It was roughly a year ago, after the Russian invasion of Ukraine caused an oil-price shock and the Federal Reserve kicked off its interest-rate-tightening campaign, that forecasters began warning in e...
Tag: economic growth
Inflation data rocked the stock market in 2022: Get ready for Tuesday’s CPI reading
Few things moved the U.S. stock market last year like inflation data and the next reading is due this week. Under the spotlight is the January consumer price index, which is set to be released at 8:30...
‘Edge of a swamp’: JPMorgan strategist sees ‘one time only sale’ in fixed income as U.S. economy slows
Fixed-income yields “all look good,” and you might want to get some while you still can, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s David Kelly. It’s a “one time only sale,” said Kelly, chief global stra...
Inflation rate slows again to 15-month low, PCE shows, as U.S. economy weakens
The numbers: The cost of U.S. goods and services rose a scant 0.1% in December in yet another sign inflation is cooling off, opening the door for the Federal Reserve to stop raising interest rates soo...
This recession indicator is close to the point of no return. But stocks historically rally if the Fed cuts and the economy still grows.
It’s way too early to proclaim a Goldilocks environment, even if major asset classes are at least pointing to a better chance of it. The S&P 500 SPX, +0.40% has gained 5% this year, and the tech-h...
Sell Microsoft Stock. The Software Giant Is Facing a Bad Economy, Says Analyst.
Guggenheim is getting more pessimistic about Microsoft stock on the risk of a slowing global economy. On Tuesday, analyst John DiFucci lowered his rating on software giant Microsoft (ticker: MSFT ) to...
China Is Opening Fast. Don’t Miss the Rebound for Stocks.
Chinese authorities’ abrupt pivot away from zero-Covid policies has been matched by the quick shift in investor sentiment about Chinese stocks from the bearishness of the past year. As the world’s sec...
Forget recession — the U.S. is heading for a ‘slowcession’ that could last all year, Moody’s warns
Even if the U.S. avoids a recession in 2023, American consumers and investors could face a grinding slowdown that likely won’t let up until 2024, according to a new outlook published by Moody’s Analyt...
The Bulls’ Worst Recession Fear: There Won’t Be One
“There ain’t gonna be no recession,” Pierre Rinfret, an economist who once advised the Nixon administration, confidently declared in December 1969. Better at attracting publicity than forecasting, he ...
Stock-market investors face 3 recession scenarios in 2023
With the U.S. stock market on track for its biggest annual decline in over a decade, fears that efforts by the Federal Reserve and other major central banks to bring down a surge in inflation will spa...
Dow ends over 350 points lower as investors weigh housing data, 2023 recession concerns
U.S. stocks finished sharply lower on Wednesday, as investors assessed economic data on the housing market amid concerns over rising interest rates and economic growth in 2023. How stock indexes trade...
7 financial advisers on what they are doing in 2023 to prepare for a recession
Getty Images/iStockphoto A number of high-profile financial firms are saying a recession is likely in 2023. Vanguard expects a “global recession,” Goldman Sachs economists give it a 35% chance, J.P. M...
Amid inflation and recession fears, 10 money moves you should make in 2023
Getty Images/iStockphoto While inflation is cooling, projections still point to elevated consumer prices next year. What’s more, recession threats remain high, unemployment may rise and investors are ...
Repeat It Over and Over Again, Economic Growth Is All About Falling Prices
Economists fear falling prices, which means the pundits they interact with fear falling prices. The basis of the nailbiting within the economics profession has to do with their wholly confused belief ...
The stock market is tumbling because investors fear recession more than inflation
A stock-market paradox, in which bad news about the economy is seen as good news for equities, may have run its course. If so, investors should expect bad news to be bad news for stocks heading into t...
Some Simple Ways To Improve Regulation And Boost Economic Growth
Stressed out African American female freelancer working from home using her laptop and encountering … [+] some problems concerning her business getty Nearly halfway through his first term, Presi...
Financial markets are flashing a warning that a recession is imminent: here’s what it means for stocks
Across markets, familiar trading patterns for stocks, bonds and commodities that have held for months are starting to unravel as financial markets grapple with expectations that the U.S. economy will ...
Jamie Dimon Predicts a Recession. M2 Money Supply Helps Make the Case.
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon raised concerns about the economy sliding into a recession yet again on Tuesday. While the U.S. economy continues to be the strongest globally, rising interest rates and...
The U.S. economy won’t collapse under Fed’s ‘weight’ based on the performance of these sectors despite inflation and oil risks
Investors are trying to read the tea leaves in a choppy U.S. stock market to gauge whether its recent run higher can continue after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell unleashed bullish sentiment at t...
‘Most economists are predicting a recession in 2023’: I own a rental property. Is it a good time to take out a bank loan and renovate — or should I wait?
Dear MarketWatch, Along with a sibling, I own a rental property of more than 40 rooms in the Caribbean, where we do weekly rentals. It’s near downtown but in need of repairs and renovation. Is this ...
It’s Time for the Stock Market to Worry About Recession
The stock market is so over the Federal Reserve—but that doesn’t mean it’s out of the woods just yet. Attention is now turning to the U.S. economy—and whether it sinks into recession will determine if...
13 Ways to Invest in India, the World’s Fastest-Growing Major Economy
India, home to more than 1.4 billion people, has long been a country with great promise and owner-led businesses accustomed to generating large amounts of cash. But India’s rise has been fitful, and o...
Alibaba Gets a Price Target Cut After Strong Earnings
Text size Benchmark analyst Fawne Jiang maintained her Buy rating on Alibaba despite cutting her price target. AFP via Getty Images Alibaba Group Holding stock popped on Thursday, prompting an analyst...
Yield Curve Inversion Deepens, Increasing Likelihood Of 2023 Recession
The yield curve is now deeply inverted, a historically reliable recession signal (Photo by Bryan R. … [+] Smith / AFP) (Photo by BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP via Getty Images) AFP via Getty Images The yie...
A Debt-Ceiling Fight Could Raise U.S. Borrowing Costs and Worsen Budget Deficits
Illustration by Chris Cash Text size About the authors: Arvind Krishnamurthy is the John S. Osterweis professor of finance at the Stanford Graduate School of Business. Hanno Lustig is the school’s Miz...