U.S. government bonds just finished their worst quarter since at least 1973, yet some investors aren’t likely to be put off from buying Treasurys again given rising risks of a U.S. recession within th...
Tag: bond markets
Treasuries Are Getting Crushed. It Might Continue for a Long Time.
Text size Photograph by Alex Wong/Getty Images The price of Treasury bonds has plummeted recently. That could be just the start of a painful road ahead for bond investors. The price of bonds decline ...
‘The dam finally broke’: 10-year Treasury yields spike to breach top of downward trend channel seen since mid-1980s, says Deutsche Bank
Yields on the 10-year Treasury note have spiked through the top line of a downward trend channel tracing back to the mid-1980s, with surging inflation and the Federal Reserve’s reaction to it sparking...
Stocks have gained 8% in three months on this signal in the past, Bank of America says
Get ready to buy stocks. That’s the advice a contrarian indicator from Bank of America is flagging, according to strategists in their Flow Show note released Friday. Uncredited The bank’s proprietary ...
Russia will likely default with April 4 payment due of $2.2 billion, experts say
Investors breathed a sigh of relief last week after the Russian government made a $117 million interest payment on its foreign debt. But a much bigger payment comes due April 4 — to the tune of $2.2 b...
Stock-market investors should watch this part of the yield curve for the ‘best leading indicator of trouble ahead’
Investors have been watching the U.S. Treasury yield curve for inversions, a reliable predictor of past economic downturns. They don’t always agree on which part of the curve is best to watch though. ...
U.S. Treasury market plagued with illiquidity as government bonds suffer worst week in years
Signs of trouble continue to show up in the world’s largest, most liquid government-securities market as government bonds logged their worst week in years and the U.S. central bank’s interest rate hik...
Weekend reads: the slowing housing market and inverted yield curve signal a coming recession
It is human nature to fear missing out as prices skyrocket, But all bubbles burst eventually. Ian Shepherdson of Pantheon Macroeconomics predicts a 25% decline in U.S. home sales. What will that do to...
The stock market hit its COVID low 2 years ago today. Here’s how its performance since then stacks up.
It’s the second anniversary Wednesday of the lows set in the U.S. stock-market plunge triggered by the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020. Stocks have stumbled thus far in 2022, but the S&am...
Treasuries Are Selling Off. Blame Powell’s Comments on Half-Point Rate Hikes.
Fed chief Jerome Powell, shown Monday at a conference in Washington, D.C., said ‘nothing’ would prevent the central bank from raising rates by a half-point at a coming meeting if needed. S...
More than 70% of savers are worried that inflation will affect their ability to retire
Inflation just hit its highest level in 40 years. Future inflation expectations have risen by a third in 12 months. And the federal government’s own “inflation protected” bonds, which were designed to...
Fed’s Powell sees the light — and turns far more hawkish than expected
After remaining stubbornly dovish last year, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday jumped the central bank squarely into the hawkish camp at his press conference on Wednesday. “The March...
The Fed got inflation badly wrong — and now it admits there’s no quick fix
Higher prices of gas, groceries, new cars and mortgage rates got you down? Americans may have to get used to it. The rate of inflation might not return to pre-pandemic levels of less than 2% for at le...
Portfolio manager with 50 years of experience shares 1970s bear-market lesson, and three stocks to buy now
A previous version of this column gave the incorrect date for the Fed policy decision. The story has been corrected. Investors looking at their screens this morning might feel a bit of relief, with oi...
What a Russia debt default would mean for financial markets as Ukraine invasion continues
The threat of a Russian default on sovereign debt is seen near, but investors so far aren’t panicking over any potential hit to global financial markets. “While a default would be symbolic, it seems u...
Fed to hike interest rates Wednesday, undeterred by lack of visibility on Russia-Ukraine war’s impact
On Saturday, a strong late winter storm caused havoc on the East Coast, particularly in Pennsylvania, with drivers experiencing severely reduced visibility as winds blew snow across the roads. Speed l...
Russia’s stock market to remain closed for another week
Russia’s stock market will remain closed this coming week, March 14-18, the country’s central bank said Saturday. However, the central bank said the foreign exchange market, money market and repo mark...
The world’s largest asset manager and a big bond fund are reported to be early losers from the war in Ukraine
As Wall Street assesses the damage to balance sheets resulting from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the world’s largest asset manager and a big bond fund are reported to be early losers. BlackRock BLK, ...
How the Federal Reserve could cut its near $9 trillion balance sheet as it fights inflation
Slimming down might be the trickiest part after two years of the pandemic. As the Federal Reserve looks to shrink its near $9 trillion balance sheet to help cool U.S. inflation pegged at a 40-year hig...
A death cross for the S&P 500 is nearing as inflation fears, Russia’s Ukraine offensive rattles stock-market investors
The S&P 500 index is closing in on a death cross, an ominous chart pattern that underscores the downtrend suffered in an asset. A death cross appears when the 50-day moving average crosses below t...
Putin signs decree to prohibit leaving Russia with more than $10,000 in foreign currency
Russian President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday signed a decree that prohibits taking more than $10,000 worth of foreign currency in cash and “monetary instruments” out of Russia. The move comes in respon...
The next shoe to drop? The 125-year old Dow industrials are on brink of correction. Here’s what history says happens next in the U.S. stock market.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was on the verge of entering correction territory after closing sharply lower on Wednesday as the Pentagon said that Russian troops were poised to launch a full-blown ...
The $5 Trillion Inflation Time Bomb No One’s Talking About
Bank of Japan’s governor Haruhiko Kuroda at a press conference at the Bank of Japan headquarters in … [+] Tokyo on June 15, 2018. MARTIN BUREAU/AFP via Getty Images It’s taken nine years a...
Scorned Treasury Bonds Could Be Good Bet After Fed Boosts Rates
Rarely has there been such unanimity of opinion among both Federal Reserve officials and the cadre of analysts who track and try to predict their future moves. Monetary policy will be tightened with a...
What the threat of a Russian invasion of Ukraine means for markets
Fears of a Russian invasion of Ukraine are keeping investors on edge. President Joe Biden on Friday said he believed Russian leader Vladimir Putin had made up his mind to invade in coming days but tha...
What Will Stocks Do if War—or Peace—Erupts in Ukraine?
Text size A Ukrainian guard at a checkpoint on the border with Russia. There could be a financial toll, as well as a heavy human one, if the Kremlin launches an invasion. Vyacheslav Madiyevskyy/Ukrinf...
Presidents Day or Washington’s Birthday? Is the stock market open? Here are trading hours.
U.S. financial markets will be closed on Monday in observance of Presidents Day, or Washington’s Birthday, if you prefer. The Intercontinental Exchange Inc. ICE, -1.96% -owned New York Stock Exchange ...
Opinion: The economy is in much better shape than the headlines would tell you
Inflation is through the roof. There’s an oil crisis. A looming food crisis. You name it. War is raging in Europe. Russia’s president is starting to sound unhinged. And headlines are now linking him w...