Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly said on Monday that Fed policymakers need to keep an open mind about further rates cuts, per Reuters.
Key takeaways
“Fed needs to guard against inflation risks, but should not ignore possibility of productivity boom and faster non-inflationary growth.”
“Tariff-driven price increases not spilling over into broader inflation.”
“Balance of risks has shifted as the labor market has softened.”
“Slowing job growth likely due to a drop in demand for workers, not limits on supply because of immigration policies.”
“Inflation has declined but remains elevated, policy remains modestly restrictive.”
“Economy has been resilient this year.”
Market reaction
These comments received a neutral score of 5.4 from FXStreet Fed Speechtracker. At the time of press, the US Dollar Index was trading at 99.65, rising about 0.1% on the day.
Fed FAQs
Monetary policy in the US is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these goals is by adjusting interest rates.
When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, it raises interest rates, increasing borrowing costs throughout the economy. This results in a stronger US Dollar (USD) as it makes the US a more attractive place for international investors to park their money.
When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates to encourage borrowing, which weighs on the Greenback.
The Federal Reserve (Fed) holds eight policy meetings a year, where the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assesses economic conditions and makes monetary policy decisions.
The FOMC is attended by twelve Fed officials – the seven members of the Board of Governors, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and four of the remaining eleven regional Reserve Bank presidents, who serve one-year terms on a rotating basis.
In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve may resort to a policy named Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system.
It is a non-standard policy measure used during crises or when inflation is extremely low. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy high grade bonds from financial institutions. QE usually weakens the US Dollar.
Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process of QE, whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing, to purchase new bonds. It is usually positive for the value of the US Dollar.