ETH Pattern Targets $7.6K Amid Historic Supply Squeeze

Etherium shapes a giant inverted head and shoulders, aiming at 7,600 as the amount supplied in the exchange reaches a 10-year low of 8.7. The historic liquidations are a good sign of recovery.

Ether is at a turning point. The second-largest crypto exhibits technical indicators that are not common in its history. Two intersecting trends monitored by market watchers could transform the path of ETH.

Bitcoinsensus on X writes that on ETH, an enormous inverted head and shoulders formation is taking shape. The pattern target sits at $7,600. This archetypal reversal construction cuts across several time frames. It indicates congestion is occurring below the existing prices.

Bulls Prepare for Explosive Breakout

The inverted head and shoulders requires one last confirmation. ETH will have to push beyond the neckline in volume. That level is close to the present resistance areas. The pattern portends a good upside once cleared.

The pattern has a left shoulder (mid-2024), a head (early 2025), and a developing right shoulder with less downside risk. The recent volatility has not led to a change in the technical structure. The rising lows indicate increased buyer confidence at support.

Participants in the market observe the significance of the setup. Multi-month breakouts tend to produce sustained moves. The calculated target is based on the distance between the head and the neckline. The calculation indicates that the main goal is $7,600.

Exchange Supply Plummets to 2015 Levels

Another catalyst is reinforcing the bullish position. Coin Bureau coverage on X that the ETH supply on exchanges is at an all-time low. Centralized platforms hold only 8.7 percent of total ETH. It is the lowest point since the launch of Ethereum in 2015.

Source: Coin Bureau on X

Since the beginning of July, exchange balances have dropped by 43 percent due to staking protocols, layer-2 bridging, and institutional accumulation. Tokens get transferred to non-selling mechanisms. Staking contracts hold ETH over time. Exchanges pull supply to layer-2 networks.

The constraint causes the possibility of supply squeeze effects. When the demand rises relative to the supply, the price usually reacts drastically. Bitcoin holds 14.7 percent in exchanges in comparison. The contraction of Ethereum is more dramatic.

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Historic Liquidations Signal Market Reset

3orovik-context on X provides a perspective on existing conditions. In October 2025, the crash produced liquidations of 19.31 billion. This overshadows past happenings. COVID crash generated liquidations of 1.2 billion. 2.6 billion was lost in the FTX collapse.

Source: 3orovik-context on X

In October, the liquidations were almost 20 times as many as the COVID panic, and about 16.7 billion longs were force-closed. Past crash recovery patterns provide guidance. The market stabilization of FTX took 8-9 weeks. It is seven weeks after the deleveraging incident of October.

The high leverage squeeze gives more healthier market structure. Deleveraged positions sold out of the system. The rest of the respondents are more convinced. This base helps in sustaining rallies when the mood changes.

In the analysis on X by 3orovik, crypto will be pumped in 2026. The period falls in line with historical recovery periods. The presence of lower leverage and tightening supply means good conditions. The technical patterns validate the underlying background.