The long-term holders of Ethereum appear to be quite confident, even if the short-term is filled with uncertainties. These traders have been holding ETH for an average of 2.4 years.
So, they seem pretty committed to the asset’s long-term potential. Nonetheless, a couple of recent trends suggest something of a shift. And what is this possible shift signaling? It seems to indicate that L2 scaling solutions and alternative L1 blockchains are capturing more attention that Ethereum was previously getting. And that is soaking some of the growth juice (or, more likely, the “growth promise juice”) out of Ethereum.
With an average holding time of 2.4 years, $ETH signals strong confidence from long-term holders.
However, a lack of new short-term participants and the emergence of L2s and alternative L1s are fragmenting attention, leaving growth potential somewhat tempered. pic.twitter.com/5QXAxpGap7
— IntoTheBlock (@intotheblock) January 31, 2025
Even with structural alterations in the crypto ecosystem, Ethereum could be gearing up for a significant market turnaround. Even though the price of ETH has been taking a nosedive, the buying volume has been pumping up and looking really good, almost like a rebound is on the way. This is precisely the kind of price-to-volume action we saw in May 2024, when Ethereum was facing a comparable pullback before breakfasting on substantial price gains. If history doesn’t flake out on us, it looks like a deliciously substantial price gain for ETH could be on the breakfast menu again.
Long-Term Holders Remain Unshaken as Short-Term Speculation Slows
Ethereum has always had a committed base of holders, but now, the landscape of its dominance is changing. The average holding time of its 2.4-year loyalists highlights their faith in its future growth and current utility. Ethereum was trading at over $1,600 when this report was published, but its current price is far less important to this specific narrative than the faith that institutional and noninstitutional holders continue to place in its future growth and utility.
In recent months, the arrival of Layer 2 scaling networks like Arbitrum, Optimism, and Base, along with alternative Layer 1 blockchains such as Solana and Avalanche, has brought some of the attention that was once solely on Ethereum to these other networks. These platforms offer lower fees and faster transaction times, so some users and developers have left Ethereum’s main chain and now operate on Layer 2s or new Layer 1s. That might sound like it’s heading in a bad direction for Ethereum, but in fact, this development is likely helping the overall Ethereum ecosystem.
Ethereum’s short-term, speculative investor interest has declined. Fewer new players are entering the market, causing slower growth in the immediate term. As a result, ETH’s price is now more strongly influenced by long-term holders who aren’t likely to sell anytime soon and less by an influx of new retail investors.
Ethereum’s Price Dip Could Be a Setup for a Reversal
Although Ethereum’s price has recently been on a downward trend, the increased buying volume indicates that investors are becoming more interested. This could signal a potential shift in the prevailing trend, especially with the price recently coming down to test the previous support level. During the recent test of that support level, the Ethereum price rebounded strongly on Thursday, likely the result of long-term investors taking advantage of what they see as a favorable entry point.
A situation almost like this occurred in May 2024, wherein buy-side pressure was building but the price of ETH was dipping. However, not long after that dip, the market changed its tune and ETH made a strong recovery. If we are to see a similar thing happen with ETH in the not-too-distant future, then we ought to see it either break through in price or resolve to the upside sometime soon.
Not having many short-term participants has meant less volatility, which in turn means that building buying pressure is more likely to cause a sharp upward price move. The big question right now is whether the next Ethereum rally will be driven by long-term holders or, as seems more likely, require fresh liquidity from new investors.
$ETH is setting up for a potential reversal—price is dipping, but buying volume keeps climbing.
Last time this happened in May 2024, ETH ripped.
If momentum holds, we could be looking at a strong move up, with investor confidence quietly building despite the recent pullback. pic.twitter.com/CO6OYIkqfq
— Kyledoops (@kyledoops) February 1, 2025
Ethereum Spot ETF Sees Significant Inflows
The case for Ethereum being an increasingly popular asset class got a further boost from the uptick in interest from institutional money. On January 31, the Ethereum spot ETF saw a net inflow of $27.7795 million, which is a decent sum for a somewhat new product that’s still in the application stage for many other potential ETFs.
Spot Bitcoin’s recent approvals for exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have opened the door to a new wave of institutional investors entering into the cryptocurrency market. Ethereum ETFs could follow suit in the wake of increasing institutional interest. The profit potential for these Ethereum ETFs could be substantial, albeit at this early stage, still largely speculative.
Even as the price of Ethereum seems to experience some short-term corrections, the fundamental case for the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap appears to be strengthening. Over the past several months, institutions have been buying up large quantities of not only Ethereum but also ETH’s underlying smart contract technology.
On January 31, Bitcoin spot ETF had a total net inflow of $319 million, continuing net inflow for 4 consecutive days. BlackRock ETF IBIT had a net inflow of $364 million. Ethereum spot ETF had a total net inflow of $27.7795 million. https://t.co/59u0BnEqLG
— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) February 1, 2025
Conclusion
The crypto market is still dominated by Ethereum, and its long-term investors display a confidence that is all but unshakable, even in the face of Layer 2 solutions and rival blockchains. Retail entry into this space may have slowed for now, but evidenced by the impressive inflows into Ethereum ETFs, the institutions are coming.
Ethereum’s recent price decline, coupled with intensifying accumulation, resembles the circumstances of May 2024, when Ethereum erupted in a powerful rally. If history serves as any guide, momentum is building for another potentially explosive move in price.
Although immediate difficulties are present, Ethereum’s basic underlying operation, the network, and long-term investment base are as strong as they’ve ever been. Continued inflows from ETFs and sustained buying pressure could soon see ETH break through its present consolidation and move back toward bullishness in the next couple of months.
Disclosure: This is not trading or investment advice. Always do your research before buying any cryptocurrency or investing in any services.
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Source: https://nulltx.com/ethereums-long-term-strength-remains-intact-amid-market-fragmentation-and-etf-inflows/