Is Ethereum overstretched? Bulls eye $6K DESPITE revenue slipping by 22%

Key Takeaways

Ethereum’s revenue-price divergence highlighted an overstretched market. However, fresh liquidity and speculative demand could push ETH towards a $6k breakout.

The market’s split on whether Ethereum [ETH] has really bottomed or not. 

On-chain, the ETH/BTC ratio has been breaking down, hitting its third weekly lower low after failing to clear the $0.04 supply wall. Looks like traders are still taking profits off ETH’s 18.8% August pump.

Meanwhile, Token Terminal revealed that ETH’s revenue hit just $14.13 million in August – Marking its lowest level since May even as price blasted to a new $4,900 ATH and highlighted a clear divergence.

Source: TokenTerminal

Typically, that kind of revenue-price gap signals an overstretched market. 

That’s not all though as Ethereum closed August with $39.75 million in fees, right in line with its $42 million four-month average. Simply put, the fees stayed steady while revenue slipped, meaning that the the network itself captured less value.

And yet, Ethereum’s trading volume ripped to $1.13 trillion – Its highest since post-election levels. This suggested that traders are still piled in and chasing the price, despite the monetization lag. 

Ethereum bulls target $6k

Ethereum’s stablecoin market has been firing its ATHs too. 

Low revenue with steady fees tells us users are still paying chunky gas, but the network isn’t pocketing proportional value. In short, ETH’s fundamentals may be lagging, hinting that the market might be overstretched.

Still, ETH ripped through $4,900, thanks to the stablecoin supply hitting $152 billion all-time high in August – Marking a 9.35% jump from last month. Technically, that’s about $13 billion of fresh liquidity chasing the price.

Source: Token Terminal

The result? Speculative capital piled into Ethereum’s ATH. 

On-chain flows gobbled up the fresh liquidity, sending the price higher, even as the network didn’t capture much real value. Classic bull vibes – Despite volatility at the base, traders have been chasing momentum hard.

In this setup, a $6k ETH doesn’t feel far-fetched. With fresh liquidity from stablecoins and institutional flows still in play, momentum could easily carry the price higher. However, at the cost of brutal cascades and sharp corrections.