Key Insights:
- XRP price prediction shows a potential 20% drop if Ripple coin loses $1.95 support.
- Ripple Whale selling and an upcoming EMA cross increase the risk of a deeper fall.
- XRP needs to move above $2.26–$2.33 to cancel the bearish setup.
The XRP price prediction has shifted to a weaker side this week. The Ripple coin was trading near $1.99 at press time, down over 7%.
And the chart now shows a clean risk of a drop if the price loses key support. The crypto market is also under pressure, which leaves XRP in a very vulnerable place.
All signs together suggest that traders must watch the next few levels very closely.
Why XRP Price Prediction Looks Weak?
XRP price remains close to $1.99, but the first real support sits at $1.95. If the Ripple coin price falls under this line, the chart does not show any strong support until $1.57.
This distance is about a 20% gap, which explains why the XRP price prediction has turned bearish for now. There are no key bullish reversal signs on the chart.
All that adds to the breakdown theory.
Large wallet activity adds extra pressure. Almost 190 million XRP moved from big wallets in just 48 hours.
When large holders or whales move coins in large amounts, it usually means they may be getting ready to sell or already selling.
Daily realized losses also jumped to $75 million, the highest level since April 2025. “Realized losses” means traders sold coins for less than what they paid. This is a sign that the market is stressed.
Only 58.5% of the total supply is in profit now. This means many holders are sitting on losses, which often makes the market more sensitive to any drop.
Weak Trend Signals Add to the XRP Price Crash Angle
Another reason behind the gloomy XRP price prediction is that the current trends are also showing weakness. The 100-day EMA is close to moving below the 200-day EMA. EMA stands for Exponential Moving Average.
It is a simple line that shows the average price over many days. When the fast EMA (100-day) moves below the slow EMA (200-day), it is called a bearish crossover.
This move often speeds up a fall because it shows that the short-term trend has turned weaker than the long-term trend.
On-chain data matches this weakness. About 41.5% of the XRP supply, roughly 26.5 billion Ripple coin, now sits at a loss.
When a large part of the supply falls into loss at the same time, it often creates more selling pressure because many holders panic or exit early.
XRP still has long-term believers, but even analysts who expect higher targets say that a deep correction is likely first.
Most XRP price long-range targets point toward $5, $8, and even $13, but these belong to the next cycle.
Right now, the likely demand zone sits between $1.75 and $1.58. This is the area where buyers stepped in before, and charts show that past bottoms formed in similar zones.
The XRP price prediction stays bearish while Ripple coin trades below $2.26–$2.33. This range needs to break first before any strong recovery starts.
If XRP price remains stuck under these levels, every bounce can still fail. That way, the chart would continue to favor a drop toward $1.57.
The crypto can recover later, but for now, the XRP price prediction signs show that the market is still weak, large holders are selling, and the key support is only a small step away.