Ethereum: Why ETH could retest KEY support before price recovery

Ethereum’s [ETH] fund market premium has flipped back into positive territory, signaling stabilizing institutional demand after recent volatility. 

This shift matters because fund premiums track how confidently institutions position capital. When the premium turns positive, funds accept higher exposure costs instead of exiting. 

That behavior suggests easing sell pressure. However, the premium remains modest, not aggressive. 

Therefore, institutions appear cautious rather than fully bullish. Historically, similar transitions marked the end of distribution phases. Meanwhile, price volatility has moderated. 

As a result, ETH trades in a calmer environment where large players reassess risk instead of forcing liquidations. This shift supports stabilization, not yet a strong accumulation phase.

Ethereum’s support is now under pressure!

Ethereum has broken out of its descending wedge, confirming weakening bearish control after months of lower highs. This breakout signals a structural shift. 

However, price momentum remains fragile. Historically, similar breakouts often trigger a retest of former resistance. In this case, the $2,750 zone aligns with the wedge’s upper boundary. 

Therefore, a pullback toward that level would reinforce structure rather than invalidate it. Buyers continue defending higher lows, yet follow-through remains limited. 

Consequently, price action reflects caution. Market participants now watch whether demand absorbs any dip quickly. A strong reaction from support would strengthen confidence in a broader recovery.

Source: TradingView

 Easing selling pressure?

At press time, Ethereum’s Exchange Reserves have dropped 6.03% to $47.78 billion, signaling reduced immediate sell-side pressure. 

This decline indicates fewer coins sit on exchanges ready for liquidation. Therefore, the downside risk from sudden sell waves weakens. 

Investors appear to move ETH into longer-term storage. However, falling reserves alone do not guarantee price appreciation. They simply remove a major headwind. 

Combined with improving institutional positioning, the reserve decline supports a stabilization narrative. 

Moreover, lower reserves reduce the probability of panic-driven drawdowns. As a result, Ethereum trades in a structurally healthier supply environment.

Source: CryptoQuant

Ethereum funding rates plunge 64.66% as leverage resets

Ethereum’s Funding Rates have dropped 64.66% to 0.002506, at press time, signaling a sharp reset in leveraged long positioning. Such a rapid decline reflects traders closing crowded longs and reducing directional risk. 

Therefore, excess leverage has cleared from the market. Open Interest has also fallen 4.46% to $37.81 billion, reinforcing the same message. 

Traders are now operating with lighter exposure. Although this reset may put short‑term pressure on prices, it ultimately strengthens market health. Overleveraged positions often lead to forced liquidations.

In contrast, neutral funding creates a foundation for more sustainable price growth. As a result, Ethereum is relying increasingly on spot demand rather than speculative leverage.

Source: CryptoQuant

So, what’s next? 

Ethereum now sits at a key decision zone. While broader positioning has stabilized, price structure suggests a likely retest of the $2,750 region before any sustained recovery unfolds. 

Such a move would align with typical post-breakout behavior and offer stronger structural confirmation. 

Importantly, on-chain behavior points to dip-buying interest from large holders, suggesting accumulation beneath current levels. 

If demand absorbs this retest effectively, Ethereum could transition from consolidation into a clearer recovery phase.

Final Thoughts 

• Ethereum’s structure favors a controlled pullback toward $2,750 rather than immediate continuation.
• Whale dip-buying could turn the retest into a base for recovery if demand absorbs supply.