XRP Price Eyes $4 Breakout Amid REX-Osprey ETF Debut

Key Insights:

• REX-Osprey announced the first US XRP ETF launch for this week, targeting the third-largest cryptocurrency, will XRP price take advantage of this?
• Whale dumping of 160 million XRP tokens created a technical foundation for a potential rally.
• TD Sequential indicator flashed buy signal at $2.97 as the ETF launch approached.

REX Shares announced the launch of the REX-Osprey XRP ETF (XRPR) this week, marking the first US exchange-traded fund (ETF) to provide spot exposure to XRP in a format similar to spot.

The ETF debut positioned XRP for a potential breakout toward $4 as technical indicators aligned with institutional capital inflows.

The announcement confirmed expanding regulated crypto investment options beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum products. Additionally, it represented a milestone in altcoin adoption, bringing XRP under regulatory guardrails for traditional finance investors.

REX-Osprey’s Unique ETF Structure

The REX-Osprey XRP ETF employed a registered investment company (RIC) framework that distinguished it from traditional spot crypto ETFs and the company’s original Solana ETF approach.

Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart explained that this structure provided operational flexibility while meeting regulatory requirements.

The RIC framework enabled funds to hold spot crypto assets primarily while maintaining derivative usage capabilities and ETF investment options when market conditions demanded flexibility.

This approach operated within established investment company regulations rather than corporate tax structures used by Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs.

The structure also offers different tax treatment, operational requirements, and regulatory oversight compared to C-corporations.

These differences affect investor return distribution methods while providing a middle path between pure spot exposure and complete structural innovation.

Whale Activity Creates Technical Foundation

XRP experienced significant whale distribution from late August through Sept. 12, with large holders dumping 160 million tokens according to trader Ali Martinez.

The selling pressure potentially cleared the overhang supply in profit, creating a technical foundation for subsequent price appreciation.

The token jumped from $2.94 on Sept. 9 to $3.18 on Sept. 13 following the whale distribution phase.

Martinez identified a TD Sequential buy signal that flashed on Sept. 15 as XRP traded at $2.97, suggesting potential upward momentum ahead of the ETF launch.

Market Structure and Capital Flow Implications

Ray Youssef, CEO of NoOnes, highlighted the structural milestone represented by the first US XRP ETF launch.

The development expanded regulated crypto access beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, which accumulated over $120 billion in combined ETF assets under management.

Youssef projected that even modest allocation shifts from existing crypto ETFs could translate into $1.5billion to $2 billion of potential capital inflows for XRP.

Such inflows would prove significant against XRP’s current daily spot trading volume and low institutional penetration.

The CEO anticipated that strong inflows could drive XRP price to $3.50 with a breakout to $4 in the first quarter of 2026, particularly if synchronized approvals occurred for additional XRP ETFs.

The “ETF-effect” could amplify in early trading weeks as institutional and speculative traders captured first-mover premium advantages.

Technical Setup Points to $4 XRP Price Target

The combination of whale distribution, TD Sequential buy signals, and the pending ETF launch created a bullish technical setup for XRP.

The token’s ability to maintain support above $2.90 during recent consolidation suggested accumulation ahead of the ETF debut.

XRP’s cross-border payment utility and increased adoption of its solutions provided fundamental support for higher valuations.

The token’s relatively low institutional penetration compared to Bitcoin and Ethereum offered significant upside potential as regulated capital accessed the asset through ETF structures.

Sustained volume above average levels during ETF launch week could validate the bullish thesis and attract momentum traders.

Regulatory Milestone for Altcoin ETFs

The REX-Osprey XRP ETF launch demonstrated regulatory comfort with expanding crypto ETF access beyond top-tier assets.

With over 90 ETF applications pending at the SEC, investors are prepared for the progressive and diversified launch of crypto ETFs through 2025.

This created a competitive landscape where altcoins competed not only on technology and community traction but also on their ability to attract structured, regulated capital inflows at scale.

The successful launch could establish a precedent for additional altcoin ETF approvals.

The REX-Osprey XRP ETF launch this week positions the token for a potential $4 breakout as whale distribution patterns, technical buy signals, and institutional capital access align.

At the same time, the first US.XRP ETF represents a structural milestone in regulated crypto investment expansion.