Metaplanet Stock Targets 20% Rally With ¥801 Support in Focus

Key Insights:

• Metaplanet stock recently traded at ¥841 ($5.73), with key support at ¥801 and resistance at ¥1,107.
• Entry into the FTSE Japan Mid-Cap Index is expected to attract passive fund inflows, thereby boosting demand for the stock.
• With 18,991 BTC held in reserves, long-term value underpins Metaplanet stock despite near-term volatility.

Metaplanet stock was around ¥841 (about $5.73 at ¥146.5 per dollar, August 26, 2025) after a sharp day drop. The six-month gain still sat near 68%.

Traders are eyeing one price band that can light the path to a 20% move. However, reaching that right away might not be a cakewalk.

Price first reclaimed the gap-up zone at ¥904. That was the first clean win after two months of a wedge-style chop. The stock then pulled back and began to base again.

The near-term price prediction is simple. First, it needs to hold above the recent low near ¥801. Next, it would have to push back over ¥915, which is where sellers might show up again. A firm close above ¥915 opens room to ¥989, the 20-day moving average on the shared chart.

Over ¥989, the next target sits at ¥1,107, which aligns with the 50-day moving average on that same view.

Traders in the community also laid out two “bottom checks.” Either defend ¥801 to form a double bottom. Or undercut into ¥783 or even ¥721 on a shakeout, then close back above ¥801 fast. Both patterns have worked in prior swings. The point is simple: a base must form before a run happens.

The FTSE Move That Matters

Metaplanet was added to the FTSE (Financial Times Stock Exchange) Japan Index in the September review. The list shows it in the Mid-Cap basket.

That change brings passive money. Index funds that track the FTSE Japan must own the stock. Some global funds add it too, because FTSE Japan feeds the FTSE All-World family.

Flows from these funds do not arrive all at once. They tend to line up around the “effective date.” Some buy earlier to avoid slippage. Others rebalance on the day.

This can support the price while the base forms. If supply is thin near ¥915–¥989, that support can help push the 3350 stock price toward ¥1,107.

One more macroeconomic element sits in the background. Japan’s 30-year yield hit a record high of 3.216 percent. Higher local yields often weaken the yen over time. A weaker yen lifts the yen value of dollar-linked assets. That can help a name whose story is tied to dollar-priced holdings, even if that is not the headline here.

What the “BTC per Share” Talk Is

Community charts compared the firm’s market value to “BTC per share.” The claim: the market cap today looks similar to mid-May, even though BTC per share was lower back then. If that read is right, it implies a discount now versus mid-May. That could be a dip-buying bullish sign for the Metaplanet stock.

Treat this as context, not a trigger. The stock trades on local flows, index inclusion, and its own chart. The Bitcoin stash helps the long-term floor, but it should not drive the headline here.

For the record only, the company recently said it added 103 coins and now holds 18,991 coins. That total value was about $1.95 billion at the time of that post.

The price map stays clear. Above ¥915, momentum can return. ¥989 is the first check. Over ¥989, the door opens to ¥1,107. That is about 20% from the ¥920–¥930 band that traders used in the thread, and close to 20 percent from the latest read near ¥900–¥850 as well. If ¥1,107 breaks with volume, the stock can start working on prior swing highs next.

The risk is a failed base. Lose ¥801 on a close, and the price can test ¥783. A deeper sweep to ¥721 is possible in a washout. If that happens, the next bullish attempt needs a quick reclaim of ¥801 to keep the medium-term structure intact.

Index flows help, but they do not erase risk. If the broader market wobbles, rallies tend to die down near moving averages. If that happens here, ¥989 becomes a ceiling again, not a ladder step.

For now, the test is simple to track. The Metaplant stock needs to build and hold a base of over ¥801. Reclaim ¥915. Then ¥989. Clear those levels, and the ¥1,107 target comes into view. The story can be bigger later. First, the base.