Bond-market recession gauge plunges to triple digits below zero on way to fresh four-decade milestone

One of the bond market’s most reliable gauges of impending U.S. recessions plunged further below zero into triple-digit negative territory on Tuesday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell point...

The Bond-Market Comeback of 2023 Is Heading to First Big Test

(Bloomberg) — The bond-market’s bulls are poised for the first major test of 2023. Most Read from Bloomberg Treasuries rallied this month on widespread anticipation that the Federal Reserve is n...

Bonds say inflation has peaked, but here’s what Cathie Wood says the stock market needs to hear to stage a bona fide rally

Bullish stock investors have gotten punched in the month so far this week, after a relatively cheery kickoff to 2023 following an ugly 2022. Cathie Wood, however, has some thoughts about what might tr...

Is the stock market open on Black Friday? Thanksgiving week trading hours for major assets.

It’s going to be a short week on Wall Street. U.S. stock exchanges will be closed for Thanksgiving Day on Thursday, Nov. 24, and will reopen the next day only for an abbreviated session on Black Frida...

Vanguard ‘not confident’ U.S. Treasury rates have peaked after painful bond-market losses. Why ‘risk-reward profiles’ still appear more attractive across fixed income

U.S. Treasury rates may have yet to peak after surging this year, but higher yields have made bonds more attractive in tumultuous markets as investors face a likely recession next year, according to V...

A historic global bond-market crash threatens the liquidation of world’s most crowded trades, says BofA

Global government-bond markets are stuck in what BofA Securities strategists are calling one of their greatest bear markets ever — which, in turn, is threatening the ease with which investors will be ...

Will the stock-market rally turn into a selloff? This bond-market gauge could tip investors off

Now that the Federal Reserve appears to have abandoned its forward guidance tool in favor of being “data dependent” to help inform its future path for rates, investors should keep an eye on this gauge...

Stocks Succumb to Bond-Market Rout as Fed Inflation Hawks Circle

(Bloomberg) — A week that began brimming with economic optimism ended up caving in on stock bulls, who find themselves increasingly helpless in the face of determined Federal Reserve inflation f...

Stocks Defying Bond-Market Danger Put Wall Street On Notice

(Bloomberg) — The steepest bond selloff in history, Europe’s first land war between two sovereign states since 1945, a Federal Reserve tightening into a possible growth slowdown. Oh, and U.S. in...

Opinion: The economy is in much better shape than the headlines would tell you

Inflation is through the roof. There’s an oil crisis. A looming food crisis. You name it. War is raging in Europe. Russia’s president is starting to sound unhinged. And headlines are now linking him w...