GBP/USD gains above 1.3250 as Fed rate cut bets weigh on US Dollar
GBP/USD continues its winning streak for the sixth successive session, trading around 1.3260 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) struggles amid rising odds of Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut bets in December.
US data showed unexpectedly low Initial Jobless Claims and stronger-than-expected Durable Goods Orders, yet rate-cut expectations remained intact. The CME FedWatch Tool suggests that markets are now pricing in a more than 84% chance that the Fed will cut its benchmark overnight borrowing rate by 25 basis points (bps) at its December meeting, up from the 30% probability that markets priced a week ago. Read more…
GBP/USD finds further gains ahead of Thanksgiving slowdown
GBP/USD accelerated into a fifth straight winning session on Wednesday, gaining another 0.55% on the day and pushing through the 1.3200 handle. Price action is now set to challenge key long-term moving averages, and the ball will remain in Cable bulls’ court through the back half of the trading week.
US markets are set to go functionally dark for the remainder of the week with American market participants taking Thursday and Friday off for Thanksgiving holiday celebrations. Things remain relatively quiet on the UK side of the market on the economic data docket; however, government budget tensions remain elevated as the British parliament grapples with finding ways to fund its operations without barreling into an out-of-control deficit. Read more…
GBP: Reeves avoids major fiscal risks – NOMURA
Chancellor Reeves sidestepped the biggest fiscal dangers, delivering limited near-term tightening while preserving headroom through backloaded tax hikes, NOMURA’s FX analyst Dominic Bunning reports.
“Chancellor Reeves avoided the major tail risks that we were worried about. Limited near-term tightening but larger fiscal headroom (via backloaded tax hikes) seems to be amongst the ‘least bad’ outcomes.” Read more…