How To Find The Best Style ETFs 1Q22

With an ever-growing list of similar-sounding ETFs to choose from, finding the best is an increasingly difficult task. How can investors change the game to shift the odds in their favor?

Don’t Trust ETF Labels

There are at least 165 different All Cap Blend ETFs and at least 671 ETFs across twelve styles. Do investors need 55+ choices on average per style? How different can the ETFs be?

Those 165 All Cap Blend ETFs are very different from each other. With anywhere from 22 to 4,112 holdings, many of these All Cap Blend ETFs have drastically different portfolios with differing risk profiles and performance outlooks.

The same is true for the ETFs in any other style, as each offers a very different mix of good and bad stocks. All Cap Value ranks first for stock selection. Small Cap Growth ranks last.

Avoiding Analysis Paralysis

I think the large number of style ETFs hurts investors more than it helps. Deep analysis on an ETF-by-ETF basis is simply not a realistic option so investors are exposed to insufficient analysis, missing profitable opportunities, or both. Analyzing ETFs, with the proper diligence, is far more difficult than analyzing stocks because it means analyzing all the stocks within each ETF. As stated above, there can be as many as 4,112 stocks or more, for one ETF.

Figure 1 shows the top-rated ETF for each style.

Figure 1: The Best ETF in Each Style

* Best ETFs exclude ETFs with TNAs less than $100 million for inadequate liquidity

Amongst the ETFs in Figure 1, VictoryShares U.S. Multi Factor Minimum Volatility ETF (VSMV) ranks first overall, Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF (QVAL) ranks second, and Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) ranks third. Janus Henderson Small Cap Growth Alpha ETF (JSML) ranks last.

How to Avoid “The Danger Within”

Why do you need to know the holdings of ETFs before you buy?

You need to be sure you do not buy an ETF that might blow up. Buying an ETF without analyzing its holdings is like buying a stock without analyzing its business and finances. No matter how cheap, if it holds bad stocks, the ETF’s performance will be bad.

PERFORMANCE OF FUNDS HOLDINGS = PERFORMANCE OF FUND

If Only Investors Could Find Funds Rated by Their Holdings

VictoryShares U.S. Multi Factor Minimum Volatility ETF (VSMV) is not only the top-rated All Cap Blend ETF, but is also the overall top-ranked style ETF out of the 671 style ETFs that my firm covers.

The worst ETF in Figure 1 is Janus Henderson Small Cap Growth Alpha ETF (JSML), which still gets a Very Attractive rating.

Disclosure: David Trainer, Kyle Guske II, and Matt Shuler receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, style, or theme.

Source: https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2022/03/03/how-to-find-the-best-style-etfs-1q22/