Will We See Altcoin ETFs in 2025? Prediction Markets Odds on Solana, Cardano, Dogecoin, XRP ETFs

According to bettors on the Polymarket prediction marketplace, we’re not very likely to see any altcoin ETF (exchange-traded fund) approvals in the first half of 2025, although there is significantly more optimism when it comes to such ETFs seeing approval in the second half of the year. 

Polymarket’s currently active prediction markets related to altcoin ETFs.

Currently, bettors are giving the best chance to Litecoin, with XRP and Solana right behind. Here’s a quick breakdown of the current odds:

• Litecoin ETF approval by July 31: 42% chance
• Solana ETF approval by July 31: 39% chance
• XRP ETF approval by July 31: 37% chance
• Dogecoin ETF approval by July 31: 29% chance

Interestingly enough, bettors on Polymarket are much more optimistic on altcoin ETFs seeing approval in the second half of the year.

• Solana ETF approval in 2025: 83% chance
• XRP ETF approval in 2025: 80% chance
• Litecoin ETF approval in 2025: 76% chance
• Dogecoin ETF approval in 2025: 55% chance

When evaluating these predictions, it’s important to keep in mind that these prediction markets have fairly low volume, which decreases confidence in the odds to some extent. Polymarket’s largest prediction on the topic of cryptocurrency ETFs is “Doge ETF approved by July 31?”, which has a volume of just under $384,000.

ETFs provide access to cryptocurrencies through the stock market

ETFs tied to cryptocurrencies are overwhelmingly seen as bullish, as they provide easy access to investors who want exposure to crypto, but aren’t comfortable with buying and managing cryptocurrencies on their own. Instead, they can purchase an ETF through their stockbroker to gain investment exposure. 

In the United States, investors can currently only access ETFs tied to Bitcoin and Ethereum. However, there is an expectation that the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) will approve additional cryptocurrency ETFs under the Trump administration.