AUD/USD is expected to continue to strengthen – UOB Group

Australian Dollar (AUD) is expected to continue to strengthen vs US Dollar (USD), but it does seem to have enough momentum to reach 0.6410 for now. In the longer run, rapid increase in momentum suggests AUD could recover, potentially reaching 0.6410, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note. 

Enough momentum to reach 0.6410 for now

24-HOUR VIEW: “While we expected AUD to ‘strengthen further’ yesterday, we were of the view that ‘any advance is likely part of a higher range of 0.6230/0.6285.’ However, AUD broke decisively above 0.6285 and soared to 0.6343. Today, we continue to expect AUD strength. However, at this stage, it does not seem to have enough momentum to reach 0.6410. There is another resistance at 0.6370. On the downside, any pullback is likely to hold above 0.6270 (minor support is at 0.6300).” 

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “After holding a negative view since late last week, we cautioned yesterday (05 Mar, spot at 0.6260) that ‘momentum is slowing, and the likelihood of further declines is diminishing.’ We stated, ‘a breach of 0.6285 would indicate stabilisation.’ We did not expect AUD to soar to 0.6343. The strong advance has resulted in a rapid increase in momentum. From here, we expect AUD to recover, potentially reaching 0.6410. To sustain the buildup in momentum, AUD must remain above 0.6235.”