Key Insights:
- Ethereum holds a rising channel, with $3,850 support key to sustaining momentum toward the $6,000 target.
- $8B in ETH shorts could face liquidation above $4,450, setting up potential short squeeze conditions.
- Monthly MACD crossover and three-year triangle breakout point toward $14,000–$20,000 long-term bullish targets.
Ethereum (ETH) was trading at $4,298.89 with a 24-hour volume of $31.90 billion. The token has declined 2% over the last day and 6% in the past week. On the 12-hour chart, ETH remains inside a rising channel that has guided price since spring.
Following a strong advance, ETH has started to cool, consolidating in the upper half of the channel. This pause is viewed as a re-accumulation phase, a period where momentum eases before the next move. Captain Faibik pointed to the $3,850–$3,900 area as key, calling it a “buy zone” where bulls are expected to defend.
Path Toward $6,000
As long as ETH holds above $3,850, the structure of the channel stays intact. The projection on the chart shows a rounded base forming, which could support a rebound toward the $6,000 level in the weeks ahead. This target aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
If price falls below $3,850, momentum could shift, exposing ETH to lower support levels and delaying further gains. For now, price action remains constructive within the channel.
Short Liquidations Build Up
Market data shows a large cluster of short positions sitting above current levels. Cumulative short liquidation leverage climbs steeply from $4,341, reaching nearly $9.3 billion.
Crypto Rover explained,
“$8,000,000,000 in $ETH shorts set to be liquidated once new ATHs hit.”
This means that a break above resistance could force a wave of short covering, fueling stronger upward pressure. Clusters between $4,300 and $4,800 suggest that the next breakout could trigger accelerated buying.
Breakout Signals on Monthly Chart
On the longer-term chart, ETH is testing resistance near $4,450, the top of a three-year ascending triangle. Merlijn the Trader described the setup, saying: “ETHEREUM IS LOADING THE MONSTER MOVE… Break $4,450 and $ETH won’t walk, it will rip.”
However, the MACD has also confirmed a fresh bullish crossover on the monthly timeframe. Similar conditions preceded Ethereum’s 2020 rally, and projections now point toward a longer-term target range between $14,000 and $20,000 if momentum holds.
DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing. |
Source: https://coincu.com/analysis/ethereum-bulls-target-6k-if-key-3850/