Popular prediction market, Polymarket, has made a bold forecast for the leading altcoin, Ethereum (ETH) price. Polymarket raised its odds to 99% for ETH to hit a new all-time high (ATH) before 2026.
Polymarket Raise Odds for Ethereum (ETH) Price Rally
Polymarket is maintaining a 99% probability that ETH will surpass its ATH before the end of 2025. This means traders are overwhelmingly betting on a bullish outcome, with only 1% chance priced into “No” outcomes.
Polymarket is the world’s largest decentralized prediction market platform, built on the Polygon blockchain.
The platform enables users to bet on the outcomes of real-world events, such as election results, sports, or cryptocurrency price milestones, using USDC stablecoins.
These bets are traded as shares in “Yes” or “No” outcomes, and the market prices reflect the collective probability estimate of the crowd.
Thus, the 99% odds for Ethereum ETH price ATH are not a random guess, but possibly driven by market dynamics. Odds have climbed steadily from around 50-95% in August 2025 to near-certainty now as the ETH price hovers around $4,000.
Traders factor in catalysts like institutional inflows on spot ETH exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and broader crypto bull market momentum.
Data from Farside Investors revealed that the ETH ETFs have registered two consecutive days of inflows after days of recording outflows.
Additionally, the recent increase in Ethereum whale activity may have also contributed to the bullish sentiments for ETH. Ethereum top whales, holding between 100 and 10,000 ETH, have shown signs of re-accumulation.
Ethereum Price Follows Historical Rhythm
In addition to the Polymarket bullish prediction, market analysts have also raised optimistic sentiments for ETH.
Market analyst and Bitcoin investor CryptoELITES on X spotlighted a bullish Ethereum ETH price historical pattern.
He posted a log-scale ETH/USD chart, showing a clean, multi-year ascending channel that has defined major market cycles.
Analyzing the chart revealed that the upper red line is a perfect parallel of the lower white line, a true ascending channel.
Also, the price touched the upper rail at every major cycle top: 2017, 2021, and now 2025. In essence, ETH has seen no false breakdown in 9 years.
In fact, the price structure remains consistent with higher lows and higher highs. For the 2025 ATH, the upper rail projection is between $11,000 and $13,500, and the mid-channel target is $6,500-$8,000.
At press time, Ethereum (ETH) was valued at $4,001, just below the 2021 ATH. The price is also hugging the upper half of the channel, just like the pre-$1,000 breakout in early 2017.
Analyst Advocates for Smart Trading
Another analyst, and Ethereum trader IncomeSharks, shared his Ethereum ETH investment journey on X.
The analyst said they recently closed out 100% of their position after 11 months of public, chart-tracked trade.
According to the analyst, a stop-loss triggered their final exit at $4,000. They expressed excitement with the returns, claiming it is better than almost everything else in crypto during that time period.
The analyst disclosed they bought low and sold high, a win, according to them, when trading.
Continuing with the discussion, the analyst raised a classical “greed question” about whether they left gains on the table.
“What if you sold right before it goes higher?”, IncomeSharks wrote.
Responding to this, they answered with, “What if I hold another six months and round-trip all the progress I made?”
To the trader, extra profits are not worth the risk for them to give back profits. This trader has indeed maintained emotional discipline by ignoring FOMO and preserving their sanity plus gains.