Hot electric vehicle demand likely to boost flat sales growth

Ford (F) is set to report earnings today after the closing bell. Investors remain tentative that the legacy automaker will be able to top estimates amid the global semiconductor shortage and the toll it has taken on Ford’s production of vehicles across its product lines.

Here are the main metrics expected in Ford’s report based on Bloomberg consensus estimates:

• Revenue: $34.79 billion expected, $36.0 billion Y/Y

• Adjusted EPS: $0.45 expected, $0.34 Y/Y

Ford’s stock is up nearly 80% over the past 12 months but down from a mid-January peak of just over $25. The peak marked a 20-year high for the company, allowing it to breach a $100 billion market cap for the first time. Ford currently sits at a market cap of around $82 billion.

The company is seeing impressive early demand for its electric vehicles (EVs), particularly its E-Transit (van) and the highly anticipated F-150 Lightning. CEO Jim Farley told Yahoo Finance Live that the company has already accepted over 10,000 orders for the E-Transit from “a lot of different customers,” including 1,000 orders from Walmart (WMT). He added that Ford will be aiming to reach an EV sales capacity of 600,000 units over the next 22 months.

F-150 Lightning

As for the F-150 Lightning, reservations for the electric pickup truck are demonstrating strong preliminary numbers as well.

“We have about 200,000 reservations [for the Lightning],” Farley said. “Now we’re converting those into orders where people have to physically order the vehicle, almost very few of them are falling out.”

Ford announced in December that they would be capping the number of reservations for the Lightning at 200,000 as it works to expand production capacity in light of the materials supply crunch. The company reported 167,545 total U.S. vehicle sales for December (down 14.9% year-over-year).

Sales were also relatively unimpressive for January, as the company reported that total sales compared to January 2021 did not see a significant change at 143,531 vehicles. Total truck sales fell 4.3% compared to January 2021, but SUV and EV sales rose 8.5% and 167.2%, respectively.

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“Ford electrified vehicle sales in January grew almost 4 times faster than the overall electrified segment,” a Feb. 2 Ford press release said. “With a total of 13,169 vehicles sold, Ford electrified vehicles were up 167.2 percent, with share up 5.0 points to 10.9 percent of segment.”

Trucks and SUVs still comprised the vast majority of vehicle sales for Ford, with 71,734 trucks and 66,122 SUVs sold in January 2022.

Looking forward, Ford continues to invest heavily in clean energy and new technology in a push towards a more sustainable automotive future. According to a Bloomberg report, Ford will be increasing EV spending by as much as $20 billion — on top of the $30 billion it has already committed to the space — through 2025.

This post will be updated with the results of Ford’s Q4 results Thursday after market close. Check back for updates.

Thomas Hum is a writer at Yahoo Finance. Follow him on Twitter @thomashumTV

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