Ethereum is sitting at a critical point, with one chart showing a near term fight to hold support and another outlining a deeper cycle reset. Together, they suggest ETH could face more downside first before any larger recovery takes shape.
Ethereum Tests Key Support as Breakdown Risk Stays in View
Ethereum came close to the $2,200 area, and that matches the main support zone marked on the chart. Ted Pillows identifies $2,150 to $2,200 as the level that now matters most. So far, price is reacting from that area instead of breaking straight through it.
Ethereum / TetherUS 2D chart. Source: Ted Pillows on X
The chart shows why this zone matters. ETH lost higher support around $2,400 and then dropped fast below $2,624. After that, buyers stepped in near the turquoise support band around $2,150 to $2,200. As a result, the current bounce looks like a reaction from support, not a confirmed trend reversal yet.
At the same time, the structure still looks fragile. Price remains below the red resistance zone near $2,400 and well below the higher resistance around $2,624. Therefore, ETH needs to reclaim those levels to show stronger recovery. Until then, the rebound stays limited inside a broader weak setup.
The white arrows on the chart reflect that uncertainty. One path suggests ETH could keep bouncing and retest $2,400 first, then possibly move toward $2,624. However, the other path shows that if the $2,150 to $2,200 zone fails, the price could slide toward $2,000 and possibly revisit the lower demand area near $1,775.
In short, the chart supports Ted Pillows’ view. Ethereum is sitting on a key support zone. If that area holds, a short term move higher remains possible. But if ETH loses it, bearish pressure could return quickly.
Ethereum Elliott Wave Map Points to a Long Reset Before Possible $15,000 to $20,000 Cycle Top
Crypto Patel’s monthly chart lays out a long term Elliott Wave structure for Ethereum that starts with a five wave impulse from the 2015 lows and ends with the 2021 peak. In this view, that full advance formed Wave 1 of a much bigger cycle. After that, Ethereum entered a multi year corrective phase that the analyst labels as Wave 2.
Ethereum / U.S. Dollar 1M Elliott Wave roadmap. Source: Crypto Patel on X
The main point of the chart is the correction zone. Crypto Patel sees the current structure as an expanded ABC flat, with the final leg, Wave C, still targeting a broad support area between $1,700 and $1,200. That zone is not random. It lines up with a prior Wave 4 area of lesser degree and also matches the 0.618 to 0.786 Fibonacci retracement of the full Wave 1 advance. Because of that confluence, the chart treats this region as the most important structural reset area before any new expansion cycle can begin.
At the same time, the roadmap is not only bearish. The analyst argues that once Wave 2 finishes, Ethereum could begin a new multi year advance between 2026 and 2029. According to the projection, the first stage would be a base building period in 2026 and 2027. Then Wave 3 could start, followed by a shallow Wave 4 pullback, before a final Wave 5 extension pushes higher into the end of the cycle.
The upper targets on the chart come from Fibonacci extensions of the first major impulse. Crypto Patel places the terminal zone for that future Wave 5 between $15,000 and $20,000, using the 1.618 to 2.618 extension range of Wave 1. The rising channel drawn across the whole structure supports that long term view, since the projected move remains inside a broad upward trend corridor rather than a parabolic breakout path.
Still, the chart remains a roadmap, not confirmation. The whole setup depends on Ethereum completing the corrective structure first and then holding the lower confluence zone strongly enough to build a new base. Crypto Patel also notes that timing can shift by about six months, which means price structure matters more here than calendar precision.
Source: https://coinpaper.com/16197/ethereum-price-prediction-elliott-wave-signals-20-k-path