Who Will Win Every Major Category

The 2025 Tony Awards predictions look a little like the Emmys or Academy Awards this year, thanks to all the big names nominated. George Clooney, Mia Farrow, Bob Odenkirk and others are among those nominated for Tonys. There are also massive Broadway stars and past winners, such as record-breaker Audra McDonald, Jonathan Groff and James Monroe Iglehart, up for statues.

Here is a look at who will win the big awards at Sunday night’s ceremony on CBS—though they may not be the most deserving winners among the Tony nominees.

Best Musical

Buena Vista Social Club

Dead Outlaw

Death Becomes Her

Maybe Happy Ending

Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical

Who Will Win

Maybe Happy Ending, an improbable love story about robots adopted from the original Korean production, should pull off the win here based on its ingenuity over Death Becomes Her, a more traditional Broadway musical that is also deserving of the prize.

Best Play

English

The Hills of California

John Proctor Is the Villain

Oh, Mary!

Purpose

Who Will Win

Oh, Mary, a farce that has generated tremendous buzz and also had people laughing in a season when a lot of the best plays were comedic. John Proctor Is the Villain is an outside spoiler.

Best Revival of a Musical

Floyd Collins

Gypsy

Pirates! The Penzance Musical

Sunset Blvd.

Who Will Win

Gypsy, which puts a new spin on a Broadway standard with a Black family at the center, will win over the also-excellent (and favored by many others) Sunset Blvd.

Best Revival of a Play

Eureka Day

Romeo + Juliet

Thornton Wilder’s Our Town

Yellow Face

Who Will Win

Eureka Day, a satire about a school board and vaccination, is timely, funny and deserving of this award.

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical

Darren Criss, Maybe Happy Ending

Andrew Durand, Dead Outlaw

Tom Francis, Sunset Blvd.

Jonathan Groff, Just In Time

James Monroe Iglehart, A Wonderful World: The Louis Armstrong Musical

Jeremy Jordan, Floyd Collins

Who Will Win

Darren Criss, riding the momentum of support for Maybe Happy Ending and giving an outstanding turn, will win, though Jeremy Jordan also delivered a great turn.

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical

Megan Hilty, Death Becomes Her

Audra McDonald, Gypsy

Jasmine Amy Rogers, BOOP! The Musical

Nicole Scherzinger, Sunset Blvd.

Jennifer Simard, Death Becomes Her

Who Will Win

Audra McDonald, despite some betting against her because she is like Meryl Streep (always nominated), will win her record seventh Tony for yet another incredible performance. Spoiler could be Jasmine Amy Rogers.

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Play

George Clooney, Good Night, and Good Luck

Cole Escola, Oh, Mary!

Jon Michael Hill, Purpose

Daniel Dae Kim, Yellow Face

Harry Lennix, Purpose

Louis McCartney, Stranger Things, The First Shadow

Who Will Win

Cole Escola, who also wrote Oh, Mary!, will be rewarded for their breakout work.

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Play

Laura Donnelly, The Hills of California

Mia Farrow, The Roommate

LaTanya Richardson Jackson, Purpose

Sadie Sink, John Proctor Is the Villain

Sarah Snook, The Picture of Dorian Gray

Who Will Win

Sarah Snook, riding her Succession popularity, seems a lock for this, though LaTanya Richardson Jackson had an equally standout performance.

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Musical

Brooks Ashmanskas, SMASH

Jeb Brown, Dead Outlaw

Danny Burstein, Gypsy

Jak Malone, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical

Taylor Trensch, Floyd Collins

Who Will Win

Jak Malone, who seems as close to a sure thing as anyone this year, with the show-stopping “Dear Bill” wrapping this one up for the actor.

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Musical

Natalie Venetia Belcon, Buena Vista Social Club

Julia Knitel, Dead Outlaw

Gracie Lawrence, Just in Time

Justina Machado, Real Women Have Curves: The Musical

Joy Woods, Gypsy

Who Will Win

Natalie Venetia Belcon, whose nuanced performance is one of the reasons Buena Vista Social Club earned 10 Tony nods.

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play

Glenn Davis, Purpose

Gabriel Ebert, John Proctor is the Villain

Francis Jue, Yellow Face

Bob Odenkirk, Glengarry Glen Ross

Conrad Ricamora, Oh, Mary!

Who Will Win

Conrad Ricamora, riding the momentum of an Oh, Mary! night and his admirable turn as Abraham Lincoln, should win this very strong category—but watch out for Gabriel Ebert.

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play

Tala Ashe, English

Jessica Hecht, Eureka Day

Marjan Neshat, English

Fina Strazza, John Proctor is the Villain

Kara Young, Purpose

Who Will Win

Fina Strazza, who seems to have gained momentum in the category—but this is also the uber-talented Kara Young’s fourth straight Tony nod, a record, so it’s hard to count her out.

Best Direction of a Musical

Saheem Ali, Buena Vista Social Club

Michael Arden, Maybe Happy Ending

David Cromer, Dead Outlaw

Christopher Gattelli, Death Becomes Her

Jamie Lloyd, Sunset Blvd.

Who Will Win

Michael Arden, who worked miracles with character development in this big-concept play.

Best Direction of a Play

Knud Adams, English

Sam Mendes, The Hills of California

Sam Pinkleton, Oh, Mary!

Danya Taymor, John Proctor is the Villain

Kip Williams, The Picture of Dorian Gray

Who Will Win

Danya Taymor, who also won last year, did a fantastic job again this year, though the momentum of an Oh, Mary! sweep could lift Sam Pinkleton (equally deserving).

Best Book of a Musical

Buena Vista Social Club, Marco Ramirez

Dead Outlaw, Itamar Moses

Death Becomes Her, Marco Pennette

Maybe Happy Ending, Will Aronson and Hue Park

Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical, David Cumming, Felix Hagan, Natasha Hodgson and Zoë Roberts

Who Will Win

Will Aronson and Hue Park, whose imaginative plot is hard to beat.

Best Original Score

Dead Outlaw, David Yazbek and Erik Della Penna

Death Becomes Her, Julia Mattison and Noel Carey

Maybe Happy Ending, Will Aronson and Hue Park

Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical, David Cumming, Felix Hagan, Natasha Hodgson and Zoë Roberts

Real Women Have Curves: The Musical, Joy Huerta and Benjamin Velez

Who Will Win

David Yazbek and Erik Della Penna, who may prevail here because their concept was just so good.

Source: https://www.forbes.com/sites/tonifitzgerald/2025/06/07/2025-tony-awards-predictions-who-will-win-every-major-category/