The word recession is on the tip of everyone’s tongue. Influential investor and philanthropist George Soros is talking about it in Davos. The Federal Reserve, on the day minutes are published, is cons...
Tag: Economic News
Fed Minutes to Come Today. Look for Insights on Rates, Mortgage Bonds, and More.
When the Federal Reserve on Wednesday releases the minutes from its most recent policy meeting, investors will get a deeper look at deliberations over monetary-policy tightening and officials’ views o...
‘Markets are imploding’ because the Fed isn’t doing its job, says billionaire investor Bill Ackman
“‘How does this downward market spiral end? It ends when the Fed puts a line in the sand on inflation and says it will do “whatever it takes.”’” — Bill Ackman, founder and CEO, Pershing Square Capital...
New home sales plunge as high prices and rising U.S. mortgage rates discourage buyers
The numbers: Sales of new homes in the U.S. fell in April for the fourth month in a row to the lowest level since the pandemic owing to high prices and soaring mortgage rates. New sales slowed to a 59...
‘Real wealth destruction’: This Deutsche Bank chart shows what could happen to assets in a repeat of the stagflationary 1970s.
While the decade is still young, if inflation sticks around for the next few years, things could get pretty ugly for investors. That’s according to this chart from Deutsche Bank, which shows how a ran...
In a ‘baby with the bathwater’ market, here are a dozen unfairly punished stocks, ripe for a bounce
Another equity selloff is brewing as a warning from Snapchat’s parent has triggered broader panic, with fears Snap is the next canary in the coal mine for tech. Or it just may be another excuse to sel...
Inflation may be a lot lower than anyone thinks — even the Fed
U.S. inflation in April plunged to an annualized rate of 4.1% — less than half of where it stood in the prior month. This will no doubt come as a surprise for those of you who focus only on the financ...
Opinion: ‘I feel like I am reliving the summer of 2008.’ Strategist David Rosenberg sees bear market sinking the S&P 500 to 3,300
The U.S. stock and the bond markets are finally in the process of catching up with our views. We always believed these past two years represented a fake bull market built on sand, not concrete. And fr...
Sit Out the Next Few Months, Say These Analysts. A Recession Is Unavoidable.
Text size American flags outside the New York Stock Exchange in New York. Michael Nagle/Bloomberg The S&P 500 came close to finishing Friday’s session in a bear market, adding fuel to a rapidly in...
How Low Could the S&P 500 Sink? According to History, 3000.
Text size The fall in stock and bond prices has cut household wealth by as much as $8 trillion in 2022. Justin Lane/epa-efe/Shutterstock The stock market had a near-bear experience, which might be the...
15 Ways Consumers Can Deal With—and Even Benefit From—Rising Inflation
We are feeling the squeeze everywhere—from the groceries we buy to the gas we pump into cars. Inflation stood at 8.3% in April, remaining close to a four-decade high of 8.5% reached in March from the ...
Opinion: This plan to tax the ultrarich is much simpler and better than Biden’s idea
President Joe Biden and Senate Finance Committee Chair Ron Wyden (D-OR) have proposed different ways to tax unrealized capital gains every year. Their shared goal is understandable, with trillions of ...
Conditions Are Ripe for a Deep Bear Market
With the S&P 500 briefly on Friday down 20% from its January peak, it is very tempting to start trying to call the end of the selloff. The problem is that only one of the conditions for a rally is...
Stock Market Bottom Remains Elusive Despite Deepening Decline
U.S. stocks are in the midst of their longest selloff in decades. Whether they are close to bottoming is anyone’s guess. Market selloffs have long stumped strategists trying to predict when they were...
Buy the dip or sell the ‘rip’?: What’s next as S&P 500 tests bear-market territory
Investors, already grappling with a sinking stock market and fears that the U.S. economy may be heading for a recession, now turn their focus to the consumer. For one thing, consumer discretionary sto...
The Bear Nears and Might Not Exit Stocks Until the S&P Sinks to 3000
Text size The fall in stock and bond prices has cut household wealth by as much as $8 trillion in 2022. Justin Lane/epa-efe/Shutterstock The stock market had a near-bear experience, which might be the...
Surging Dollar Raises Possibility of Parity With Euro
A roughly 7% slide in the euro against the dollar this year is breathing new life into a two-decade old question on Wall Street: Will this be the year the currencies finally reach parity? The euro fe...
Opinion: The U.S. isn’t headed for recession. Nor will it be consumed by inflationary fires.
“Some say the world will end in fire,” goes a famous Robert Frost line. “And some say in ice.” If ever poetry could explain the stock market, this may come closest to capturing the sour mood that’s ab...
Consumers Aren’t OK. Why April Retail Sales Are Misleading.
Walmart sales climbed in the first quarter from a year ago, but flat transaction numbers suggest inflation drove the gain. Here, a Walmart in San Leandro, Calif., last year. David Paul Morris/Bloomber...
Next big shoe to drop in financial markets: Inflation that fails to respond to Fed rate hikes
Traders, investors and strategists are adding one more factor to the list of reasons why financial markets may be in for more volatility through at least the next three to four months: the likelihood ...
A ‘summer of pain’ for stocks? Nasdaq Composite could plunge 75% from peak, and S&P 500 skid 45% from top, warns Guggenheim’s Scott Minerd
The carnage playing out in the U.S. stock market on Wednesday is likely an amuse-bouche compared with the devastation on the menu for the bulls in the coming months and years, Guggenheim Partners Glob...
Is the Housing Market Slowing Down? Takeaways From Real Estate Earnings.
Several housing metrics due this week are expected to show signs of a slowdown. That sentiment has also been echoed in recent comments from real estate technology companies on earnings calls. Affordab...
Here’s what a modern Volcker-style inflation fight could look like, SocGen says
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has begun talking about a “softish landing” for the economy as the central bank squares off against high inflation by raising rates and cutting its nearly $9 tri...
A $100 Billion Comedown: Soaring Defaults Shrink Asia’s Junk-Bond Market
Once the place to be for yield-seeking global investors, Asia’s junk-bond market has shrunk drastically and new debt issuance has slowed to a trickle. Less than 18 months ago, the dollar-bond market f...
Fed Hawkishness May Be Near Its Peak, Even if Inflation Isn’t
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, shown earlier this month at his postmeeting press conference, says the price pressures need to be reined in even at the expense of economic pain. But how far is he willing ...
Opinion: The Fed must boost rates by a full percentage point at every meeting to bring down inflation and avoid a job-killing recession
The Fed has taken aim at inflation, but it isn’t moving fast enough. Earlier this month the Fed boosted the federal funds rate by half a point, and more half and quarter point increases are almost cer...