September has been the weakest month of the year for AppleAAPL shares. The stock has fallen about 65% of the time in this turbulent month as depicted in the histogram below. In fact, weakness coming into the month raises the odds of a lower price to over 70%.
Apple Monthly Histogram
Most of the decline has occurred in the last month as we see below.
Apple Daily Histogram for September
The share price is likely to fall closer to $140-$145.