XRP Price Eyes $4 Breakout This Cycle: Here’s Why

Key Insights:

• XRP open interest on Binance rose to $730M, signaling renewed trader engagement and potential volatility.
• Binance Taker Buy/Sell Ratio at 0.91 shows strong seller activity, but stable prices suggest ongoing absorption.
• Rose Premium Signals confirms XRP broke out of a falling wedge with an over 20% weekly gain.

XRP price exhibited a positive trend with the rise in market activity, technical patterns. In the past week, XRP price has risen from just above $2.00 to almost $2.60. Market data from a variety of sources shows an increasing traders’ interest, balanced leverage, and structural factors that appear to be setting up a bullish trend.

Current observations focus on the potential for Ripple (XRP) to break above the $4.00 mark in this cycle.

XRP Price Eyes $4 As Open Interest and Seller Absorption Fuel Momentum

CryptoQuant data shows that XRP open interest on Binance is up to more than $730 million. This is a rebound from the previous levels as open interest had shrunk to $530 million, after hitting $1.5 billion.

The growth in open interest indicates traders are coming back to the market, probably expecting to trade in the future volatility.

Binance Taker Buy/Sell Ratio stands at 0.91 at the moment. This figure shows that selling activity is higher than buying activity at present. Nevertheless, XRP price has been stable, indicating that the sell orders are being canceled instead of making the price weaken.

The mixture of seller aggression and price stability is usually an indication of hidden buying interest or accumulation.

While open interest climbed, XRP’s funding rate remained neutral. This indicated that long and short positions are evenly distributed. However, data shows an increasing share of short positions as prices move higher.

The move can trigger a short squeeze where the short sellers have to liquidate their positions and hence increase the demand.

Technical Structure Correlates with Support and Resistance Levels

In the meantime, analyst Rose Premium Signals identified several price zones where the top altcoin could possibly find support or experience resistance. The first support range is between $2.40 to $2.20. Other levels of support are observed at $1.78 and $1.68.

These zones act as places where XRP may consolidate or bounce off in the short term when retracements happen.

The price chart also pinpoints the resistance levels of $3.15, $3.73, and $4.29. Such levels coincide with the past price movement and Fibonacci extensions. They define areas where XRP price could encounter selling pressures or lose momentum trying to move higher.

The price movement forecast shows the possibility of a temporary pullback before a continued rally. A retracement can assist in controlling the market balance and eliminate excessive leveraging. Long-term trade in the areas of current support zones will play a role in confirming any breakout.

Market Dominance and Historical Comparisons Suggest Growth

Market analyst “DK64Trades” compared XRP price and dominance in different market cycles. In January 2018, XRP currency was exchanging hands at $3.84 with a dominance rate of 31.33%.

On the other hand, in January 2025, the Ripple token repeated its highest price at $3.34, but with a 5% dominance. This decline in relative dominance with comparable prices indicates the change in the position of Ripple in the crypto market.

Analyst Steph Is Crypto brought a new bullish perspective to XRP, indicating a possible breakout that is similar to a previous explosive rally. On the 4-day chart, Steph marks two essential technical arrangements, both indicating a breakout from a descending trendline after consolidation.

The earlier instance, which occurred in late 2024, preceded a massive price surge from below $0.50 to above $3.00. The current setup shows a similar structure forming, with XRP again breaking out of a downward sloping resistance line.

If the momentum extends and the altcoin manages to stay above the breakout level, it may cause renewed buying interest and possibly a rally.

More so, with the recent legal clarity that came after Ripple Labs withdrew its cross-appeal and rescinded its fine down to $50 million, XRP now stands to stage a comeback with renewed investor confidence. Similarly, the existing collaboration between Ripple and SWIFT in integrating cross border payment systems can explode XRP price as the sentiment grow bullish.