US election outcome remains a joker. Economists at Nordea analyze how the US Dollar (USD) could react to a Trump presidency.
A weaker USD could happen especially if sovereign debt concerns materialise
The outcome of the US presidential election could see the USD standing on a firmer footing than we have pencilled in.
If Trump is re-elected, his comeback will likely lead to more inflationary policies, a renewed trade war between the US and abroad with China in focus, heightened geopolitical risks and higher US government deficits.
For the USD, a Trump re-election will likely support the USD in the short term due to trade and geopolitical tensions, while a weaker USD than we have pencilled could happen especially if sovereign debt concerns materialise.
Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/a-trump-re-election-will-likely-support-the-usd-in-the-short-term-nordea-202402191416