Audra McDonald poses at the opening night after-party for the revival of the musical “Gypsy” on … More
The 2025 Tony Awards predictions look a little like the Emmys or Academy Awards this year, thanks to all the big names nominated. George Clooney, Mia Farrow, Bob Odenkirk and others are among those nominated for Tonys. There are also massive Broadway stars and past winners, such as record-breaker Audra McDonald, Jonathan Groff and James Monroe Iglehart, up for statues.
Here is a look at who will win the big awards at Sunday night’s ceremony on CBS—though they may not be the most deserving winners among the Tony nominees.
Best Musical
Buena Vista Social Club
Dead Outlaw
Death Becomes Her
Maybe Happy Ending
Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
Who Will Win
Maybe Happy Ending, an improbable love story about robots adopted from the original Korean production, should pull off the win here based on its ingenuity over Death Becomes Her, a more traditional Broadway musical that is also deserving of the prize.
Best Play
English
The Hills of California
John Proctor Is the Villain
Oh, Mary!
Purpose
Who Will Win
Oh, Mary, a farce that has generated tremendous buzz and also had people laughing in a season when a lot of the best plays were comedic. John Proctor Is the Villain is an outside spoiler.
Best Revival of a Musical
Floyd Collins
Gypsy
Pirates! The Penzance Musical
Sunset Blvd.
Who Will Win
Gypsy, which puts a new spin on a Broadway standard with a Black family at the center, will win over the also-excellent (and favored by many others) Sunset Blvd.
Best Revival of a Play
Eureka Day
Romeo + Juliet
Thornton Wilder’s Our Town
Yellow Face
Who Will Win
Eureka Day, a satire about a school board and vaccination, is timely, funny and deserving of this award.
Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical
Darren Criss, Maybe Happy Ending
Andrew Durand, Dead Outlaw
Tom Francis, Sunset Blvd.
Jonathan Groff, Just In Time
James Monroe Iglehart, A Wonderful World: The Louis Armstrong Musical
Jeremy Jordan, Floyd Collins
Who Will Win
Darren Criss, riding the momentum of support for Maybe Happy Ending and giving an outstanding turn, will win, though Jeremy Jordan also delivered a great turn.
Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical
Megan Hilty, Death Becomes Her
Audra McDonald, Gypsy
Jasmine Amy Rogers, BOOP! The Musical
Nicole Scherzinger, Sunset Blvd.
Jennifer Simard, Death Becomes Her
Who Will Win
Audra McDonald, despite some betting against her because she is like Meryl Streep (always nominated), will win her record seventh Tony for yet another incredible performance. Spoiler could be Jasmine Amy Rogers.
Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Play
George Clooney, Good Night, and Good Luck
Cole Escola, Oh, Mary!
Jon Michael Hill, Purpose
Daniel Dae Kim, Yellow Face
Harry Lennix, Purpose
Louis McCartney, Stranger Things, The First Shadow
Who Will Win
Cole Escola, who also wrote Oh, Mary!, will be rewarded for their breakout work.
Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Play
Laura Donnelly, The Hills of California
Mia Farrow, The Roommate
LaTanya Richardson Jackson, Purpose
Sadie Sink, John Proctor Is the Villain
Sarah Snook, The Picture of Dorian Gray
Who Will Win
Sarah Snook, riding her Succession popularity, seems a lock for this, though LaTanya Richardson Jackson had an equally standout performance.
Sarah Snook accepts the Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series award for “Succession” onstage … More
Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Musical
Brooks Ashmanskas, SMASH
Jeb Brown, Dead Outlaw
Danny Burstein, Gypsy
Jak Malone, Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical
Taylor Trensch, Floyd Collins
Who Will Win
Jak Malone, who seems as close to a sure thing as anyone this year, with the show-stopping “Dear Bill” wrapping this one up for the actor.
Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Musical
Natalie Venetia Belcon, Buena Vista Social Club
Julia Knitel, Dead Outlaw
Gracie Lawrence, Just in Time
Justina Machado, Real Women Have Curves: The Musical
Joy Woods, Gypsy
Who Will Win
Natalie Venetia Belcon, whose nuanced performance is one of the reasons Buena Vista Social Club earned 10 Tony nods.
Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play
Glenn Davis, Purpose
Gabriel Ebert, John Proctor is the Villain
Francis Jue, Yellow Face
Bob Odenkirk, Glengarry Glen Ross
Conrad Ricamora, Oh, Mary!
Who Will Win
Conrad Ricamora, riding the momentum of an Oh, Mary! night and his admirable turn as Abraham Lincoln, should win this very strong category—but watch out for Gabriel Ebert.
Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play
Tala Ashe, English
Jessica Hecht, Eureka Day
Marjan Neshat, English
Fina Strazza, John Proctor is the Villain
Kara Young, Purpose
Who Will Win
Fina Strazza, who seems to have gained momentum in the category—but this is also the uber-talented Kara Young’s fourth straight Tony nod, a record, so it’s hard to count her out.
Best Direction of a Musical
Saheem Ali, Buena Vista Social Club
Michael Arden, Maybe Happy Ending
David Cromer, Dead Outlaw
Christopher Gattelli, Death Becomes Her
Jamie Lloyd, Sunset Blvd.
Who Will Win
Michael Arden, who worked miracles with character development in this big-concept play.
Best Direction of a Play
Knud Adams, English
Sam Mendes, The Hills of California
Sam Pinkleton, Oh, Mary!
Danya Taymor, John Proctor is the Villain
Kip Williams, The Picture of Dorian Gray
Who Will Win
Danya Taymor, who also won last year, did a fantastic job again this year, though the momentum of an Oh, Mary! sweep could lift Sam Pinkleton (equally deserving).
Best Book of a Musical
Buena Vista Social Club, Marco Ramirez
Dead Outlaw, Itamar Moses
Death Becomes Her, Marco Pennette
Maybe Happy Ending, Will Aronson and Hue Park
Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical, David Cumming, Felix Hagan, Natasha Hodgson and Zoë Roberts
Who Will Win
Will Aronson and Hue Park, whose imaginative plot is hard to beat.
Best Original Score
Dead Outlaw, David Yazbek and Erik Della Penna
Death Becomes Her, Julia Mattison and Noel Carey
Maybe Happy Ending, Will Aronson and Hue Park
Operation Mincemeat: A New Musical, David Cumming, Felix Hagan, Natasha Hodgson and Zoë Roberts
Real Women Have Curves: The Musical, Joy Huerta and Benjamin Velez
Who Will Win
David Yazbek and Erik Della Penna, who may prevail here because their concept was just so good.
Source: https://www.forbes.com/sites/tonifitzgerald/2025/06/07/2025-tony-awards-predictions-who-will-win-every-major-category/