Katie Taylor Vs. Amanda Serrano 3 Prediction, Odds, And Picks

Katie Taylor puts her undisputed super lightweight title on the line against Amanda Serrano on Friday, July 11, at Madison Square Garden in New York City. The Taylor vs. Serrano 3 boxing matchup headlines an all-women’s fight card on Netflix. Taylor holds a 2-0 edge over Serrano in their heated rivalry, which has delivered two of the best women’s boxing fights in history. We look at the Taylor vs. Serrano 3 fight betting odds, picks, and predictions.

ForbesKatie Taylor Vs. Amanda Serrano 3 Full Boxing Fight CardBy Trent Reinsmith

Katie Taylor Vs. Amanda Serrano 3 Betting Odds

Katie Taylor opened as the -146 betting favorite over Amanda Serrano for the third meeting between these two. As the trilogy fight nears, those odds have flipped. Today, Serrano is the -175 betting favorite over the +120 Taylor.

Full opening odds for Taylor vs. Serrano 3

Katie Taylor Vs. Amanda Serrano 3

“We’re going to go out there and we’re going to put it all on the line this fight so you’re going to see who the true champion is July 11,” Serrano said at the pre-fight press conference.

“(Taylor) has to prove to everybody and to herself that she beat me convincingly, both those fights, and I need to go out there and prove to those judges, like, ‘Come on, what are you watching?'”

“If you look at the fights you can clearly see that I won those fights,” said Taylor. “It’s really, really insane that she thinks she won those fights.”

The fight, which headlines an all-women’s card is currently scheduled to be contested over 10 two minute rounds, something that Serrano was not happy with.

“First of all, we shook on it,” Serrano said of the fight being three minute rounds. “She didn’t agree when we went to sign the contract.”

“I think as a matter of principle that the challenger shouldn’t be dictating the terms of the fight,” Taylor said in reply. “I am 2-0 here and I’m in the driver’s seat here and that’s only right. At the end of the day Amanda needs this fight a lot more than I do. I have a long history of big fights against big names and a line of people queuing up to fight me for the payday.”

Katie Taylor Vs. Amanda Serrano 3 Tale Of The Tape

Katie Taylor

Record: 24-1 with six knockouts

Age: 39

Height: 5’5″

Reach: 66″

Stance: Orthodox

Amanda Serrano

Record: 47-3-1 with 31 knockouts

Age: 36

Height: 5’5″

Reach: 65″

Stance: Southpaw

ForbesShakur Stevenson Vs. William Zepeda Full Boxing Fight CardBy Trent Reinsmith

Katie Taylor Vs. Amanda Serrano 3 Breakdown

The first meeting between these two took place in April 2022. Taylor won that bout via a close split decision in a contest that many saw as a “Fight of the Year” contender. More than two years passed before they stepped into the ring for their rematch. Between those two bouts, Taylor went 2-1 and became the undisputed super lightweight champion. Meanwhile, Serrano went 5-0 as a featherweight, winning WBC, IBF, WBO, and IBO titles in that weight class.

In short, both women had a lot of time between their first and second fights. That’s not the case for this matchup. Neither woman has competed since their rematch on November 15, 2024.

Both women made adjustments between the first two matchups. I’m not sure if we will see that for this fight.

ForbesKatie Taylor Vs. Amanda Serrano 3 Boxing Fight Card: UndercardBy Trent Reinsmith

For Taylor, she does her best work when she draws her opponent in and counters with power, using her footwork and lateral movement to land scoring punches. Taylor cannot allow Serrano to establish range or pressure her into a corner. She has to be aware of where she is at all times. If Serrano can corner Taylor, she can unleash punches in bunches that will allow her to rack up points. The best way for Taylor to avoid that situation is movement, footwork, counters, and ring awareness.

Taylor also needs to take advantage of Serrano’s unwillingness to move her head. In the first fight, Taylor landed 39.2 percent of her punches. In the rematch, that number increased to 41 percent.

Taylor upped her output from 375 punches thrown in the first fight to 529 in the rematch. Look for her to have another high-output effort on Friday.

As for Serrano, she had success in the first two fights but not enough sustained success to earn her the nod from the judges. In the first fight, Serrano stalked Taylor, using pressure and output to score from the start of the battle. In the second bout, Serrano started slower and then came on stronger. Look for her to pressure from the start again in this scrap.

Serrano has power and volume on her side. She needs to balance those two aspects of her fight game while also leaving enough gas in the tank for the latter rounds when Taylor ups her output. In the first fight, Taylor was more active in the last three rounds. In the rematch, she increased her output in the second half of the contest.

We know Serrano has the power and volume to hurt Taylor badly, which she did in the first fight when Taylor was not 39, which she is today.

ForbesEdgar Berlanga Vs. Hamzah Sheeraz Fight Card – The Ring 3 UndercardBy Trent Reinsmith

The wildcard in the second fight, at least for Serrano, was the cut that was opened above her eye from a head butt. It was a bad cut, and there was some concern from the commentary team that the ref would stop the fight. That didn’t happen, but one has to wonder if the injury caused Serrano to be slightly more defensive, even subconsciously, knowing the fight might be in danger of being stopped.

Serrano wanted this fight to be contested with three-minute rounds, but like the first two matchups, the trilogy fight will have two-minute stanzas. That benefits Taylor, as Serrano’s output and pressure over an extra minute could change the tide of a fight.

Katie Taylor Vs. Amanda Serrano 3 Prediction And Pick

This will be a close fight, and it will likely go the full 10 rounds. Now, who will win?

Taylor does not have to make many adjustments. If she takes what she did in the first fight and adds the aggression of the rematch, she has the ingredients to beat Serrano.

As for Serrano, if she repeats her performance in the first fight, and does not get opened up from a headbutt or a punch, she has the blueprint to victory.

Taylor is the better boxer, but age catches up to everyone in this game and that’s a worry in this matchup.

In the end, Serrano is 0-2 against Taylor, and that means she is the one who is likely to look to make a change ahead of this trilogy bout. I’m not sure if that will help her. The betting pick is for Katie Taylor to beat Amanda Serrano by decision.

Katie Taylor and Amanda Serrano 3 Fight Card Date:

Friday, July 11, 2025

Katie Taylor and Amanda Serrano 3 Fight Card Time:

6:00 p.m. ET

Katie Taylor and Amanda Serrano 3 Fight Card Location:

Madison Square Garden in New York City

Katie Taylor and Amanda Serrano 3 Fight Card How to Watch Or Stream:

Netflix

Katie Taylor and Amanda Serrano 3 Fight Card Streaming Cost:

Netflix subscription with ads: $7.99 per month

Netflix subscription without ads: $17.99 per month

Katie Taylor Vs. Amanda Serrano 2

The rematch between Taylor and Serrano was part of the undercard of the Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson affair at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. That bout also went the distance, but there was some controversy after Serrano was awarded the unanimous decision.

While the crowd and the stats seemed to favor Taylor, the judges awarded Serrano the win with three scorecards of 95-94.

“This is an amazing moment again for women’s boxing, and we put on a show,” Taylor said. “We put on a performance again for everybody, and just thank God for another amazing night.”

“I knew it was going to be a little shady, but listen, I came here, I chose to be great,” Serrano said. “I went up three divisions. I lost. I dared to be great tonight, and I went up three divisions. I’m the featherweight champion of the world, and I want to be great.”

Katie Taylor Vs. Amanda Serrano 1

The first time Taylor and Serrano met, the bout marked the first time two women headlined a boxing card at Madison Square Garden. In a tightly contested bout, Taylor edged out Serrano via split decision, taking two card 97-93 and 96-93, while the third went 96-94 for Serrano.

ESPN voted the fight the “Women’s fight of the Year” for 2022.

“The people that tuned in to watch the fight, it was not only boxing fans,” Serrano told ESPN. “But it was celebrities outside of boxing that knew who we were, what we were doing, making history.

“It was just altogether, the week leading up to the fight, the promotion, how Madison Square Garden was promoting the fight, it was just amazing.”

“I think it actually exceeded everything that people were talking this week,” Taylor said at the post-fight press conference. “Even walking out to the ring today, packed stadium. Unbelievable.

“It was absolutely, special, special moment. The best night of my career. For sure.”

ForbesCanelo Alvarez Vs. Terence Crawford Betting Odds And Line MovementBy Trent Reinsmith

Katie Taylor Vs. Amanda Serrano 3 Full Fight Card

Katie Taylor (24-1-0) vs. Amanda Serrano (47-3-1): 10 Rounds – For Taylor’s undisputed women’s super lightweight championship

Alycia Baumgardner (15-1-) vs. Jennifer Miranda (12-0-0): 10 Rounds – For Baumgardner’s undisputed women’s junior lightweight championship

Savannah Marshall (13-1-0) vs. Shadasia Green (15-1-0): 10 Rounds – For Marshall’s IBF women’s super middleweight title and Green’s WBO super middleweight title

Ellie Scotney (10-0-0) vs. Yamileth Mercado (24-3-0): 10 Rounds – For Scotney’s IBF and WBO women’s junior featherweight titles and Mercado’s WBC women’s junior featherweight title

Cherneka Johnson (17-2-0) vs. Shurretta Metcalf (14-4-1): 10 Rounds – For Metcalf’s IBF women’s bantamweight title and the vacant WBO and WBC women’s bantamweight titles

Chantelle Cameron (20-1-0) vs. Jessica Camara (14-4-1): 10 Rounds – For Cameron’s WBC women’s interim junior welterweight title

Ramla Ali (9-2-0) vs. Lila Furtado (11-2-0): Eight Rounds – Junior featherweight

Tamm Thibeault (2-0-0) vs. Mary Casamassa (6-0-0): Eight Rounds – Middleweight

We will have more on the Katie Taylor Vs. Amanda Serrano 3 fight card, including updated betting odds, as well as prop bets and picks, as fight night nears.