2-way risks near term – OCBC

The US Dollar (USD) slipped amid slippage in initial jobless claims but levels remain confined to recent lows. Dollar Index (DXY) was last at 100.65, OCBC FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.  

Interim double-bottom seems to be forming

“Daily momentum is mild bullish while RSI dipped. Interim double-bottom appears to be forming – we continue to watch price action. Resistance at 101.10 (21 DMA), 101.90. Support at 100.20 levels (interim double bottom).”

“This week, we watch core PCE (Friday). A hotter print would bring back fears of second-round inflation risks, especially so when Fed is guiding for frontloading of rate cuts. We are also caution of quarter-end flows that may distort price action in the short term.”