XAG/USD remains below 200-day SMA/61.8% Fibo. confluence

• Silver climbs to a one-week high on Monday, albeit struggles to capitalize on the move up.
• The technical setup seems tilted in favour of bulls and supports prospects for further gains.
• A sustained move beyond the $23.30-40 confluence is needed to reaffirm the positive bias.

Silver (XAG/USD) gains some positive traction for the second successive day and touches a one-week high, around the $23.20 area during the Asian session on Monday. The white metal, however, struggles to capitalize on the move and remains below the $23.30-$23.40 confluence, comprising the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the August-October downfall.

The aforementioned hurdle is followed by the $23.70-$23.75 supply zone, which should now act as a key pivotal point. Technical indicators on the daily chart, meanwhile, have been gaining positive traction and are still far from being in the overbought zone. Hence, a sustained strength beyond the said barriers will be seen as a fresh trigger for the XAG/USD bulls and pave the way for some meaningful appreciating move.

The subsequent move up could get extended beyond the $24.00 round-figure mark, towards testing the next relevant resistance near the $24.20 region. Some follow-through buying will confirm a fresh breakout and allow the XAG/USD to make a fresh attempt towards conquering the $25.00 psychological mark.

On the flip side, slide back below the $23.00 round figure now seems to find some support near the $22.85 region, or the 50% Fibo. level. The next relevant support is pegged near last week’s swing low, around the $22.55 area, ahead of the 38.2% Fibo. level, around the $22.35-$22.30 static support. Failure to defend the said support levels might shift the bias in favour of the XAG/USD bears.

The downward trajectory could then get extended further towards the $22.00 round-figure mark, en route to the $21.70 region, representing 23.6% Fibo. level. Some follow-through selling could make the XAG/USD vulnerable to accelerate the fall further towards the $21.00 level before eventually dropping to the $20.70-$20.65 region, or its lowest level since March touched earlier this month.

Silver daily chart

Technical levels to watch