Market Overview — Ripple XRP crypto
The daily trend is bearish on the D1 regime reported. Moreover, short-term sentiment is mixed and volatility is moderate. BTC dominance sits at 58.4854%, while the Fear & Greed Index reads 27 (Fear). Consequently, liquidity is rotating toward BTC and stablecoins, and overall risk appetite is reduced.
Technical Analysis
Daily Chart (D1)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| EMA20 | 2.46 |
| EMA50 | 2.6 |
| EMA200 | 2.66 |
The EMA20, EMA50 and EMA200 are aligned above price, indicating a bearish slope on the daily frame. Therefore the EMA structure implies downside bias until price reclaims these averages.
Daily RSI is 41.01. This implies mild bearish momentum but not an oversold washout. In contrast, buyers could re-enter near oversold readings.
MACD line -0.08 vs signal -0.07 and a small negative histogram. Consequently, MACD shows decreasing bearish momentum and suggests caution for aggressive shorts.
Bollinger mid 2.46, upper 2.69, lower 2.22. The width is moderate. As a result, bands do not signal extreme compression, so breakouts are plausible but not imminent.
ATR14 is 0.15 on D1. This indicates average daily moves near $0.15, so position sizing should reflect that volatility.
Daily pivots: PP 2.35, R1 2.39, S1 2.28. The pivot cluster sits near current price. Therefore these levels can act as immediate reaction zones for intraday reversals.
Intraday Sentiment (H1–M15)
On H1 the regime is neutral with EMA20 2.32 and EMA50 2.31. RSI on H1 is 52.52, and MACD histogram flattens. Meanwhile, M15 shows neutral intraday bias with EMA200 at 2.30 and RSI 42.62. In contrast to D1, intraday momentum is range-bound and favors quick mean-reversion trades.
Key Levels and Pivot Zones
| Zone | Price (USDT) |
|---|---|
| Support | 2.28 (S1), 2.22 (BB low) |
| Resistance | 2.39 (R1), 2.46 (EMA20) |
Support zones near 2.28 and 2.22 have shown buying interest. Consequently, a clear break below 2.22 would increase bearish pressure. Resistance cluster near 2.39–2.46 caps rallies, and therefore upside requires a sustained break above these zones to flip bias.
Trading Scenarios
Trading Scenarios and Setups
Bullish Setup: If price reclaims and closes above 2.46 with rising volume, look for a follow-through to R1 2.60 area. If confirmed, momentum oscillators should turn bullish and EMA alignment must improve.
Bearish Setup: However, failure at 2.39–2.46 followed by a daily close below 2.28 would reinforce the D1 bearish scenario. As a result, targets extend toward the lower Bollinger band and prior structure near 2.00 if weakness persists.
Neutral Range: Meanwhile, if price remains between 2.28 and 2.46, expect consolidation and range trades. In addition, tight intraday stops are advised given ATR and H1 noise.
Market Context — XRP Ripple crypto market
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Market Cap | 3,518,654,934,380.12 USD |
| BTC Dominance | 58.4854% |
| Fear & Greed Index | 27 (Fear) |
| 24h Volume Change | not provided |
Indeed, the macro backdrop shows risk aversion and modest market cap gains. Moreover, DeFi fee metrics are available, but DeFi TVL is not provided and on-chain flows are not provided. Consequently, on-chain confirmation would be helpful before enlarging positions.
Ecosystem & crypto network outlook
That said, correlated altcoins and XRP market share show limited rotation. Additionally, DEX fee trends are mixed across providers, and therefore network activity is uneven. Traders should monitor fees and volumes for early signs of renewed demand.
Final Outlook about Ripple XRP
Overall the main scenario is bearish on D1, and traders should respect the downtrend unless price reclaims EMAs and closes above 2.46. Ripple XRP crypto remains vulnerable while below the EMA cluster, and therefore bias is cautious to bearish in the near term.
Source: https://en.cryptonomist.ch/2025/11/06/ripple-xrp-crypto-analysis/