Inflation in U.S. could turn negative by midyear, says billionaire investor Barry Sternlicht. A risk is that the Fed will keep lifting interest rates anyway.

“‘Inflation will go negative in May or June, because the housing equivalent number is pointing positive. The risk is [that Fed chief Jerome Powell] keeps going.’” — Barry Sternlicht, CEO, Starwood Cap...

Suze Orman says ‘most of America today has absolutely no money.’

Financial guru Suze Orman thinks that most consumers are, or soon will be, facing dire straits, in an environment of higher interest rates, higher inflation and elevated volatility in stocks and bonds...

This dividend-stock ETF has a 12% yield and is beating the S&P 500 by a substantial amount

Most investors want to keep things simple, but digging a bit into details can be lucrative — it can help you match your choices to your objectives. The JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF JEPI, +0.27% ...

The surprising message of the junk bond spread

The U.S. economy is in relatively good shape—perhaps even stronger than average. That’s the surprising message of an indicator with an enviable record of anticipating recessions: The interest-rate spr...

Stocks and Bonds Are Sending Different Messages. One of Them Is Wrong.

Stocks have embraced the concept of a soft landing so far in 2023. Bonds are trading like a recession is nigh. Only one can be right. What soft landing, we can hear you say? The Dow Jones Industrial A...

I-bond strategies: Answers to your questions about Series I bonds

Most people are still new to investing in I-bonds, and so it’s not surprising that they have a lot of questions about the basics. As a new year begins, the situation is even more complicated by strate...

U.S. Treasurys at ‘critical point’: Stocks, bonds correlation shifts as fixed-income market flashes recession warning

Bonds and stocks may be getting back to their usual relationship, a plus for investors with a traditional mix of assets in their portfolios amid fears that the U.S. faces a recession this year. “The b...

Bonds say inflation has peaked, but here’s what Cathie Wood says the stock market needs to hear to stage a bona fide rally

Bullish stock investors have gotten punched in the month so far this week, after a relatively cheery kickoff to 2023 following an ugly 2022. Cathie Wood, however, has some thoughts about what might tr...

Vanguard expects municipal bond ‘renaissance’ as investors should ‘salivate’ at higher yields

Investors who allocated to municipal bonds with paltry yields at the beginning of last year should now “salivate” at the prospect of higher income following the rapid rise in interest rates in 2022, a...

10 simple investments that can turn your portfolio into an income dynamo

Many people are good at saving up money for retirement. They manage expenses and build up their nest eggs steadily. But when it comes time to begin drawing income from an investment portfolio, they mi...

To pick 2023’s winners, look to 2022’s losers

A good place to look for stocks that may be market beaters this year is a list of stocks that lost the most last year. That’s because such stocks typically bounce back in a big way. But it will take c...

These money and investing tips give you tools for the stock market’s ‘January Defect’

Don’t miss these top money and investing features: Sign up here to get MarketWatch’s best mutual funds and ETF stories emailed to you weekly! INVESTING NEWS & TRENDS These top athletes are investi...

Inflation has fallen. Is it time to buy inflation protected bonds?

Good news, especially for retirees: Inflation has fallen. The official rate has just tumbled to 6.5% — down from 9.1% last June. And while 6.5% is still a hefty hike in prices, that’s just the annual ...

Opinion: Opinion: The debt ceiling is a farce, not a crisis

AUSTIN, Texas (Project Syndicate)—In his bid to become speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, Kevin McCarthy apparently agreed to a demand, voiced by Republican Congressman Ralph Norman of Sout...

Home prices to tumble over 25% from peak levels in ‘overheated’ markets, says Goldman

Credit researchers at Goldman Sachs now expect home prices in several “overheated” metro areas to fall over 25% from peak levels. Metro areas included in their forecast were San Jose, Austin, Phoenix ...

Why Thursday’s U.S. CPI report might kill stock market’s hope of inflation melting away

A mild stock market rally to kick off the new year will be put to the test Thursday when investors face a highly-awaited U.S. inflation reading which could well help determine the size of the Federal ...

Why a stock market obsessed with the Fed’s inflation fight should focus on Main Street jobs in 2023

Fortunes on Wall Street this year could hinge less on what’s happening to high-paid workers in San Francisco’s reeling technology sector and more on a familiar part of American life: the working class...

Treasury yields plunge on raft of U.S. data, handing 30-year rate biggest weekly decline since March 2020

Treasury yields plummeted on Friday after U.S. economic data pointed to signs of slowing wage growth and broadening weakness in the economy, sending the policy-sensitive 2-year rate into its biggest o...

Here are potential impacts of China’s reopening on markets, Goldman Sachs says

China, the world’s second-largest economy behind the U.S., is set to reopen in just a few days and one major Wall Street firm has boiled down the likely impact on financial markets. In a note released...

6 value stock picks for 2023 from successful money managers

Following a down year for the stock market, there is no shortage of recession predictions for 2023, especially as the Federal Reserve has signaled it will continue to raise interest rates to fight inf...

Financial markets ignore elephant in the room: December’s 223,000 job gains

Stocks and bonds rallied in response to Friday’s jobs data showing modest wage growth for December, while investors looked past a stronger than expected 223,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls. Friday’s pric...

Treasury yields plummet after signs of broadening weakness in economy

Friday’s raft of U.S. economic data produced a cascading drop in rates across the Treasury market, pushing the policy-sensitive 2-year and benchmark 10-year yields to their lowest levels of the new ye...

‘Old habits die hard’: Traders take second look at 5%-plus U.S. interest rate by March

It’s taken financial markets almost four months to register the likelihood that U.S. interest rates could rise above 5% by March, the highest level since 2006, but that moment may finally be arriving....

This ‘crazy’ retirement portfolio has just beaten Wall Street for 50 years

You could call it crazy. You could call it genius. Or maybe you could call it a little of both. We’re talking about a simple portfolio that absolutely anyone could follow in their own 401(k) or IRA or...

Fed to stock market: Big rallies will only prolong painful inflation fight

It was a “don’t make me come back there” moment from the Federal Reserve. A line from the minutes of the central bank’s December policy meeting released Wednesday afternoon was taken by analysts and e...

Opinion: It’s time to buy I-bonds again. Here are 3 ways to maximize your $10,000 inflation-fighting investment.

The once-obscure Treasury investment soared in popularity last year because of its enticing inflation-adjusted rate, which peaked at 9.62%. That leapfrogged bank deposit accounts and completely trounc...

Michael Burry of ‘Big Short’ fame expects another ‘inflation spike’ after recession rocks U.S.

U.S. inflation may be receding for now, but investors should brace for another “spike” in the not-too-distant future, according to Scion Asset Management founder Michael Burry, who posted the warning ...

The 12 Best Income Investments for 2023, According to Barron’s

While it might not be a feast now for income-oriented investors, it’s a lot better than the famine that prevailed for much of the past decade. Yields on a range of bond and bond-related investments ro...

For Battered Bonds, Threats of Further Losses Linger

The year 2022 marked a truly historic bust for the U.S. bond market. The question now is whether 2023 will produce any kind of meaningful rebound. Normally a safe investment, U.S. bonds delivered loss...

Why the consumer is ‘critical’ for investors to watch in 2023 as bear market ‘not yet complete’

The fate of the U.S. consumer is weighing on the outlook for markets in 2023.  “The issue is that consumers are actually spending at a pace that is faster than their income growth, and have been for t...

Treasury yields post record rise in worst year ‘within any of our lifetimes’ for bond investors

Treasury yields moved mostly higher in a holiday-shortened session Friday, capping a brutal, record-breaking bond-market selloff in 2022. Trading in U.S. fixed-income markets closed an hour early at 2...