In the ever-evolving landscape of cybersecurity, experts predict a myriad of challenges and advancements for the upcoming year. As 2024 approaches, global attention is drawn to crucial topics such as elections, regional conflicts, space exploration, and the pervasive influence of artificial intelligence (AI). Annual cybersecurity prediction reports have become indispensable tools for navigating the intricate web of cyber threats and data breaches.
AI’s dominance and dual role
The overarching theme for 2024 revolves around the transformative power of artificial intelligence, offering both opportunities and threats. GenAI, a term encapsulating generative AI, is expected to play a pivotal role in cyber attacks, with bad actors leveraging AI tools to exploit vulnerabilities across critical sectors. The prediction landscape includes:
- More effective cyber attacks: GenAI tools will empower cybercriminals to identify and exploit vulnerabilities in critical sectors.
- BYOAI (Bring your own AI): Enterprises will increasingly rely on AI-based cyber defense solutions as a necessity, with a notable rise in individual adoption.
- Shadow AI challenges: The growth of “Shadow AI” and the ensuing governance challenges will demand a closer look at managing decentralized AI processes.
- Sophisticated deepfakes: The rise of AI-driven deepfakes and Business Email Compromise (BEC) attacks will add a layer of complexity to cybersecurity efforts.
Empowered CISOs and election cybersecurity focus
In 2024, Chief Information Security Officers (CISOs) are poised to assume a more influential role, expanding their scope beyond traditional cybersecurity responsibilities. Election cybersecurity globally is expected to take center stage, encompassing:
– CISOs’ enhanced role: Gartner predicts that CISOs will gain more power and a broader role, reflecting the increasing significance of cybersecurity in organizational strategy.
– Global election cyber attacks: Election-related cyber threats will manifest through misinformation on social media, cyber attacks on voting machines, and targeted attacks on voter data.
– Space cyber attacks: The cybersecurity landscape will extend to space, with an increase in cyber attacks on space programs, satellites, and next-generation vehicles.
Ransomware evolution and supply chain attacks
Ransomware, a persistent threat, is anticipated to evolve further, utilizing sophisticated phishing and social media compromise techniques. Additionally, supply chain attacks will grow in complexity, focusing on software package managers:
– Evolution of ransomware:Ransomware attacks will gain access through targeted identity management, leveraging more sophisticated phishing and social media compromise methods.
– Breached credentials: Instead of hacking, attackers will increasingly use breached credentials, available on the dark web from years of data breaches.
– Supply chain attacks: Developers will be targeted in supply chain attacks, with a specific focus on exploiting vulnerabilities through software package managers.
Cloud security and blockchain exploration
Cloud security will face maturation, with a focus on hybrid and multicloud environments. Blockchain, while often lauded for its security potential, is predicted to attract cyber threats as well:
– Cloud security maturation: Attacks on hybrid and multicloud environments will mature, posing more significant impacts on organizations.
– Blockchain as a target: Attackers will explore blockchain as a new frontier for extortion and fresh opportunities, aligning with the rise of cryptocurrencies.
Diverse cyber threat landscapes and zero-trust Models
The cyber threat landscape in 2024 is diverse, encompassing AI-driven attacks, hacktivism, and malinformation. Furthermore, the adoption of zero-trust models is expected to become more widespread:
– Hacktivism surge: Hacktivism will witness growth, with increased ties to Advanced Persistent Threats (APTs).
– Malinformation proliferation: The spread of “malinformation” will witness a dramatic increase, reflecting the challenge of establishing and maintaining trust.
– Zero-trust implementation: Organizations will widely implement zero-trust models, reflecting a shift towards a more cautious and proactive cybersecurity approach.
As we approach 2024, the cybersecurity landscape promises a dynamic interplay of advancements and challenges. The dominance of AI, the evolution of cyber threats, and the maturation of security practices will shape the cybersecurity narrative. Organizations are urged to stay vigilant, adopt innovative defense strategies, and collaborate to navigate the intricacies of an ever-changing digital environment.
Source: https://www.cryptopolitan.com/top-24-security-predictions-for-2024-part-1/