MicroStrategy Stock Eyes 24% Breakout Despite S&P 500 Snub

Key Insights:

• MicroStrategy stock held firm after the S&P snub, with buyers defending support near $317.
• Technical indicators show rising inflows and weaker selling pressure, boosting market confidence.
• MSTR stock’s breakout target sits at $415, while a long-term power-law model suggests possible highs above $1,600.

MicroStrategy stock was left out of the latest S&P 500 reshuffle, a move that disappointed many. Still, selling pressure did not pick up.

On September 5, MSTR touched $317 before bouncing back to $335. Technicals now point to a possible breakout target near $415, almost 24% higher.

Despite the index snub, indicators suggest buyers remain confident, and long-term models hint at even bigger goals.

MicroStrategy Stock: Buyers Hold Firm Despite S&P Snub

Normally, missing out on the S&P 500 would weigh on a stock because funds that track the index don’t buy it. But MicroStrategy stock has not shown heavy selling.

On the contrary, it recovered quickly after dipping to $317. At $335, MSTR stock trades close to where it started the week, a sign that buyers are defending the stock.

One way to see this is through the Money Flow Index (MFI). This indicator combines price and trading volume to measure buying and selling pressure. MFI has been moving upward, which shows more money is flowing in than flowing out.

When MFI trends higher, it often signals dip buying and builds confidence that a price move can last.

Another tool, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), tracks where trading closes each day compared to the price range. If a stock finishes near the top of its daily range while trading volume is high, CMF goes up.

For MicroStrategy stock, CMF has climbed back aggressively from recent lows, which suggests that even when prices dip, strong hands step in to buy. Together, MFI and CMF paint a picture of money flowing into MSTR, not out.

It is worth noting that the CMF is still trading under 0, even though the up move has been aggressive. A better MSTR stock price breakout positioning would show up if CMF manages to break above 0.

Technical Indicators Hint at MicroStrategy Stock Breakout

A third signal comes from the Bull-Bear Power indicator. This tool measures whether bulls (buyers) or bears (sellers) are stronger at a given time.

For MicroStrategy, the bearish side has lost ground compared to late August. This means selling pressure is getting weaker. When bulls slowly take back control, it builds a base for breakouts.

Price charts also give a clear picture. MicroStrategy stock has resistance around $415, which is the breakout target traders are watching. Above that, the next resistance sits around $475.

On the downside, strong support remains at $317, the recent low, followed by another cushion near $300. As long as these levels hold, traders will see dips as chances to buy.

The combination of weakening bearish pressure, rising MFI, stronger CMF, and firm support levels means MicroStrategy stock is well-positioned to test higher prices.

Long-Term Models Show Higher Goals

Beyond the near-term target, some models see much more upside. A power-law model, which studies how Bitcoin adoption has influenced MicroStrategy stock over time, suggests that MSTR could eventually peak between $1,600 and $2,500.

This is not a short-term call. Instead, it shows how the company’s large Bitcoin holdings could determine its future value if the cryptocurrency itself keeps growing.

Even though short-term movements depend on buyers, sellers, and chart levels, the long-term story for MicroStrategy stock remains tied to the Bitcoin cycle.

Despite being snubbed by the S&P 500, MicroStrategy stock is flashing bullish signs. MFI and CMF both show steady inflows, Bull-Bear Power points to fading sellers, and chart levels give a clear $415 breakout target.

With support at $317 and $300, the downside looks limited compared to the possible 24% upside.

Add in a long-term model projecting values as high as $2,500, and the MicroStrategy stock setup looks stronger than the headline snub suggests.