Bank of Japan (BoJ) board member Naoki Tamura is offering his view on the economic and inflation outlook during his appearance on Wednesday.
Key quotes
Personally feel sustained, stable achievement of 2% inflation target is clearly in sight.
Appropriate to keep easy policy now given uncertainty over prospects for hitting price goal.
We are in a phase where we need to humbly look at wage, price developments.
Hoping we will have further clarity around january-march next year on prospects for hitting price goal.
Don’t expect 10-year yield to rise to 1.0%, new cap is set as protective measure.
Uncertainty over Japan’s economic, price outlook very high.
BoJ’s step in July aimed at making operation of ycc more flexible.
Corporate price-setting behaviour has changed from period of deflation.
Positive cycle between wages, inflation being seen as wage rises improve consumer sentiment.
Japan’s exports, output moving sideways, capex rising moderately.
Japan’s economy likely to keep recovering driven by domestic demand.
There is good chance Japan’s economic growth will overshoot expectations.
Japan’s inflation likely to slow for time being, then accelerate moderately again.
Can’t rule out chance inflation may overshoot expectations.
I believe we can expect high wage growth in next year’s spring wage negotiations.
BoJ will take steps to curb excessive rise in interest rates via steps such as increase in bond buying, if we see speculative moves and sharp rate volatility that deviate from fundamentals.
Biggest key to monetary policy outlook is whether Japan achieves positive cycle of rising wages and inflation.
Market reaction
USD/JPY is testing highs on the dovish remarks from the BoJ official, currently trading at 146.10, up 0.15% on the day.
Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/bojs-tamura-appropriate-to-keep-easy-policy-now-given-uncertainty-over-reaching-price-target-202308300146