Analysts Highlight Global Payments’ Widening Gap With Fiserv In Merchant Acquiring

• Mizuho analyst Dan Dolev reiterated Neutral on Global Payments Inc (NYSE: GPN) with a $132 price target reflecting weak and unreliable results.

• The 3Q 2022 was weak and complicated. Most notably, underperformance in Merchant acquiring vs. Fiserv, Inc (NASDAQ: FISV) is widening.

• Issuer growth decelerates again. The “excluding this / including that” analysis is as confusing as ever.

• Most notably, GPN changed the goalposts to maintain the 10-11% adj. revenue guidance.

• BMO analyst James Fotheringham maintained Outperform and cut the price target from $232 to $224.

• Following GPN’s 3Q22 in-line result, he lowered estimates and target price.

• Merchant Solutions suffered from limited travel exposure and slower growth in U.K. and Asia.

• GPN expects full-year EPS below its prior guidance range but maintains its outlook for revenue growth.

• GPN completed its Silver Lake deal, while its EVO Payments, Inc (NASDAQ: EVOP) acquisition, and NetSpend divestiture are on track to close in 1Q23.

• RBC analyst Daniel Perlin reiterated Outperform and the $156 price target.

• As expected, GPN reported a noisy quarter, given the pre-funding of the EVO acquisition, the upcoming divestiture of Netspend’s consumer business, and incremental FX headwinds.

• Although aggregate results were broadly in line with Street expectations, the segment performance for Merchant was below his model, while Issuer came in with better margins.

• He believes numbers will continue to have noise until both EVO’s acquisition and Netspend’s consumer business close, likely in Q123. He believes investors will begin to re-engage in the name.

• Credit Suisse analyst Timothy Chiodo reiterated Neutral and cut the price target from $145 to $135.

• He hailed the FY22 margin guidance hike, margin beat for the quarter, higher Merchant yield, AOF in the implementation pipeline, and substantial revenue improvement in Spain, Central Europe, and Southeast Asia.

• Price Action: GPN shares traded higher by 0.19% at $114.48 on the last check Tuesday.

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