One thing leads to the other. Rising interest rates pummel housing. Lumber prices fall, some 60% this year. And, notes energy research firm and investment bank Tudor Pickering Holt, PVC—the plastic th...
Tag: Economic News
Cracks in financial markets fuel debate on whether the next crisis is inevitable
To paraphrase a quote by legendary investor Warren Buffett: It’s only when the tide goes out that you discover who’s been swimming without a suit. In this case, the metaphorical tide represents the en...
UBS’ Solita Marcelli: Why I’m Optimistic About the Market
The financial headlines have been gloomy all year, but Solita Marcelli sees reason for optimism, in part because stock valuations have fallen so far. “Price/earnings multiples are back in line with lo...
A ‘Fed pivot’ still is the best shot for stocks to rebound
Timing the market has been a nagging question for investors ever since the stock market began its decline by roughly 25% in January this year. The right answer likely hinges on whether or not the Fede...
Why Are My Inflation-Protected Bonds Falling When Inflation Is So High?
Listen to article (1 minute) You would think this would be TIPS’ time to shine. Instead, the prices of Treasury inflation-protected securities—government bonds that are adjusted to keep up with inflat...
5 Active Mutual Funds for the Long Run, Plus Five Runners-Up
Gone are the days when star mutual fund managers were household names. The strong personalities that once dominated fund management—think Bill Gross or Peter Lynch—have moved on. Many active mutual fu...
Weekend reads: How the Fed’s punishing policy can set you up for massive gains in the stock market
During a long bear market, investors’ moods can be so bleak and muddy that they cannot envision better times. But they always come. Warren Buffett has shown repeatedly over the decades how to enhance ...
Bond markets facing historic losses grow anxious of Fed that ‘isn’t blinking yet’
The Federal Reserve has been showing no signs of letting up on aggressive rate hikes, even as its policies fuel carnage for the ages across the roughly $53 trillion U.S. bond market. As a result, borr...
S&P 500 would be in an ‘earnings recession’ if not for this one booming sector — but that may not last long
Fears of an actual recession are weighing on investors near the end of 2022, but there is another type of recession also in sight: an earnings recession. The S&P 500 index would already be in an e...
Fed may need to pivot by early November, when ‘something breaks’: Scott Minerd
With multiple cracks emerging in global financial markets, the Federal Reserve may be forced to end its aggressive rate hikes “when something breaks” and to pivot by the end of the World Series this f...
Opinion: Inflation is going to fall just as fast as it rose, and that’s investors’ cue to enter the stock market
When central banks, most notably the Federal Reserve these days, move too aggressively on interest-rate increases, things break. Believe it or not, this is bullish in the twisted thinking of Wall Stre...
American households and businesses are seeing their savings deteriorate as ‘financial fragility’ rises
After socking away savings during the aftermath of the COVID-19 crisis, American households and businesses are watching their financial cushions rapidly deteriorate as prices have soared and the Feder...
The stock market is wrong: the economy isn’t going to ‘blow a gasket’ just yet, warns economist
While this year’s sharp selloff in stocks might feel brutal, particularly after the carnage of September, the S&P 500 remains about 17.1% above year-end 2019 levels, according to Dow Jones Market ...
He nailed three big S&P 500 moves this year. Here’s where this strategist sees stocks headed next, with beaten down names to buy.
A Wall Street hat trick may not be on the cards, with stocks in the red for Wednesday. A two-day rally was never a guaranteed exit out of the bear woods anyway, as some say signs of a durable bottom a...
Visa ‘stands to lose the most’ from Fed’s new debit-card rules, analyst says
Newly solidified Federal Reserve guidelines on debit-card routing could have some impact on the financial performance of payment-technology companies, but the latest rules weren’t as onerous for the c...
Global economy will ‘crumble’ if Fed doesn’t stop hiking interest rates, billionaire investor Sternlicht says
““They are going to cause unbelievable calamities if they keep up their action, and not just here, all over the globe,” ” — Barry Sternlicht, CEO, Starwood Capital Group Billionaire Barry Sternlicht,...
Opinion: Your off-ramp for I-bonds is coming up soon if you bought the securities for their juicy 9.6% yield
You can hold on to Series I bonds for 30 years, but if you jumped in when the interest rate skyrocketed to 9.62%, you might be looking for an off-ramp well before then. If you were attracted primarily...
Fed’s Williams sees steep decline in inflation ahead
Cooling global demand and steady improvements in supply should result in falling rates of inflation for goods over the next year, New York Fed President John Williams said Monday. “These factors shoul...
Opinion: Stock markets will drop another 40% as a severe stagflationary debt crisis hits an overleveraged global economy
NEW YORK (Project Syndicate)—For a year now, I have argued that the increase in inflation would be persistent, that its causes include not only bad policies but also negative supply shocks, and that c...
Stocks will continue falling even after Fed pivots, warns Morgan Stanley strategist who predicted bear market
Morgan Stanley Chief Equity Strategist Mike Wilson on Monday has doubled down on his call for stocks to continue falling into the end of 2022 partly because of a shrinking supply of dollars in some of...
This stock market strategist says the coming recession could be the biggest ever. ‘I recommend prayer.’
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk Management, isn’t one to mince words about financial markets, the Federal Reserve or the economy. Right now he has a few less-than-charitable things t...
U.N. Calls On Fed, Other Central Banks to Halt Interest-Rate Increases
The Federal Reserve and other central banks risk pushing the global economy into recession followed by prolonged stagnation if they keep raising interest rates, a United Nations agency said Monday. Th...
Treasury yields pull back sharply amid concerns over Credit Suisse
Treasury yields pulled back sharply on Monday as investors assessed worries over the financial health of a large European bank and a gauge on the U.S. manufacturing sector produced the weakest reading...
Why Interest Rates Are Rising Everywhere—Except Your Savings Account
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What will happen with inflation, interest rates and housing? Here’s what to expect in the next two years, and what could go wrong.
This article is reprinted by permission from NerdWallet. The investing information provided on this page is for educational purposes only. NerdWallet does not offer advisory or brokerage services, nor...
U.K. Prime Minister Liz Truss Admits Mistake in Communicating Economic Plan
LONDON—U.K. Prime Minister Liz Truss said that her government could have done a better job preparing financial markets for a surprise tax-cut plan funded by increased debt, but otherwise defended the ...
Bond Market Turmoil Could Last a While. How to Ride It Out.
It is an exciting time for fixed income—and a terrifying one, too. Central banks are in the midst of the most dramatic tightening of monetary policy in a generation, which has helped push yields on so...
Americans are souring on the housing market. Home buyer sentiment hits lowest level since 2011 — and mortgage rates reach 7%.
There’s no respite for home buyers these days. From rising rates, high home prices, and an uncertain economic outlook, shoppers are finding it hard to jump into purchasing a home. Fannie Mae noted th...