- Ethereum price today holds $4,465 support while struggling to break above the $4,510 resistance zone.
- Analysts warn of a correction toward $3,700–$3,800 before ETH resumes its cycle rally toward $10,000.
- Ethereum price prediction points to $4,510–$4,800 resistance and $4,393–$4,200 as critical support levels.
Ethereum price today is trading near $4,465, consolidating just below the 20-day EMA at $4,500 while buyers defend the $4,450 support area. The market is caught between the risk of deeper correction and long-term bullish forecasts pointing toward a major rally.
Ethereum Price Struggles Below Key Resistance
The 4-hour chart shows ETH hovering between $4,450 support and $4,510 resistance, with the broader range capped by $4,665 on the upside. The 50-day EMA at $4,485 has acted as a magnet for recent price action, while the 200-day EMA at $4,393 remains the safety net if selling pressure accelerates.
Momentum signals are tilted bearish. The RSI has slipped to 41, reflecting cooling demand and suggesting room for further downside before reaching oversold levels. A break below $4,393 would expose $4,200, where stronger support from August lows resides.
Analysts See Possible $3,700–$3,800 Retest
Market strategist Ted Pillows highlighted that Ethereum often corrects sharply after retesting prior all-time highs. He compared the current setup to 2021, when ETH dropped 25% before resuming its cycle rally. A similar path this year could send price toward the $3,700–$3,800 range before reversing higher.
Despite the risk of correction, Ted emphasized the bigger picture remains bullish. He projects that Ethereum could rally toward $10,000 by early 2026 once consolidation is complete. This aligns with cycle analysis suggesting that ETH is still in the mid-phase of its expansion trend.
On-Chain Flows Reflect Bearish Pressure
On-chain spot flows underline cautious sentiment. Data from September 21 showed a $38.8 million net outflow, highlighting sustained selling pressure despite price stabilization near $4,460. This marks one of several consecutive outflow days in September, suggesting investors are taking risk off the table.
The absence of consistent inflows makes it difficult for Ethereum price action to break through $4,510 resistance. Traders are likely waiting for either clearer bullish catalysts or deeper discounts before stepping back in.
Technical Outlook For Ethereum Price
Ethereum price prediction for the short term hinges on whether $4,450 support can hold.
- Upside levels: $4,510, $4,665, and $4,800 remain the key resistance areas for momentum buyers.
- Downside levels: $4,393 and $4,200 are immediate defenses, with $3,800 as the deeper retracement zone if correction unfolds.
- Trend support: $3,700–$3,800 mirrors historical cycle retracement zones.
Outlook: Will Ethereum Go Up?
The path for Ethereum depends on whether it can stabilize above $4,450 while navigating persistent outflows. A clean break above $4,510 would open the door for a retest of $4,665 and $4,800. Failure to defend $4,393 could bring $4,200 or even $3,800 into play before the next cycle push.
While short-term risks lean bearish, the longer-term outlook remains constructive. Analysts expect Ethereum to resume its bullish trajectory once consolidation ends, with the potential to challenge $10,000 by early 2026.
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Source: https://coinedition.com/ethereum-price-prediction-for-september-22-2025/