The rally in the Gold Miners Junior ETF (GDX) from its December 30, 2024 low remains intact. This rally is unfolding as a five-wave impulse pattern, as observed on the 1-hour chart below. Wave (4) of this impulse concluded at $44.75, setting the stage for wave (5) higher. Wave (5) is currently progressing with its own impulsive subdivision. From the wave (4) low, wave ((i)) peaked at $46.70, followed by a pullback in wave ((ii)) to $45.19. The ETF then surged in wave ((iii)) to $54.62. Subsequent correction in wave ((iv)) ended at $51.12. The final leg, wave ((v)), completed at $54.73, marking the end of wave 1 in the higher degree.
Following this, GDX entered a corrective wave 2, characterized by a clear seven-swing corrective structure. From the wave 1 peak, wave ((w)) declined to $52.19. It was then followed by a recovery in wave ((x)) to $53.74. The subsequent wave ((y)) bottomed at $50.70, completing wave 2. The ETF has since bounced from the 100%–161.8% Fibonacci extension zone of $49.61–$51.18. Currently, GDX could either resume its rally to new highs or stage a three-wave bounce before a potential larger double correction. However, even if a deeper pullback occurs, the corrective nature of the decline from the wave 1 peak supports a bullish outlook, suggesting that any downturn is likely a temporary pause within an ongoing uptrend.
Gold Miners ETF 60-minute Elliott Wave technical chart
Gold Miners ETF Elliott Wave [Video]
Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/gdx-climbs-higher-after-three-wave-decline-video-202506260321