Text size A housing development in Pearland, Texas. Brandon Bell/Getty Images The rising cost of buying a home has cooled the market this year. In a roundabout way, Friday’s jobs report will add to ho...
Tag: economic performance
PVC Prices Are Falling. Why Warren Buffett Should Be Worried.
One thing leads to the other. Rising interest rates pummel housing. Lumber prices fall, some 60% this year. And, notes energy research firm and investment bank Tudor Pickering Holt, PVC—the plastic th...
A ‘Fed pivot’ still is the best shot for stocks to rebound
Timing the market has been a nagging question for investors ever since the stock market began its decline by roughly 25% in January this year. The right answer likely hinges on whether or not the Fede...
Why Are My Inflation-Protected Bonds Falling When Inflation Is So High?
Listen to article (1 minute) You would think this would be TIPS’ time to shine. Instead, the prices of Treasury inflation-protected securities—government bonds that are adjusted to keep up with inflat...
Weekend reads: How the Fed’s punishing policy can set you up for massive gains in the stock market
During a long bear market, investors’ moods can be so bleak and muddy that they cannot envision better times. But they always come. Warren Buffett has shown repeatedly over the decades how to enhance ...
S&P 500 would be in an ‘earnings recession’ if not for this one booming sector — but that may not last long
Fears of an actual recession are weighing on investors near the end of 2022, but there is another type of recession also in sight: an earnings recession. The S&P 500 index would already be in an e...
Opinion: Inflation is going to fall just as fast as it rose, and that’s investors’ cue to enter the stock market
When central banks, most notably the Federal Reserve these days, move too aggressively on interest-rate increases, things break. Believe it or not, this is bullish in the twisted thinking of Wall Stre...
Global economy will ‘crumble’ if Fed doesn’t stop hiking interest rates, billionaire investor Sternlicht says
““They are going to cause unbelievable calamities if they keep up their action, and not just here, all over the globe,” ” — Barry Sternlicht, CEO, Starwood Capital Group Billionaire Barry Sternlicht,...
Opinion: Your off-ramp for I-bonds is coming up soon if you bought the securities for their juicy 9.6% yield
You can hold on to Series I bonds for 30 years, but if you jumped in when the interest rate skyrocketed to 9.62%, you might be looking for an off-ramp well before then. If you were attracted primarily...
Fed’s Williams sees steep decline in inflation ahead
Cooling global demand and steady improvements in supply should result in falling rates of inflation for goods over the next year, New York Fed President John Williams said Monday. “These factors shoul...
Opinion: Stock markets will drop another 40% as a severe stagflationary debt crisis hits an overleveraged global economy
NEW YORK (Project Syndicate)—For a year now, I have argued that the increase in inflation would be persistent, that its causes include not only bad policies but also negative supply shocks, and that c...
This stock market strategist says the coming recession could be the biggest ever. ‘I recommend prayer.’
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk Management, isn’t one to mince words about financial markets, the Federal Reserve or the economy. Right now he has a few less-than-charitable things t...
U.N. Calls On Fed, Other Central Banks to Halt Interest-Rate Increases
The Federal Reserve and other central banks risk pushing the global economy into recession followed by prolonged stagnation if they keep raising interest rates, a United Nations agency said Monday. Th...
What will happen with inflation, interest rates and housing? Here’s what to expect in the next two years, and what could go wrong.
This article is reprinted by permission from NerdWallet. The investing information provided on this page is for educational purposes only. NerdWallet does not offer advisory or brokerage services, nor...
U.K. Prime Minister Liz Truss Admits Mistake in Communicating Economic Plan
LONDON—U.K. Prime Minister Liz Truss said that her government could have done a better job preparing financial markets for a surprise tax-cut plan funded by increased debt, but otherwise defended the ...
The major county in America where home prices just dropped the most is …
Buyers may be starting to see home price drops in some areas. (Getty Images) Home buyers have watched as home prices marched upwards for the past few years, but now many of you will finally get some r...
‘Painfully slow capitulation’: Why investors keep getting inflation wrong
A brutal third quarter in financial markets came to a close on Friday and one thing is overwhelmingly clear: Inflation is the single most important factor driving asset valuations right now and yet fe...
‘We are in deep trouble’: Billionaire investor Druckenmiller believes Fed’s monetary tightening will push the economy into recession in 2023
Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller sees a “hard landing” for the U.S. economy by the end of 2023 as the Federal Reserve’s aggressive monetary tightening will result in a recession. “I will be...
Opinion: Market instability replaces inflation as the biggest risk, raising the chances of a pivot by the Federal Reserve
Market instability is the biggest risk to central banks globally, replacing inflation, owing to massive amounts of leverage. So far, the U.S. Federal Reserve is fortunate because there’s low volatilit...
The U.K. Economy Is Having a Meltdown. Why It’s Going to Get Worse.
The recent sharp drop in the British pound and in U.K. government bonds means traders are at panic stations, with repercussions being felt across the globe. The spectacular drops in the past month wer...
U.K. could trigger a global crisis as pound collapses while bond yields soar, Larry Summers says
““A currency crisis in a reserve currency could well have global consequences. I am surprised that we have heard nothing from the IMF.”” — Larry Summers, former U.S. Treasury secretary Former U.S. Tre...
Why TIPS might be a smart place to park some money right now
Inflation is running at 8% or higher, depending on how you count it (and who’s counting). The Federal Reserve is clearly panicking. And the markets are clearly panicking too. So at this point, Uncle S...
If chip production is recovering, why are automakers still making fewer cars?
Automakers trimmed 76,000 vehicles from global production plans in mid-September, according to analysts from AutoForecast Solutions. They’ll produce about 3.23 million fewer this year than planned, th...
How to get a guaranteed return of 1.3% per year above inflation
TIPS in recent months have become an increasingly attractive option for the fixed-income portion of your retirement portfolio. I’m referring, of course, to the Treasury’s Inflation-Protected Securitie...
Americans are souring on the housing market. Home buyer sentiment hits lowest level since 2011 — and mortgage rates reach 7%.
There’s no respite for home buyers these days. From rising rates, high home prices, and an uncertain economic outlook, shoppers are finding it hard to jump into purchasing a home. Fannie Mae noted th...