Why XRP Price Is at Risk of Deeper Drop?

XRP has had a somewhat volatile week, however, what are the long-term ramifications? The coin was trading around $3.19 at press time.

Over the past 24 hours, XRP has gained 2.9% after dropping around 9% the earlier day, as the rally from earlier this month cooled off.

Still, weekly gains are in the negative by about 7% and signs of weakness are starting to build. Consolidation is setting in, and a few key on-chain and technical signals now suggest that $3.21 is a critical level. If it breaks, a deeper drop could come fast.

XRP Exchange Reserves Are Rising Again

XRP price is now trading around $3.19 after making a local high of $3.65. The rally had shown some strength earlier, but things may now be shifting.

The first major red flag comes from XRP’s exchange reserves. CryptoQuant’s chart shows that reserves have increased from about $2.9 billion to $3.5 billion recently. That’s a jump of over $600 million in a short time.

When exchange reserves go up, it often means more tokens are being moved onto exchanges. And why would traders do that? Usually to sell.

So when supply on exchanges rises, it means more people might be looking to cash out. That adds pressure on the XRP price.

This is not what bulls want to see, especially not during a correction phase. If this trend keeps going, the chance of a bigger drop grows. Traders should track this closely because it hints at a rise in sell-side supply.

XRP Liquidation Clusters Signal Key Danger Zones Below

Let’s look at the liquidation map now. This indicates where traders might be liquidated if the XRP price moves rapidly in either direction.

Coinglass data  shows that many long traders, those betting on price going up, have stacked their positions just under $3.20.

This means if XRP breaks below $3.21, those long positions could start getting liquidated. When a liquidation happens, exchanges force-sell those trades to cover losses.

That selling pressure often pushes the price down even faster, like a chain reaction.

The heatmap clearly shows a red cluster just below $3.20. If that breaks, the price could quickly move down to the next danger zones around $2.97 and $2.66.

That would be a 10–15% drop from current levels. There’s also a short liquidation wall above $3.40.

If XRP somehow climbs back above $3.40 with volume, it could squeeze the shorts and rally toward $3.60–$3.65 again. But based on the current signals, that’s less likely unless bulls step in soon.

XRP Price Patterns Flash Bearish Warning

Now let’s talk about XRP’s chart patterns and price action. On the daily chart, XRP has printed a bearish engulfing candle.

This is a pattern where the red candle fully covers the green candle before it. It often marks a top or the start of a downtrend, especially when it forms after a strong rally. And that’s exactly what we’re seeing here.

Along with this, $3.21 is shaping up as the key level, the price XRP is currently stuck at. Why? Because this price aligns with two important signals:

1. The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, which acts as support after a rally
2. The completion of wave 5 in an Elliott Wave pattern, as shared by Casitrades

So $3.21 isn’t just a random number. It’s a strong confluence level, meaning multiple indicators are pointing to it as important.

If XRP price stays above it, a bounce to $3.40 is possible. But if it breaks down, the drop to $2.90 or $2.66 could come fast.