they expect to get what they want, as shown by the inverse yield curve. Two-year U...
Opinion: ‘Don’t just sit there, do something.’ The stock market is telling you to make some hard decisions with your money now.
I have always refrained from saying what legendary investor Sir John Templeton considered the four most dangerous words in investing: This time is different.” After months of talking to and reading th...
Forget recession — the U.S. is heading for a ‘slowcession’ that could last all year, Moody’s warns
Even if the U.S. avoids a recession in 2023, American consumers and investors could face a grinding slowdown that likely won’t let up until 2024, according to a new outlook published by Moody’s Analyt...
Opinion: Three value-stock investors favor these six picks for a rocky 2023
Analysts expect value stocks to maintain outperformance over growth stocks as interest rates rise and the economy falters. To find some of the best value names to consider, I recently checked in with ...
Opinion: 11 predictions for money, technology, stocks and crypto for 2023
Here are some 2023 predictions for financial markets, the economy and stocks. I’ve spent the last year and a half being cautious in the wake of the Bubble-Blowing Bull Market that finally ended early ...
Fed approves another jumbo interest-rate hike but also signals go-slower strategy
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday approved the fourth straight jumbo increase in a key U.S. interest rate and signaled rates are likely to go higher than previously forecast. Yet the central bank also ...
‘Growing wealth gap and rising inflation … hurt the global economy at almost every turn,’ Jamie Dimon says
What a difference 25 years can make. The world today is a markedly different place from the world that existed at MarketWatch’s inception in October 1997. JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPM, +1.66% CEO Jami...
U.K. Prime Minister Liz Truss Admits Mistake in Communicating Economic Plan
LONDON—U.K. Prime Minister Liz Truss said that her government could have done a better job preparing financial markets for a surprise tax-cut plan funded by increased debt, but otherwise defended the ...
‘Painfully slow capitulation’: Why investors keep getting inflation wrong
A brutal third quarter in financial markets came to a close on Friday and one thing is overwhelmingly clear: Inflation is the single most important factor driving asset valuations right now and yet fe...
The Dollar Will Get Even Stronger. Why That Could Slam the Global Economy.
Even for mighty Microsoft , $595 million is a lot of money. That’s how much the software giant’s sales were reduced in the most recent quarter by the ever-stronger U.S. dollar. Indeed, a broad range o...
Economist predicts a ‘whopper’ of recession in 2023 — and that’s not necessarily due to higher interest rates
Financial markets investors worry the U.S. is on the brink of an economic downturn as central bankers in Jackson Hole reaffirmed their determination to raise interest rates to bring inflation under co...
Fed sees inflation topping 5% in 2022 and then falling rapidly due to higher rates
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday predicted U.S. inflation would exceed 5% by the end of 2022 — much higher than its most recent forecasts — underscoring its more aggressive strategy in raising interes...
How Low Could the S&P 500 Sink? According to History, 3000.
Text size The fall in stock and bond prices has cut household wealth by as much as $8 trillion in 2022. Justin Lane/epa-efe/Shutterstock The stock market had a near-bear experience, which might be the...
The Bear Nears and Might Not Exit Stocks Until the S&P Sinks to 3000
Text size The fall in stock and bond prices has cut household wealth by as much as $8 trillion in 2022. Justin Lane/epa-efe/Shutterstock The stock market had a near-bear experience, which might be the...
Palantir Earnings and Outlook Fall Short of Estimates. The Stock Plunges.
Text size Palantir guided to a ‘base case’ of $470 million in revenue for the second quarter. Dreamstime Palantir Technologies posted soft first-quarter results, along with June quarter gu...
‘The Fed always screws up.’ This forecaster sees inflation peaking and U.S. stocks in a bear market by summer
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk Management, has been bullish on gold, silver and utilities since the start of the year, when his investment-research firm’s economic models turned bea...
The news coming from this giant volcano is even gloomier than the new forecasts from the IMF and World Bank
Investors love looking at esoteric indicators for clues on how the economy is performing, and therefore how stocks, bonds and other assets will trade. How about looking at carbon dioxide emissions? Th...
Fed’s Williams says could begin reducing balance sheet as soon as May meeting
The Federal Reserve may begin reducing its balance sheet as soon as its May 3-4 policy meeting to address the level of U.S. inflation that have become “particularly acute,” New York Fed chair John Wil...
Cheaper Stocks Boost S&P 500’s Prospects in New Year
Investors banking on a roaring bull market in U.S. stocks in 2022 are enjoying the company of an unexpected ally: valuations. The S&P 500 rose 27% in 2021, capping a third consecutive year of dou...
Opinion: The only market forecast that should matter to stock investors: When does the Fed decide that higher inflation is OK?
By this time last year, every stock market forecast made for 2022 was wrong. The U.S. stock market peaked on the first trading day of 2022 and went downhill from there. This year, every forecast made ...