About the author: David Rosenberg is founder and president of Rosenberg Research & Associates. He was formerly chief economist and strategist at Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc, and chief North Ame...
Tag: economic growth
This JPMorgan portfolio manager says he isn’t betting on a U.S. recession
In a wobbly stock market, Phil Camporeale, a portfolio manager at JPMorgan Chase & Co., is betting the U.S. will avoid a recession. Rising interest rates are the “number one culprit this year for...
How high can the Fed hike interest rates before a recession hits? This chart suggests a low threshold.
The days when the Federal Reserve could raise its benchmark interest rate significantly above 5% without sparking a recession may be a thing of the past, according to Wells Fargo Investment Institute....
Despite interest rate hikes, Tony Dwyer predicts sharp market bounce
While Wall Street braces for a half point interest rate hike on Wednesday, Canaccord Genuity’s Tony Dwyer sees the ingredients for a sharp market bounce. However, it’s unrelated to a funda...
Markets Inch Higher—But Experts Warn Of ‘Continued Volatility’ After ‘Brutal’ Stock Sell-Off
Topline Stocks finished slightly higher on Monday, attempting to find their footing after last week’s brutal sell-off, but Wall Street experts warn that even after the market’s worst month since the o...
I-bonds are all the rage — what’s the best way to use them?
With the release of March’s Consumer Price Index, we now know that a risk-free investment yielding 9.6% will be available as of May 2. I’m speaking, of course, about Series I savings bonds from the U....
Here are 30 stocks that Goldman Sachs likes when the economy stutters and markets gyrate
Wall Street is finding some traction for Tuesday, as investors wade through big earnings and ample, gloomy distractions. Fighting has ramped up again in Ukraine as the battle begins for the country’s ...
Opinion: Have semiconductor companies’ performance decoupled from the economy? Taiwan Semi earnings say yes, but we’ll get a clearer picture soon
Sentiment around technology and growth has sunk as rising interest rates, persistent inflation and a less accommodative Federal Reserve have sent investors running for safer bets. Although the fourth ...
What the rising probability of a ‘growth scare’ means for the stock market, according to Citigroup
Recession worries are working their way into equities, according to Citigroup. A “mild recession in 2023” could lead to a drop of about 20% for the S&P 500 index from its late March high of around...
Bond Rout Promises More Pain for Investors
The worst bond rout in decades shows few signs of abating, threatening further pain for both investors and borrowers. Battered by high inflation readings and sharp messages from Federal Reserve offici...
Opinion: Why the United States is reluctant to become the Saudi Arabia of natural gas
OXFORD, England (Project Syndicate)—With images of Russian aggression and war crimes in Ukraine continuing to dominate the media in Europe and around the world, Germany has pledged to cut its imports ...
Recession is `the most likely’ outcome for U.S. economy, says Larry Summers
Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, whose out-of-consensus views about the risks of persistent inflation have come true, is reiterating his concerns about a potential U.S. downturn: He now says a...
Another Recession Indicator Just Flashed Red
An index tracking plane, train, and ground transportation stocks has dropped more than 20% from its recent high. Dreamstime.com Text size The Dow Jones Transportation Average slipped into bear market ...
Recession Warning Bells Are Ringing. These Banks Look Strong.
Text size Truist identified several banks that would likely be hurt less than their rivals in a mild recession. Dreamstime Concern that the economy could be about to shrink is growing, so bank analyst...
U.S. economy will fall into a recession this summer, as inflation eats into consumer spending, former Fed official warns
Higher inflation will force consumers to limit their spending by so much that the economy will slump into a recession by the July-September quarter, former Federal Reserve Governor Lawrence Lindsey sa...
Fed’s Williams says could begin reducing balance sheet as soon as May meeting
The Federal Reserve may begin reducing its balance sheet as soon as its May 3-4 policy meeting to address the level of U.S. inflation that have become “particularly acute,” New York Fed chair John Wil...
Inverted Yield Curve Could Be Sending a Bogus Recession Warning
No topic has dominated the investment conversation lately as much as the yield curve. While it’s an arcane matter to most folks, we in the financial sphere have been thrown into a tizzy by this indica...
Wall Street Firms Are Slashing S&P 500 Price Targets—Here’s What They Predict For Markets
Topline A majority of Wall Street’s biggest firms have recently been slashing their S&P 500 forecasts for this year, predicting lower stock market returns as the Federal Reserve raises interest ra...
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink Says Russia-Ukraine War Is Upending World Order And Will End Globalization
Topline The war between Russia and Ukraine has heralded the end of globalization, as the conflict has upended the current world order that has been in place since the Cold War and will have lasting gl...
What The Fed Lifting Interest Rates Means For The Markets
Getty Images Key Takeaways Inflation hits highest levels in 40 years The Fed lifts interest rates Markets perform well despite news of rate hikes On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve announced that it wi...
Fed’s Powell sees the light — and turns far more hawkish than expected
After remaining stubbornly dovish last year, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday jumped the central bank squarely into the hawkish camp at his press conference on Wednesday. “The March...
Most Wall Street Experts Now Predict Stagflation—Here’s What That Means For Investors And The U.S. Economy
Topline Professional investors are growing increasingly gloomy about the future, with the majority now predicting that stocks will fall into a bear market this year and the U.S. economy will be plague...
Opinion: The Fed needs to target a floor for the 10-year Treasury, in addition to radically raising the fed funds rate
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell faces the toughest task since Chairman Paul Volcker tamed the Great Inflation of the 1970s and early 1980s. And a lot of the pressures driving the most virulent ...
Opinion: The U.S. isn’t headed for recession. Nor will it be consumed by inflationary fires.
“Some say the world will end in fire,” goes a famous Robert Frost line. “And some say in ice.” If ever poetry could explain the stock market, this may come closest to capturing the sour mood that’s ab...